Sporting Iowa Central Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Heartland BU11 · 14 teams · Sporting Iowa Central (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 14, 02:00 PM
Paragon Star Sports Complex , Field 5S ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.2 for, 6.0 against · 0.08 expected points)
| Season so far | Sporting Iowa Central Pre | Toca Fusion Elite Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-3 | 2-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 7.7 |
| Goals against / game | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L | W D W |
| Biggest win | — | 16–0 vs Kansas Rush Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–6 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.42 | +2.94 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.50 | -0.67 |
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Toca Fusion Elite Pre score 7.7/game — well above the league's 2.9.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
Toca Fusion Elite Pre concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–6 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre, 0–2 vs Kansas City Surf Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 2%; a draw (3%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Paragon Star Sports Complex .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Union KC Soccer Club Red Pre sit 11th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Union KC Soccer Club Red Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Toca Fusion Elite Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting Iowa Central Pre – Toca Fusion Elite Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 15 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 14th▼ down 2 |
| Win 0.75 PPG |
11th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 2 | 13th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 0.25 PPG |
11th▲ up 1 | 11th▲ up 1 | 13th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 14th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th <1%
- 9th 1%
- 10th 27%
- 11th 30%
- 12th 10%
- 13th 21%
- 14th 10%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Athletics Pre | 3.00 (+3.00) | 3rd (2.55) | 18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Gretna Elite Academy Pre | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.68) | 18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Toca Fusion Elite Pre | 2.33 (+2.33) | 2nd (2.56) | 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | St. Louis Stars SC Pre | 2.00 (+2.00) | 6th (1.89) | 12 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Union KC Soccer Club Navy Pre | 2.00 (+2.00) | 4th (2.00) | 12 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | Sporting Nebraska FC Pre | 2.00 (+2.00) | 5th (1.94) | 12 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 7 | Missouri Rush Pre- Blue | 1.33 (+1.33) | 7th (1.55) | 8 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 8 | Kansas City Surf Pre | 1.00 (+1.00) | 9th (1.01) | 6 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection |
| 9 | VSA Rush Pre | 1.00 (+1.00) | 8th (1.47) | 6 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection |
| 10 | Southwest MO Rush Pre | 1.00 (+1.00) | 10th (0.65) | 6 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 4 for their projection |
| 11 | Union KC Soccer Club Red Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 14th (0.00) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
4 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.98 · 2nd hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 14 02:00 PM |
Toca Fusion Elite Pre 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +20 |
Away far trip
Paragon Star Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–5 | 0.08 | 0.02 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 08:00 AM |
FC Wichita Navy Pre 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -16 |
Away far trip
Paragon Star Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–2 | 1.61 | 0.34 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
Kansas City Athletics Pre 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +19 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–5 | 0.12 | 0.30 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Athletics Pre | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | +19 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -2.77 | +0.71 | 97% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs St. Louis Stars SC Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Sporting Iowa Central Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Gretna Elite Academy Pre | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | +13 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.28 | -0.20 | 99% | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas City Athletics Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas City Surf Pre · Sun Nov 15 at FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Toca Fusion Elite Pre | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 3 | +20 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -0.67 | -1.26 | 99% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Sporting Iowa Central Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Southwest MO Rush Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Kansas City Surf Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | St. Louis Stars SC Pre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | +0.44 | +0.43 | 44% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Southwest MO Rush Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Kansas City Athletics Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Missouri Rush Pre- Blue See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Union KC Soccer Club Navy Pre | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 12 | 2.00 | LWLWW | +0.01 | — | 17% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 6 | Sporting Nebraska FC Pre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -0.40 | -1.24 | 32% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs VSA Rush Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Missouri Rush Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 15 at Kansas Rush Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Missouri Rush Pre- Blue | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 4 | 1.33 | DWL | +0.67 | -0.87 | 11% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas Rush Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Nebraska FC Pre · Sun Nov 15 at St. Louis Stars SC Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Kansas City Surf Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | -0.56 | +0.32 | 0% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Kansas Rush Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Toca Fusion Elite Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | VSA Rush Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.78 | -1.41 | 1% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Nebraska FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Southwest MO Rush Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Southwest MO Rush Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | +0.19 | +1.38 | 0% | 10.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at St. Louis Stars SC Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Toca Fusion Elite Pre · Sun Nov 15 at VSA Rush Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Union KC Soccer Club Red Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. |
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| 12 | Sporting Iowa Central Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.50 | +0.98 | 0% | 11.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Toca Fusion Elite Pre · Sat Nov 14 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Kansas City Athletics Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | FC Wichita Navy Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.71 | +0.14 | 0% | 11.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Sporting Iowa Central Pre · Sat Nov 14 at VSA Rush Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Gretna Elite Academy Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Kansas Rush Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 30 | -29 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +2.08 | +0.00 | 0% | 13.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Missouri Rush Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas City Surf Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Sporting Nebraska FC Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.