SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 10 teams · Solar SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:30 AM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4A ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 3.0 for, 1.5 against · 2.18 expected points)
| Season so far | SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA | Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-2 | 1-0-5 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L D W W L | L L L L W |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic | 3–2 at Alpha Forms Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–5 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes | 0–5 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.38 | -1.49 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.19 | -0.02 |
Common opponents: Kernow Storm FC Pre Bradford — we 2–2; they 1–3. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic — we 2–0; they 1–4. SOLAR PRE- PAEZ — we 3–1; they 1–3. Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes — we 3–3; they 0–5. Alpha Forms Pre — we 2–6; they 3–2.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 2 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 67% / draw 16% / loss 17%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:30 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
DKSC Pre De La Cruz sit 5th on 1.33 PPG; we are on 1.33.A point moves us above DKSC Pre De La Cruz on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA – Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.57 PPG |
4th▲ up 2 | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.57 PPG |
4th▲ up 2 | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.29 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 8th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.14 PPG |
7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 9%
- 4th 13%
- 5th 22%
- 6th 28%
- 7th 16%
- 8th 9%
- 9th 2%
- 10th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.75 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes | 2.67 (+1.34) | 1st (2.49) | 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna | 1.83 (+0.50) | 2nd (1.90) | 7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic | 1.67 (+0.34) | 3rd (1.62) | 6 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection |
| 4 | Alpha Forms Pre | 1.50 (+0.17) | 4th (1.53) | A point next game |
| 5 | DKSC Pre De La Cruz | 1.33 (+0.00) | 6th (1.37) | A point next game |
How the results connect
22 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA to Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
6 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.73 · 10th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 09:30 AM |
Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas 10th · 1-0-5 · GD -13 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–1 | 2.18 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 08:00 AM |
DKSC Pre De La Cruz 5th · 2-2-2 · GD +0 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.06 | 1.40 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 11 | +12 | 16 | 2.67 | WWWWW | -0.06 | +0.20 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic · Sun Nov 1 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 11 | 1.83 | LWDWW | +0.16 | -0.72 | 98% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes · Sun Nov 1 vs Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 10 | 1.67 | WLDWL | -0.28 | +0.61 | 76% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- PAEZ See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Alpha Forms Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 | LLLWW | +0.03 | -0.30 | 56% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs DKSC Pre De La Cruz · Sat Nov 7 at Kernow Storm FC Pre Bradford See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | DKSC Pre De La Cruz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +0 | 8 | 1.33 | WWDLD | +0.15 | -0.12 | 31% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Alpha Forms Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 8 | 1.33 | LWWDL | +0.19 | -0.73 | 22% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas · Sun Nov 1 at DKSC Pre De La Cruz See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SOLAR PRE- PAEZ | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | WLLLD | +0.07 | -0.13 | 13% | 6.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre Bradford · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 6 | 1.00 | LDDDW | -0.36 | +1.02 | 3% | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Kernow Storm FC Pre Bradford | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 5 | 0.83 | LDWLL | +0.12 | +0.01 | 0% | 8.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- PAEZ · Sat Nov 7 vs Alpha Forms Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | -0.02 | +0.17 | 0% | 9.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA · Sun Nov 1 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.37 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.