TableChase Clubs

Sporting Nebraska FC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Heartland BU11 · 14 teams · Sporting Nebraska FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 8 hours ago.
Add schedule to calendar
6th
2-0-1 record · 3 played
2.00 points per game
+1 goal diff · 6–5
WWLlast 3
32% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.6
-0.40 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 14, 02:00 PM

Open the match preview →

Sporting Nebraska FC Pre
6th · 2.00 PPG
vs
VSA Rush Pre
9th · 1.00 PPG

Paragon Star Sports Complex , Field 6S ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 for, 1.9 against · 1.68 expected points)

Season so farSporting Nebraska FC PreVSA Rush Pre
Position6th9th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-11-0-2
Points per game2.001.00
Goals for / game2.01.7
Goals against / game1.72.7
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)L W WL L W
Biggest win3–1 vs Kansas City Surf Pre5–2 at Kansas City Surf Pre
Worst loss0–2 vs Union KC Soccer Club Navy Pre0–4 at Union KC Soccer Club Navy Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.01-0.26
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.40+0.78

Common opponents: Kansas City Surf Pre — we 3–1; they 5–2. Union KC Soccer Club Navy Pre — we 0–2; they 0–4.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Union KC Soccer Club Navy Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 50% / draw 19% / loss 31%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    Union KC Soccer Club Navy Pre sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above Union KC Soccer Club Navy Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the VSA Rush Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting Nebraska FC Pre – VSA Rush Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 15 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.25 PPG		 4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 1
Win
2.25 PPG		 4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 1
Draw
1.75 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 9th▼ down 3
Loss
1.50 PPG		 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
32% top 4
68% below the top 4
5.6 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 7%
  4. 4th 24%
  5. 5th 11%
  6. 6th 25%
  7. 7th 16%
  8. 8th 14%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Kansas City Athletics Pre 3.00 (+1.00) 3rd (2.55) 12 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Gretna Elite Academy Pre 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.68) 12 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Toca Fusion Elite Pre 2.33 (+0.33) 2nd (2.56) 8 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 St. Louis Stars SC Pre 2.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.89) A point next game
5 Union KC Soccer Club Navy Pre 2.00 (+0.00) 4th (2.00) A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Sporting Nebraska FC Pre to VSA Rush Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
4 favour them
-2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 2–5 0–2 4–0 3–2 0–6 2–0 0–2 0–5 Sporting Nebraska F… 6th Kansas City Surf Pre 8th Union KC Soccer Clu… 5th Sporting Iowa Centr… 12th Gretna Elite Academ… 2nd VSA Rush Pre 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

4 game days

1st 7th 14th Aug 22 Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 13

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -1.24 · 10th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 14
02:00 PM		 VSA Rush Pre
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -3		 Home
Paragon Star Sports Complex 		●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 2–1 1.68 1.92 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM		 Missouri Rush Pre- Blue
7th · 1-1-1 · GD +3		 Home
Paragon Star Sports Complex 		●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.32 1.80 Upside
Sun Nov 15
TBD		 Kansas Rush Pre
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -29		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 4–1 2.62 1.94 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Kansas City Athletics Pre 3300 201+19 93.00 WWW -2.77 +0.71 97% 2.3
2 Gretna Elite Academy Pre 3300 130+13 93.00 WWW -0.28 -0.20 99% 2.1
3 Toca Fusion Elite Pre 3210 233+20 72.33 WDW -0.67 -1.26 99% 2.0
4 St. Louis Stars SC Pre 3201 179+8 62.00 WWL +0.44 +0.43 44% 5.1
5 Union KC Soccer Club Navy Pre 6402 1912+7 122.00 LWLWW +0.01 — 17% 5.1
6 Sporting Nebraska FC Pre 3201 65+1 62.00 WWL -0.40 -1.24 32% 5.6
7 Missouri Rush Pre- Blue 3111 118+3 41.33 DWL +0.67 -0.87 11% 6.7
8 Kansas City Surf Pre 3102 58-3 31.00 LLW -0.56 +0.32 0% 8.9
9 VSA Rush Pre 3102 58-3 31.00 WLL +0.78 -1.41 1% 7.4
10 Southwest MO Rush Pre 3102 213-11 31.00 LLW +0.19 +1.38 0% 10.4
11 Union KC Soccer Club Red Pre 0000 00+0 00.00 — — ——
12 Sporting Iowa Central Pre 3003 211-9 00.00 LLL +0.50 +0.98 0% 11.5
13 FC Wichita Navy Pre 3003 218-16 00.00 LLL +0.71 +0.14 0% 11.9
14 Kansas Rush Pre 3003 130-29 00.00 LLL +2.08 +0.00 0% 13.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.