TableChase Clubs

Michigan Burn Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- GMA BU12 · 9 teams · Michigan Burn (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
9th
0-0-7 record · 7 played
0.00 points per game
-22 goal diff · 6–28
LLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.5
+0.40 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:45 PM

Open the match preview →

Michigan Burn Pre
9th · 0.00 PPG
vs
Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre
4th · 1.33 PPG

The Sports Academy, Field 9v9 A ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.8 for, 3.3 against · 0.70 expected points)

Season so farMichigan Burn PreLiverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre
Position9th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-71-1-1
Points per game0.001.33
Goals for / game0.92.0
Goals against / game4.03.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L L L LW D
Biggest win—5–3 at Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE
Worst loss0–7 at Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.91-0.14
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.40-0.36

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–7 at Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 18%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY sit 8th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Michigan Burn Pre – Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Win
0.38 PPG		 8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1
Draw
0.13 PPG		 8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG		 9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 46%
  9. 9th 51%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 0.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Plymouth Reign Pre 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (1.65) 27 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green 2.25 (+2.25) 1st (2.19) 21 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY 1.75 (+1.75) 3rd (1.51) 16 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre 1.33 (+1.33) 4th (1.44) 12 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE 1.00 (+1.00) 5th (0.99) 9 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA 0.75 (+0.75) 6th (0.96) 7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 Legends FC Pre 0.50 (+0.50) 7th (0.50) 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection
8 Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY 0.00 (+0.00) 9th (0.00) Already ahead

How the results connect

2 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Michigan Burn Pre to Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
2 favour them
-5.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 1–1 3–5 0–7 4–2 Michigan Burn Pre 9th Nationals SC-Oaklan… 3rd Royal Oak FC Pre- G… 2nd Nationals SC Genese… 5th Liverpool FC-IA MI … 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 11 Sep 18 Oct 2 Oct 4 Oct 16

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.14 · 6th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
02:45 PM		 Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre
4th · 1-1-1 · GD -4		 Home
The Sports Academy		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–3 0.70 0.09 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 PM		 Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre
4th · 1-1-1 · GD -4		 Away far trip
Rolling Hills Ypsilanti		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–3 0.47 0.13 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Plymouth Reign Pre 1100 52+3 33.00 W -1.91 +0.30 86% 2.8
2 Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green 4301 144+10 92.25 LWWW -0.81 -0.00 100% 1.3
3 Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY 4211 65+1 71.75 DLWW -0.39 +0.32 89% 3.1
4 Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre 3111 610-4 41.33 DW -0.36 -0.14 81% 3.5
5 Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE 7214 1727-10 71.00 WDLL +0.33 -0.01 21% 5.1
6 Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA 4103 812-4 30.75 LWL -0.88 +0.40 24% 5.2
7 Legends FC Pre 2011 45-1 10.50 LD -0.36 — 0% 6.9
8 Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY 0000 00+0 00.00 — — ——
9 Michigan Burn Pre 7007 628-22 00.00 LLLL +0.40 -0.14 0% 8.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.39 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.