Sting Pre- Agbetuyi
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:00 PM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4A ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 1.7 against · 1.73 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting Pre- Agbetuyi | DKSC Pre- Shams |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-4 | 0-2-4 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.33 |
| Goals for / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L L L | L D D L L |
| Biggest win | 3–2 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera | — |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at SOLAR PRE- KATIC | 0–7 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.40 | -1.77 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.64 | +0.39 |
Common opponents: Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez — we 1–3; they 0–0. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey — we 0–2; they 2–4. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera — we 3–2; they 1–4. SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN — we 0–5; they 0–7.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
DKSC Pre- Shams average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 1.7); blanked in 3 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
DKSC Pre- Shams concede 3.7/game; worst result 0–7 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey, 0–5 at SOLAR PRE- KATIC, 0–5 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 51% / draw 20% / loss 29%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the DKSC Pre- Shams game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Pre- Agbetuyi – DKSC Pre- Shams) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.00 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Draw 0.67 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.50 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th 1%
- 6th 12%
- 7th 59%
- 8th 16%
- 9th 12%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson | 2.60 (+2.00) | 1st (2.42) | 18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN | 2.50 (+1.90) | 2nd (2.34) | 17 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | SOLAR PRE- KATIC | 2.20 (+1.60) | 3rd (2.21) | 15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera | 1.80 (+1.20) | 4th (1.55) | 12 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey | 1.50 (+0.90) | 5th (1.35) | 9 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection |
| 6 | Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez | 1.40 (+0.80) | 6th (1.21) | 9 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection |
How the results connect
16 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Sting Pre- Agbetuyi to DKSC Pre- Shams through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.45 · 8th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 05:00 PM |
DKSC Pre- Shams 8th · 0-2-4 · GD -17 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.73 | 0.79 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 02:00 PM |
Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre 9th · 0-1-4 · GD -9 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.43 | 0.88 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson 1st · 4-1-0 · GD +13 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.20 | 0.80 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWDW | -0.35 | +0.11 | 100% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sun Nov 8 at Sting Pre- Agbetuyi See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 3 | +14 | 10 | 2.50 | DWWW | -0.57 | +0.14 | 100% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez · Sun Oct 25 at Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre · Thu Oct 29 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | SOLAR PRE- KATIC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 11 | 2.20 | DWWWD | +0.12 | -0.49 | 99% | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera · Sun Nov 8 at DKSC Pre- Shams See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | LWWLW | -0.61 | +0.91 | 63% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez · Thu Oct 29 at SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- KATIC See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -0.15 | +0.33 | 24% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez · Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- KATIC · Sun Nov 1 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | 1.40 | WWLLD | -0.33 | +0.70 | 15% | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey · Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Sting Pre- Agbetuyi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLWL | +0.64 | -0.45 | 0% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs DKSC Pre- Shams · Sun Nov 1 vs Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | DKSC Pre- Shams | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 2 | 0.33 | LLDDL | +0.39 | -0.14 | 0% | 8.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Pre- Agbetuyi · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR PRE- KATIC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLDL | +0.18 | +0.11 | 0% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Pre- Agbetuyi · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.74 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.