Plymouth Reign Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- GMA BU12 · 9 teams · Plymouth Soccer Club (all teams)

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1st

1-0-0 record · 1 played

3.00 points per game

+3 goal diff · 5–2

Wlast 1

87% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.8

-1.91 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 05:00 PM

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Plymouth Reign Pre
1st · 3.00 PPG

Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY
3rd · 1.75 PPG

Wanda Park, Field 1 ↗ far trip

40% 21% 39%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.9 against · 1.42 expected points)

Season so far	Plymouth Reign Pre	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY
Position	1st	3rd
Record (W-D-L)	1-0-0	2-1-1
Points per game	3.00	1.75
Goals for / game	5.0	1.5
Goals against / game	2.0	1.3
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	1
Form (recent first)	W	W W L D
Biggest win	5–2 vs Michigan Burn Pre	3–1 vs Michigan Burn Pre
Worst loss	—	0–2 vs Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.47	+0.05
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-1.91	-0.39

Common opponents: Michigan Burn Pre — we 5–2; they 3–1.

Game plan

Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 40%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 05:00 PM at Wanda Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Plymouth Reign Pre – Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 2.00 PPG	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1
Win 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Draw 2.00 PPG	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1
Loss 1.50 PPG	3rd▼ down 2	3rd▼ down 2	4th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we fall to at least 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

19% finish 1st

87% top 4

13% below the top 4

2.8 average finish

1st 19%
2nd 32%
3rd 20%
4th 16%
5th 8%
6th 5%
7th <1%
8th
9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

3 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Plymouth Reign Pre to Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us

1 even

1 favour them

-0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.30 · 3rd hardest of 7

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Nov 1 05:00 PM	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +1	Away far trip Wanda Park	●●●●○ Tough	40%	1–1	1.42	2.21	Upside
Fri Nov 6 06:00 PM	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre 4th · 1-1-1 · GD -4	Away Rolling Hills Ypsilanti	●●●○○ Toss-up	46%	2–2	1.56	1.99	Swing game
Sun Nov 8 03:30 PM	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +10	Home Lake Pointe Soccer Complex	●●●●○ Tough	28%	2–2	1.02	1.75	Upside
Sun Jan 17 08:10 AM	Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -4	Away Legacy Center Sports Complex	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	2–2	1.68	1.74	Swing game
Sat May 15 01:30 PM	Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE 5th · 2-1-4 · GD -10	Home Lake Pointe Soccer Complex	●●○○○ Lean win	66%	3–2	2.13	1.80	Swing game
Sun Jun 6 04:30 PM	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +10	Away far trip Quickstad Park	●●●●● Very tough	19%	1–3	0.73	1.65	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Plymouth Reign Pre

3.00

-1.91

+0.30

87%

2.8

Sat Sep 12

Michigan Burn Pre (9th)

5–2

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY · Fri Nov 6 at Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY (3rd)	1–1	40%
·	Fri Nov 6	at	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	2–2	46%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green (2nd)	2–2	28%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA (6th)	2–2	50%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE (5th)	3–2	66%
·	Sun Jun 6	at	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green (2nd)	1–3	19%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green

+10

2.25

LWWW

-0.81

-0.00

100%

1.3

W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE (5th)	4–2
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Michigan Burn Pre (9th)	7–0
W	Fri Oct 2	at	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY (3rd)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Nationals SC Capital Area Pre (—)	1–2

Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA · Sun Sep 20 at Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Plymouth Reign Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 19 (no score yet)	vs	Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA (6th)	3–1	76%
·	Sun Sep 20 (no score yet)	at	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	3–1	64%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Plymouth Reign Pre (1st)	2–2	54%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Nationals SC-Macomb PreECNL Blue (—)	3–1	71%
·	Sat May 1	at	Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA (6th)	3–1	67%
·	Fri May 14	vs	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	3–1	74%
·	Sat Jun 5	vs	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY (3rd)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Jun 6	vs	Plymouth Reign Pre (1st)	3–1	65%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY

1.75

DLWW

-0.39

+0.32

88%

3.2

W	Fri Oct 16	vs	Michigan Burn Pre (9th)	3–1
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA (6th)	2–1
L	Fri Oct 2	vs	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green (2nd)	0–2
D	Fri Sep 25	vs	Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE (5th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Plymouth Reign Pre · Sat Apr 24 at Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	2–1	47%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Plymouth Reign Pre (1st)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Nationals SC-Macomb PreECNL Blue (—)	1–1	45%
·	Sat Jun 5	at	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green (2nd)	1–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre

-4

1.33

-0.36

-0.14

79%

3.5

W	Sun Oct 4	at	Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE (5th)	5–3
D	Fri Sep 18	vs	Legends FC Pre (7th)	1–1

Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green · Sat Oct 24 at Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY · Sun Oct 25 at Michigan Burn Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 20 (no score yet)	vs	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green (2nd)	1–3	20%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY (3rd)	1–2	32%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Michigan Burn Pre (9th)	3–1	67%
·	Fri Oct 30	vs	Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY (—)	2–2	44%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA (6th)	2–2	39%
·	Fri Nov 6	vs	Plymouth Reign Pre (1st)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY (3rd)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY (—)	2–2	44%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Michigan Burn Pre (9th)	3–1	76%
·	Fri May 14	at	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green (2nd)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Jun 5	vs	Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE (5th)	3–2	55%
·	Sun Jun 6	vs	Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA (6th)	2–2	50%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE

-10

1.00

WDLL

+0.33

-0.01

22%

5.1

L	Sat Oct 10	at	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green (2nd)	2–4
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	3–5
D	Fri Sep 25	at	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY (3rd)	1–1
W	Fri Sep 11	vs	Legends FC Pre (7th)	4–3

Next: Sun Apr 18 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA · Sat May 15 at Plymouth Reign Pre · Sat Jun 5 at Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA (6th)	2–3	33%
·	Sat May 15	at	Plymouth Reign Pre (1st)	2–3	20%
·	Sat Jun 5	at	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	2–3	29%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA

-4

0.75

LWL

-0.88

+0.40

25%

5.2

L	Sun Oct 4	at	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY (3rd)	1–2
W	Fri Sep 18	vs	Michigan Burn Pre (9th)	4–2
L	Sun Aug 30	vs	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL BLUE (—)	1–5

Next: Sat Sep 19 at Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green · Sun Nov 1 vs Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre · Sun Jan 17 vs Plymouth Reign Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 19 (no score yet)	at	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green (2nd)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	2–2	42%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Plymouth Reign Pre (1st)	2–2	32%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE (5th)	3–2	50%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green (2nd)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Jun 6	at	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	2–2	32%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Legends FC Pre

-1

0.50

-0.36

—

6.9

Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY

0.00

—

Michigan Burn Pre

-22

0.00

LLLL

+0.40

-0.14

8.5

L	Fri Oct 16	at	Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY (3rd)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green (2nd)	0–7
L	Fri Sep 18	at	Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA (6th)	2–4
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Plymouth Reign Pre (1st)	2–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre · Sat May 1 at Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	1–3	18%
·	Sat May 1	at	Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre (4th)	1–3	12%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.39 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.