Sting Pre- Workman
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU10 · 11 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6B ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.1 for, 1.2 against · 2.64 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting Pre- Workman | Albion SC Dallas Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-2 | 1-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 0.80 |
| Goals for / game | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 3.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D W D | W L D L L |
| Biggest win | 9–2 at Sting Pre- Soderholm | 2–0 at Sting Pre- Soderholm |
| Worst loss | 2–4 at SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN | 0–8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.81 | -1.87 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.18 | -0.64 |
Common opponents: Sting WTX Pre- Albarado — we 1–2; they 0–7. Sting Pre- Soderholm — we 9–2; they 2–0.
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Albion SC Dallas Pre average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.8); blanked in 3 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs SOLAR PRE- MARTINEZ.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 85% chance; likely score 4–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
What a win does
Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez sit 5th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.33.A point moves us above Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Albion SC Dallas Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Pre- Workman – Albion SC Dallas Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.57 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.57 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.29 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 1.14 PPG |
7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th 12%
- 5th 58%
- 6th 14%
- 7th 15%
- 8th 1%
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.75 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans | 3.00 (+1.67) | 1st (2.83) | 16 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN | 2.50 (+1.17) | 2nd (2.42) | 12 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Sting WTX Pre- Albarado | 2.38 (+1.05) | 3rd (2.38) | 12 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | SOLAR PRE- MARTINEZ | 2.33 (+1.00) | 4th (2.03) | 11 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez | 1.50 (+0.17) | 6th (1.47) | A point next game |
How the results connect
19 chains · 11 teams
Paths of results that link Sting Pre- Workman to Albion SC Dallas Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -1.46 · 8th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 12:30 PM |
Albion SC Dallas Pre 8th · 1-1-3 · GD -14 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
4–1 | 2.64 | 1.52 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Rodriguez 7th · 2-0-4 · GD -11 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
3–1 | 2.13 | 1.60 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | +28 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.05 | +0.01 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Central Mata · Sun Oct 25 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- MARTINEZ See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | +29 | 15 | 2.50 | WLWWW | -0.49 | -0.23 | 100% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- MARTINEZ · Sat Nov 7 vs Albion SC Dallas Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Sting WTX Pre- Albarado | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | +16 | 19 | 2.38 | WWDLW | -0.60 | — | 100% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | SOLAR PRE- MARTINEZ | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 14 | 2.33 | WDWWW | -0.37 | +3.21 | 87% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 9 | 1.50 | LLWLW | -0.48 | +1.05 | 1% | 5.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY · Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Sting Pre- Workman | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 8 | 1.33 | DWDWL | +0.18 | -1.46 | 12% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Albion SC Dallas Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Rodriguez See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Rodriguez | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 | 1.00 | WLLWL | +0.52 | -1.73 | 0% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Soderholm · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- Workman See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Albion SC Dallas Pre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 4 | 0.80 | LLDLW | -0.64 | +0.79 | 0% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Workman · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 4 | 0.67 | LWDLL | +0.95 | -0.54 | 0% | 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez · Sat Oct 31 vs Albion SC Dallas Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Central Mata | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 29 | -21 | 1 | 0.17 | DLLLL | +0.55 | -0.40 | 0% | 9.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Pre- Soderholm See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Sting Pre- Soderholm | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 43 | -40 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.39 | -1.60 | 0% | 10.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Rodriguez · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Central Mata See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.82 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.