Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Challinor
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU10 · 10 teams · Atletico Dallas Youth (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 11:00 AM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6B ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 5.1 for, 1.7 against · 2.69 expected points)
| Season so far | Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Challinor | Dallas Texans Pre- Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 2-0-4 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 5.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W L L L L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 at FC Dallas North Academy | 4–1 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black |
| Worst loss | 0–3 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Garcia | 0–9 at SOLAR PRE- PAEZ |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.65 | -1.90 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.15 | +0.62 |
Common opponents: SOLAR PRE- PAEZ — we 4–3; they 0–9. Dallas Texans Pre- Garcia — we 0–3; they 0–8. FC Dallas North Academy — we 7–0; they 3–1. Sting Pre- Ortiz — we 3–1; they 1–7. Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black — we 4–1; they 4–1.
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
Dallas Texans Pre- Sanchez concede 5.0/game; worst result 0–9 at SOLAR PRE- PAEZ.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Garcia.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 87% chance; likely score 5–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Fairview Soccer Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Dallas Texans Pre- Sanchez game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Challinor – Dallas Texans Pre- Sanchez) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.63 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.63 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.38 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 2.25 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 5–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 16%
- 2nd 84%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- Garcia | 2.71 (+0.14) | 1st (2.70) | 4 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 4 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
How the results connect
30 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Challinor to Dallas Texans Pre- Sanchez through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -1.90 · 8th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM |
Dallas Texans Pre- Sanchez 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -19 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
5–1 | 2.69 | 2.59 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- Garcia | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 1 | +33 | 19 | 2.71 | WWWWD | -0.47 | +1.26 | 100% | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Ortiz See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Challinor | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 10 | +17 | 18 | 2.57 | WWWWW | -0.15 | -1.90 | 100% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Pre- Sanchez See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | DKSC Pre- Guerrero | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 12 | 2.00 | WWWLW | +0.25 | -1.86 | 92% | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Nido Dallas Pre - Campos · Sat Oct 31 at Nido Dallas Pre - Cavazos See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Sting Pre- Ortiz | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 14 | +15 | 12 | 1.71 | LLLWW | -0.60 | +3.15 | 10% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Pre- Garcia See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Nido Dallas Pre - Cavazos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 10 | 1.67 | WWLWD | -0.20 | -0.76 | 65% | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Sanchez · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC Pre- Guerrero See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SOLAR PRE- PAEZ | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 8 | 1.33 | WDWLD | +0.74 | -3.21 | 33% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Nido Dallas Pre - Campos · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas North Academy See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | 1.00 | LWDWL | -0.14 | — | 0% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 8 | Dallas Texans Pre- Sanchez | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 6 | 1.00 | LLLLW | +0.62 | +1.39 | 0% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Nido Dallas Pre - Cavazos · Sat Oct 31 vs Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Challinor See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | FC Dallas North Academy | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 3 | 0.43 | LWLLL | -0.46 | +0.96 | 0% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR PRE- PAEZ See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Nido Dallas Pre - Campos | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 51 | -47 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.86 | +0.67 | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs DKSC Pre- Guerrero · Mon Jan 1 at SOLAR PRE- PAEZ See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.69 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.