TableChase Clubs

Alpha Forms Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 10 teams · Forms Academy (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 18 hours ago.
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4th
3-0-3 record · 6 played
1.50 points per game
+1 goal diff · 16–15
LLLWWlast 5
56% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.5
+0.03 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:30 AM

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Alpha Forms Pre
4th · 1.50 PPG
vs
DKSC Pre De La Cruz
5th · 1.33 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4B ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.0 against · 1.60 expected points)

Season so farAlpha Forms PreDKSC Pre De La Cruz
Position4th5th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-32-2-2
Points per game1.501.33
Goals for / game2.71.8
Goals against / game2.51.8
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W L L LD L D W W
Biggest win6–2 vs SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA3–1 at Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes
Worst loss1–4 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna1–4 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.13+0.02
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.03+0.15

Common opponents: Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes — we 2–0; they 3–1. Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas — we 2–3; they 2–0. Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna — we 1–4; they 2–2. FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes — we 2–4; they 1–4. SOLAR PRE- PAEZ — we 3–2; they 2–2.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 47% / draw 20% / loss 33%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic sit 3rd on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the DKSC Pre De La Cruz game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Alpha Forms Pre – DKSC Pre De La Cruz) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.71 PPG		 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds
Win
1.71 PPG		 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds
Draw
1.43 PPG		 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1
Loss
1.29 PPG		 6th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
56% top 4
44% below the top 4
4.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 9%
  3. 3rd 21%
  4. 4th 27%
  5. 5th 20%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 9%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes 2.67 (+1.17) 1st (2.49) 13 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna 1.83 (+0.33) 2nd (1.90) 6 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic 1.67 (+0.17) 3rd (1.62) A point next game

How the results connect

22 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Alpha Forms Pre to DKSC Pre De La Cruz through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
3 even
8 favour them
+0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 1–3 3–2 2–2 2–4 4–1 1–4 2–2 2–3 0–2 3–3 4–2 2–1 3–1 3–2 6–2 3–3 2–1 Alpha Forms Pre 4th Kernow Storm FC Pre… 8th SOLAR PRE- PAEZ 7th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 1st Atletico Dallas You… 2nd Nido Dallas Pre - R… 10th SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA 6th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 3rd DKSC Pre De La Cruz 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.30 · 8th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:30 AM		 DKSC Pre De La Cruz
5th · 2-2-2 · GD +0		 Home
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 2–1 1.60 1.51 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
11:30 AM		 Kernow Storm FC Pre Bradford
9th · 1-2-3 · GD -6		 Away
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 2–2 1.64 1.53 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes 6510 2311+12 162.67 WWWWW -0.06 +0.20 100% 1.0
2 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna 6321 1812+6 111.83 LWDWW +0.16 -0.72 98% 2.3
3 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic 6312 1612+4 101.67 WLDWL -0.28 +0.61 76% 3.8
4 Alpha Forms Pre 6303 1615+1 91.50 LLLWW +0.03 -0.30 56% 4.5
5 DKSC Pre De La Cruz 6222 1111+0 81.33 WWDLD +0.15 -0.12 31% 5.3
6 SOLAR PRE- DE SOUSA 6222 1317-4 81.33 LWWDL +0.19 -0.73 22% 5.7
7 SOLAR PRE- PAEZ 6213 1213-1 71.17 WLLLD +0.07 -0.13 13% 6.5
8 Kernow Storm FC Pre Reyes 6132 1514+1 61.00 LDDDW -0.36 +1.02 3% 7.6
9 Kernow Storm FC Pre Bradford 6123 1319-6 50.83 LDWLL +0.12 +0.01 0% 8.3
10 Nido Dallas Pre - Rivas 6105 619-13 30.50 WLLLL -0.02 +0.17 0% 9.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.37 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.