SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Solar SC (all teams)

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2nd

3-1-0 record · 4 played

2.50 points per game

+14 goal diff · 17–3

DWWWlast 4

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.9

-0.57 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN
2nd · 2.50 PPG

Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez
6th · 1.40 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 18 ↗

69% 18% 13%

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.3 for, 0.9 against · 2.26 expected points)

Season so far	SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN	Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez
Position	2nd	6th
Record (W-D-L)	3-1-0	2-1-2
Points per game	2.50	1.40
Goals for / game	4.3	1.0
Goals against / game	0.8	1.2
Clean sheets	2	2
Held scoreless	0	2
Form (recent first)	W W W D	D L L W W
Biggest win	7–0 at DKSC Pre- Shams	3–1 vs Sting Pre- Agbetuyi
Worst loss	—	0–3 at SOLAR PRE- KATIC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.81	-0.21
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.57	-0.33

Common opponents: SOLAR PRE- KATIC — we 2–2; they 0–3. DKSC Pre- Shams — we 7–0; they 0–0. Sting Pre- Agbetuyi — we 5–0; they 3–1.

Game plan

Swing game — small margins
Win 69% / draw 18% / loss 13%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson sit 1st on 2.60 PPG; we are on 2.50.
A win moves us above Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN – Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.60 PPG	1st▲ up 1	1st▲ up 1	1st▲ up 1
Win 2.60 PPG	1st▲ up 1	1st▲ up 1	1st▲ up 1
Draw 2.20 PPG	2nd— holds	3rd▼ down 1	3rd▼ down 1
Loss 2.00 PPG	3rd▼ down 1	3rd▼ down 1	3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

45% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

1.9 average finish

1st 45%
2nd 27%
3rd 25%
4th 3%
5th <1%
6th <1%
7th
8th
9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson	2.60 (+0.10)	1st (2.42)	Win next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN to Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us

1 even

0 favour them

+3.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.14 · 4th hardest of 9

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM	Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez 6th · 2-1-2 · GD -1	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	69%	2–0	2.26	2.45	Swing game
Sun Oct 25 05:00 PM	Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre 9th · 0-1-4 · GD -9	Away Fairview Soccer Park	●○○○○ Favorable	87%	3–0	2.70	2.49	Bank it
Thu Oct 29 06:00 PM	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4	Home Railroad Park	●●○○○ Lean win	71%	2–1	2.29	2.46	Bank it
Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson 1st · 4-1-0 · GD +13	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	42%	1–1	1.49	2.34	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson

+13

2.60

WWWDW

-0.35

+0.11

100%

1.8

W	Sun Oct 18	at	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	5–0
D	Sun Oct 11	vs	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (3rd)	0–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre (9th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez (6th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (4th)	3–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sun Nov 8 at Sting Pre- Agbetuyi See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey (5th)	2–0	75%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN (2nd)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Sting Pre- Agbetuyi (7th)	3–0	88%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN

+14

2.50

DWWW

-0.57

+0.14

100%

1.9

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Sting Pre- Agbetuyi (7th)	5–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey (5th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 27	at	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	7–0
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (3rd)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez · Sun Oct 25 at Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre · Thu Oct 29 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez (6th)	2–0	69%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre (9th)	3–0	87%
·	Thu Oct 29	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (4th)	2–1	71%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson (1st)	1–1	42%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- KATIC

2.20

DWWWD

+0.12

-0.49

99%

2.5

D	Sun Oct 11	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson (1st)	0–0
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Sting Pre- Agbetuyi (7th)	5–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez (6th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre (9th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 13	at	SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN (2nd)	2–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera · Sun Nov 8 at DKSC Pre- Shams See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey (5th)	2–0	68%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (4th)	1–1	52%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	3–0	87%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera

1.80

LWWLW

-0.61

+0.91

62%

4.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre (9th)	3–0
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Sting Pre- Agbetuyi (7th)	2–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey (5th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	4–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson (1st)	0–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez · Thu Oct 29 at SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- KATIC See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez (6th)	1–1	53%
·	Thu Oct 29	at	SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN (2nd)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (3rd)	1–1	25%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey

1.50

WWLL

-0.15

+0.33

25%

5.1

L	Sat Oct 17	at	SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN (2nd)	1–3
L	Sun Oct 4	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (4th)	0–2
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Sting Pre- Agbetuyi (7th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	4–2

Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez · Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- KATIC · Sun Nov 1 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 10 (no score yet)	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez (6th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (3rd)	0–2	14%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson (1st)	0–2	10%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre (9th)	2–1	65%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez

-1

1.40

WWLLD

-0.33

+0.70

14%

5.5

D	Sun Oct 11	vs	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson (1st)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre (9th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Sting Pre- Agbetuyi (7th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 10 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey · Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 10 (no score yet)	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey (5th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN (2nd)	0–2	13%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (4th)	1–1	23%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Agbetuyi

-13

0.60

LLLWL

+0.64

-0.45

7.3

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN (2nd)	0–5
W	Sun Oct 11	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (4th)	3–2
L	Sun Oct 4	at	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (3rd)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 27	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey (5th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez (6th)	1–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs DKSC Pre- Shams · Sun Nov 1 vs Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre (9th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson (1st)	0–3	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC Pre- Shams

-17

0.33

LLDDL

+0.39

-0.14

8.3

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson (1st)	0–5
D	Sun Oct 11	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez (6th)	0–0
D	Sun Oct 4	at	Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre (9th)	2–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN (2nd)	0–7
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (4th)	1–4
L	Sun Sep 13	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey (5th)	2–4

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Pre- Agbetuyi · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR PRE- KATIC See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Sting Pre- Agbetuyi (7th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (3rd)	0–3	5%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Fort Worth Vaqueros FC Pre

-9

0.20

LLLDL

+0.18

+0.11

8.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (4th)	0–3
D	Sun Oct 4	vs	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	2–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Malcolmson (1st)	1–5
L	Sun Sep 20	at	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (3rd)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez (6th)	0–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Pre- Agbetuyi · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Sting Pre- Agbetuyi (7th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Bailey (5th)	1–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.74 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.