Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- GMA BU12 · 9 teams · Liverpool FC-IA Michigan (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:45 PM
The Sports Academy, Field 9v9 A ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.1 for, 1.8 against · 2.06 expected points)
| Season so far | Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre | Michigan Burn Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-2 | 0-0-7 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals against / game | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D | L L L L |
| Biggest win | 5–3 at Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE | — |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY | 0–7 at Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.27 | -1.88 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.17 | +0.44 |
Common opponents: Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY — we 1–2; they 1–3.
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Michigan Burn Pre average 0.9 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 1 of 7.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
Michigan Burn Pre concede 4.0/game; worst result 0–7 at Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 63% / draw 16% / loss 21%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Confidence is low on their side
Michigan Burn Pre have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
-
Away game
Kickoff 02:45 PM at The Sports Academy.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Michigan Burn Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre – Michigan Burn Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.40 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Win 1.40 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Loss 0.80 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 7%
- 3rd 22%
- 4th 37%
- 5th 22%
- 6th 11%
- 7th <1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.47 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Reign Pre | 3.00 (+2.00) | 3rd (1.65) | 41 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 2 | Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green | 2.25 (+1.25) | 1st (2.19) | 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 3 | Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY | 2.00 (+1.00) | 2nd (1.70) | 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
How the results connect
5 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre to Michigan Burn Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.14 · 6th hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 20 03:00 PM no score posted |
Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home Rolling Hills Ypsilanti |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–3 | 0.72 | 0.94 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 02:45 PM |
Michigan Burn Pre 9th · 0-0-7 · GD -22 |
Away far trip
The Sports Academy |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
3–1 | 2.06 | 1.13 | Swing game |
| Fri Oct 30 06:00 PM |
Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY |
Home Rolling Hills Ypsilanti |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Clintonwood Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.28 | 1.18 | Upside |
| Fri Nov 6 06:00 PM |
Plymouth Reign Pre 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +3 |
Home Rolling Hills Ypsilanti |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.19 | 1.19 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 PM |
Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY 3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +2 |
Home Rolling Hills Ypsilanti |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.30 | 1.20 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 10:30 AM |
Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY |
Home Rolling Hills Ypsilanti |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 1.22 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 PM |
Michigan Burn Pre 9th · 0-0-7 · GD -22 |
Home Rolling Hills Ypsilanti |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
3–1 | 2.33 | 1.31 | Bank it |
| Fri May 14 07:00 PM |
Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Quickstad Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.50 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sat Jun 5 12:00 PM |
Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE 5th · 2-1-4 · GD -10 |
Home Rolling Hills Ypsilanti |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
3–2 | 1.72 | 1.28 | Swing game |
| Sun Jun 6 12:00 PM |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Home Rolling Hills Ypsilanti |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.60 | 1.30 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Reign Pre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -1.88 | +0.30 | 86% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY · Fri Nov 6 at Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | -0.76 | -0.01 | 100% | 1.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA · Sun Sep 20 at Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Plymouth Reign Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 | 2.00 | DLWWW | -0.35 | +0.40 | 98% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Plymouth Reign Pre · Sat Apr 24 at Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre · Sat May 15 vs Nationals SC-Macomb PreECNL Blue See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 | 1.00 | DWL | -0.17 | -0.14 | 67% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green · Sun Oct 25 at Michigan Burn Pre · Fri Oct 30 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 7 | 1.00 | WDLL | +0.32 | -0.04 | 23% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Apr 18 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA · Sat May 15 at Plymouth Reign Pre · Sat Jun 5 at Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | LWL | -0.81 | +0.36 | 26% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Royal Oak FC Pre- GMA Green · Sun Nov 1 vs Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre · Sun Jan 17 vs Plymouth Reign Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Legends FC Pre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | LD | -0.42 | — | 0% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL GRAY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Michigan Burn Pre | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 28 | -22 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.44 | -0.27 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre · Sat May 1 at Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.37 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.