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Legends FC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- GMA BU11 · 11 teams · Legends FC (all teams)

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9th
1-1-5 record · 7 played
0.57 points per game
-13 goal diff · 7–20
LLLDWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.2
+0.13 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 04:00 PM

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Legends FC Pre
9th · 0.57 PPG
at

The Sports Academy, Field 9v9 A ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.8 for, 2.2 against · 1.13 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC PreMichigan Burn Pre White
Position9th8th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-51-0-3
Points per game0.570.75
Goals for / game1.01.5
Goals against / game2.93.5
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)W D L L LL L W L
Biggest win3–1 vs Michigan Rangers FC Pre4–1 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY
Worst loss1–7 at Plymouth Reign Pre0–6 vs Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.27-1.33
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.13-0.73

Common opponents: Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre — we 2–3; they 1–5. Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE — we 1–3; they 0–6. Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY — we 0–0; they 4–1, 1–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 vs Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE, 0–5 at TKO Premier SC Pre- White, 0–0 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 31%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 04:00 PM at The Sports Academy.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Michigan Burn Pre White sit 8th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.57.

    A point moves us above Michigan Burn Pre White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Michigan Burn Pre White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC Pre – Michigan Burn Pre White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Win
0.88 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 9th— holds
Draw
0.63 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Loss
0.50 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 29%
  9. 9th 36%
  10. 10th 18%
  11. 11th 16%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 1.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 TKO Premier SC Pre- White 3.00 (+2.43) 3rd (2.58) 38 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE 3.00 (+2.43) 1st (2.66) 38 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA 3.00 (+2.43) 2nd (2.60) 38 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre 2.25 (+1.68) 5th (1.82) 28 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Plymouth Reign Pre 2.00 (+1.43) 4th (1.88) 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE 1.71 (+1.14) 7th (1.60) 20 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
7 Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green 1.50 (+0.93) 6th (1.65) 17 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
8 Michigan Burn Pre White 0.75 (+0.18) 8th (0.70) A point next game

How the results connect

23 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC Pre to Michigan Burn Pre White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

15 favour us
2 even
6 favour them
+1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 2–1 1–4 2–3 5–1 1–3 6–0 1–7 5–0 1–6 3–1 1–1 0–5 7–2 0–1 2–1 4–1 1–2 3–0 Legends FC Pre 9th Nationals SC Macomb… 11th Liverpool FC-IA MI … 4th Nationals SC Oaklan… 2nd Plymouth Reign Pre 5th Michigan Rangers FC… 10th TKO Premier SC Pre-… 1st Nationals SC Genese… 6th Michigan Burn Pre W… 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 28 Sep 13 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +1.06 · 2nd hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
04:00 PM
Michigan Burn Pre White
8th · 1-0-3 · GD -8
Away far trip
The Sports Academy
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.13 0.64 Upside
Sat Dec 5
08:10 AM
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA
3rd · 3-0-0 · GD +17
Home
Legacy Center Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.23 0.60 Upside
Sun Jan 24
08:10 AM
Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +1
Home
Legacy Center Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.83 0.62 Upside
Fri Apr 23
06:00 PM
Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE
6th · 4-0-3 · GD +3
Away far trip
Rick Hartker Soccer Fields
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.64 0.62 Upside
Thu May 13
06:00 PM
Plymouth Reign Pre
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +10
Home
Legacy Center Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.40 0.60 Upside
Sat May 22
06:00 PM
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA
3rd · 3-0-0 · GD +17
Away far trip
Clintonwood Park
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–4 0.13 0.57 Upside
Sun May 23
12:00 PM
TKO Premier SC Pre- White
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +24
Home
Legacy Center Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.23 0.54 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 TKO Premier SC Pre- White 6600 3410+24 183.00 WWWWW -0.56 +0.39 99% 2.2
2 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE 5500 232+21 153.00 WWWWW -1.52 +0.39 99% 2.0
3 Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA 3300 192+17 93.00 WWW -1.59 -0.42 99% 2.1
4 Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre 4301 1110+1 92.25 WLWW -0.12 +0.05 32% 5.2
5 Plymouth Reign Pre 3201 166+10 62.00 WLW -0.40 +0.17 45% 4.9
6 Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE 7403 1613+3 121.71 LWLWL -0.45 -0.09 9% 6.0
7 Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green 2101 73+4 31.50 WL +0.10 +0.04 18% 5.7
8 Michigan Burn Pre White 4103 614-8 30.75 LWLL -0.73 +0.90 0% 8.5
9 Legends FC Pre 7115 720-13 40.57 LLLDW +0.13 +1.06 0% 9.2
10 Michigan Rangers FC Pre 8116 835-27 40.50 LLLLD +0.41 +0.74 0% 9.7
11 Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY 11128 840-32 50.45 LLDLD -0.20 +1.41 0% 10.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.65 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.