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FC Dallas Youth Pre- Central Mata

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU10 · 11 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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10th
0-1-5 record · 6 played
0.17 points per game
-21 goal diff · 8–29
DLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.8
+0.55 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM

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FC Dallas Youth Pre- Central Mata
10th · 0.17 PPG
at

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6A ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–7 (expected goals 0.8 for, 7.3 against · 0.02 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth Pre- Central MataFC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans
Position10th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-1-55-0-0
Points per game0.173.00
Goals for / game1.35.8
Goals against / game4.80.2
Clean sheets04
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L L L L DW W W W W
Biggest win—8–0 at Albion SC Dallas Pre
Worst loss2–10 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.16+3.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.55-0.05

Common opponents: SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN — we 2–10; they 5–1. Albion SC Dallas Pre — we 3–3; they 8–0. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Rodriguez — we 2–4; they 6–0. Sting WTX Pre- Albarado — we 0–3; they 5–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans score 5.8/game — well above the league's 2.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans concede only 0.2/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 at Sting WTX Pre- Albarado, 0–6 at SOLAR PRE- MARTINEZ.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 0%; a draw (1%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:30 PM at Fairview Soccer Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Pre- Central Mata – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.14 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Win
0.57 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Draw
0.29 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Loss
0.14 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–7 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 27%
  10. 10th 61%
  11. 11th 12%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 0.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans 3.00 (+2.83) 1st (2.83) 23 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN 2.50 (+2.33) 2nd (2.42) 19 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Sting WTX Pre- Albarado 2.38 (+2.21) 3rd (2.38) 19 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 SOLAR PRE- MARTINEZ 2.33 (+2.16) 4th (2.03) 18 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez 1.50 (+1.33) 6th (1.47) 11 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Sting Pre- Workman 1.33 (+1.16) 5th (1.60) 10 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Rodriguez 1.00 (+0.83) 7th (1.17) 7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 Albion SC Dallas Pre 0.80 (+0.63) 9th (0.66) 6 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection
9 SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY 0.67 (+0.50) 8th (0.78) 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection

How the results connect

17 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Pre- Central Mata to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
17 favour them
-8.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 0–5 2–4 0–6 3–3 0–8 2–10 1–5 7–0 1–3 5–1 9–0 0–5 2–0 0–1 0–6 3–0 3–2 FC Dallas Youth Pre… 10th Sting WTX Pre- Alba… 3rd FC Dallas Youth Pre… 7th Albion SC Dallas Pre 8th SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN 2nd Atletico Dallas You… 5th SOLAR PRE- MARTINEZ 4th SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY 9th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 11th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.40 · 6th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +28
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–7 0.02 0.15 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:30 AM
Sting Pre- Soderholm
11th · 0-0-6 · GD -40
Home
Fairview Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
4–1 2.42 0.43 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans 5500 291+28 153.00 WWWWW -0.05 +0.01 100% 1.1
2 SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN 6501 4011+29 152.50 WLWWW -0.49 -0.23 100% 2.4
3 Sting WTX Pre- Albarado 8611 2610+16 192.38 WWDLW -0.60 — 100% 2.7
4 SOLAR PRE- MARTINEZ 6420 174+13 142.33 WDWWW -0.37 +3.21 86% 4.0
5 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez 6303 2517+8 91.50 LLWLW -0.48 +1.05 2% 5.8
6 Sting Pre- Workman 6222 1912+7 81.33 DWDWL +0.18 -1.46 13% 5.3
7 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Rodriguez 6204 920-11 61.00 WLLWL +0.52 -1.73 0% 6.9
8 Albion SC Dallas Pre 5113 519-14 40.80 LLDLW -0.64 +0.79 0% 8.9
9 SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY 6114 823-15 40.67 LWDLL +0.95 -0.54 0% 8.2
10 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Central Mata 6015 829-21 10.17 DLLLL +0.55 -0.40 0% 9.8
11 Sting Pre- Soderholm 6006 343-40 00.00 LLLLL +0.39 -1.60 0% 10.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.82 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.