TableChase Clubs

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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4th
3-0-2 record · 5 played
1.80 points per game
+4 goal diff · 11–7
LWWLWlast 5
63% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.4
-0.61 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:30 PM

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FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera
4th · 1.80 PPG
vs
Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez
6th · 1.40 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 18 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 1.0 against · 1.82 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth Pre- VeraDallas Texans Pre- Martinez
Position4th6th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-22-1-2
Points per game1.801.40
Goals for / game2.21.0
Goals against / game1.41.2
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W L W W LD L L W W
Biggest win4–1 at DKSC Pre- Shams3–1 vs Sting Pre- Agbetuyi
Worst loss0–3 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson0–3 at SOLAR PRE- KATIC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.35-0.21
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.61-0.33

Common opponents: Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson — we 0–3; they 1–2. DKSC Pre- Shams — we 4–1; they 0–0. Sting Pre- Agbetuyi — we 2–3; they 3–1. Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre — we 3–0; they 1–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 53% / draw 24% / loss 23%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera – Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.67 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1
Win
2.00 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.67 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1
Loss
1.50 PPG		 5th▼ down 1 4th— holds 6th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
63% top 4
37% below the top 4
4.4 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 5%
  4. 4th 56%
  5. 5th 27%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson 2.60 (+0.80) 1st (2.42) 12 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN 2.50 (+0.70) 2nd (2.34) 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 SOLAR PRE- KATIC 2.20 (+0.40) 3rd (2.21) 9 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection

How the results connect

15 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera to Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
3 even
4 favour them
+0.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 0–1 0–3 2–1 2–3 1–3 4–1 0–0 1–5 0–0 3–0 0–5 2–0 2–0 2–2 FC Dallas Youth Pre… 4th Fort Worth Vaqueros… 9th Atlético Dallas You… 1st Sting Pre- Agbetuyi 7th DKSC Pre- Shams 8th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 5th SOLAR PRE- KATIC 3rd Dallas Texans Pre- … 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.91 · 1st hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:30 PM		 Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez
6th · 2-1-2 · GD -1		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 1–1 1.82 1.80 Swing game
Thu Oct 29
06:00 PM		 SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +14		 Away
Railroad Park 		●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–2 0.56 1.63 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:00 PM		 SOLAR PRE- KATIC
3rd · 3-2-0 · GD +9		 Home
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–1 0.99 1.55 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson 5410 152+13 132.60 WWWDW -0.35 +0.11 100% 1.8
2 SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN 4310 173+14 102.50 DWWW -0.57 +0.14 100% 1.8
3 SOLAR PRE- KATIC 5320 123+9 112.20 DWWWD +0.12 -0.49 99% 2.5
4 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera 5302 117+4 91.80 LWWLW -0.61 +0.91 63% 4.4
5 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey 4202 77+0 61.50 WWLL -0.15 +0.33 24% 5.1
6 Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez 5212 56-1 71.40 WWLLD -0.33 +0.70 15% 5.5
7 Sting Pre- Agbetuyi 5104 417-13 30.60 LLLWL +0.64 -0.45 0% 7.3
8 DKSC Pre- Shams 6024 522-17 20.33 LLDDL +0.39 -0.14 0% 8.3
9 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre 5014 413-9 10.20 LLLDL +0.18 +0.11 0% 8.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.74 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.