Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 10 teams · Kernow Storm FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:30 AM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6A ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.7 against · 1.21 expected points)
| Season so far | Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-3-2 | 3-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| Goals for / game | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D D D L | W W D W L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas | 4–1 vs Alpha Forms Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Alpha Forms Pre | 1–2 at SOLAR PRE- PAEZ |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.04 | +0.72 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.36 | +0.16 |
Common opponents: Alpha Forms Pre — we 0–2; they 4–1. DKSC Pre De La Cruz — we 1–3; they 2–2. Kernow Storm FC Pre Bradford — we 3–3; they 4–2. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic — we 3–3; they 4–2.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Alpha Forms Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 34%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:30 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
SOLAR PRE- PAEZ sit 7th on 1.17 PPG; we are on 1.00.A point moves us above SOLAR PRE- PAEZ on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes – Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.29 PPG |
7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 | 8th— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.86 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 2%
- 5th 3%
- 6th 9%
- 7th 21%
- 8th 38%
- 9th 26%
- 10th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes | 2.67 (+1.67) | 1st (2.49) | 16 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna | 1.83 (+0.83) | 2nd (1.90) | 9 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic | 1.67 (+0.67) | 3rd (1.62) | 8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Alpha Forms Pre | 1.50 (+0.50) | 4th (1.53) | 6 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | DKSC Pre De La Cruz | 1.33 (+0.33) | 6th (1.37) | 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection |
| 6 | SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA | 1.33 (+0.33) | 5th (1.40) | 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection |
| 7 | SOLAR PRE- PAEZ | 1.17 (+0.17) | 7th (1.23) | A point next game |
How the results connect
23 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes to Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
6 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +1.02 · 1st hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 09:30 AM |
Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna 2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +6 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.21 | 1.03 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 08:00 AM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +12 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–3 | 0.66 | 0.98 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 11 | +12 | 16 | 2.67 | WWWWW | -0.06 | +0.20 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic · Sun Nov 1 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 11 | 1.83 | LWDWW | +0.16 | -0.72 | 98% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes · Sun Nov 1 vs Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 10 | 1.67 | WLDWL | -0.28 | +0.61 | 74% | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- PAEZ See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Alpha Forms Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 | LLLWW | +0.03 | -0.30 | 55% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs DKSC Pre De La Cruz · Sat Nov 7 at Kernow Storm FC Pre Bradford See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | DKSC Pre De La Cruz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +0 | 8 | 1.33 | WWDLD | +0.15 | -0.12 | 30% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Alpha Forms Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 8 | 1.33 | LWWDL | +0.19 | -0.73 | 24% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas · Sun Nov 1 at DKSC Pre De La Cruz See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SOLAR PRE- PAEZ | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | WLLLD | +0.07 | -0.13 | 16% | 6.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre Bradford · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 6 | 1.00 | LDDDW | -0.36 | +1.02 | 3% | 7.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Kernow Storm FC Pre Bradford | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 5 | 0.83 | LDWLL | +0.12 | +0.01 | 1% | 8.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- PAEZ · Sat Nov 7 vs Alpha Forms Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | -0.02 | +0.17 | 0% | 9.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA · Sun Nov 1 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.37 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.