South Miami United FC Pre- Black
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU12 · 13 teams · South Miami United FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 09:00 AM
South Miami Park, Field 6 11v11 ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.3 for, 3.3 against · 0.96 expected points)
| Season so far | South Miami United FC Pre- Black | Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-2 | 5-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.14 |
| Goals for / game | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L W W | L W W L W |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Davie United SC - Pre | 12–1 at PSL Hurricanes FC Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–5 at Parkland Soccer Club Pre | 0–1 at Wellington SC PRE |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.22 | +2.17 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.67 | +0.26 |
Common opponents: PSL Hurricanes FC Pre — we 8–1; they 12–1. Parkland Soccer Club Pre — we 1–5; they 2–0. Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL — we 2–4; they 4–0.
Game plan
-
Hard to break down
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL concede only 1.0/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 27%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
-
What a win does
Palm Beach United FC Pre sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.80.A win moves us above Palm Beach United FC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (South Miami United FC Pre- Black – Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.50 PPG |
7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 3 | 3rd▲ up 3 | 4th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–3 loss we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 9%
- 6th 19%
- 7th 60%
- 8th 5%
- 9th 1%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington SC PRE | 3.00 (+1.20) | 1st (2.42) | 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 2 | Doral Soccer Club Pre | 2.17 (+0.37) | 3rd (2.20) | 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 3 | Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL | 2.14 (+0.34) | 2nd (2.24) | 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 4 | Strikers Miami FC PRE | 2.00 (+0.20) | 5th (2.09) | Win next game |
| 5 | Palm Beach United FC Pre | 2.00 (+0.20) | 4th (2.11) | Win next game |
How the results connect
16 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link South Miami United FC Pre- Black to Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
15 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.19 · 2nd hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +21 |
Home South Miami Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
2–3 | 0.96 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 10:30 AM |
Doral Soccer Club Pre 2nd · 4-1-1 · GD +18 |
Away Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
2–3 | 0.81 | 1.54 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 09:00 AM |
Miami FC Academy Pre 11th · 0-1-2 · GD -16 |
Home South Miami Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
6–1 | 2.85 | 1.70 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 9 11:30 AM |
Athletic Club Florida Pre 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
3–2 | 1.99 | 1.73 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 23 10:30 AM |
Miami FC Academy Pre 11th · 0-1-2 · GD -16 |
Away Tamiami Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
5–1 | 2.73 | 1.83 | Bank it |
| Sun Jan 24 10:15 AM |
Strikers Miami FC PRE 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +11 |
Home South Miami Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
2–2 | 1.35 | 1.79 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 10:15 AM |
Doral Soccer Club Pre 2nd · 4-1-1 · GD +18 |
Home South Miami Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–3 | 1.14 | 1.74 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 11:00 AM |
Palm Beach United FC Pre 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
Gardens North County District Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
2–3 | 0.86 | 1.67 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 11:30 AM |
Davie United SC - Pre 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -21 |
Home South Miami Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
7–1 | 2.91 | 1.76 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 11:30 AM |
Wellington SC PRE 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13 |
Home South Miami Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.03 | 1.71 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 11:00 AM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL 8th · 2-1-4 · GD -14 |
Away far trip
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
4–2 | 2.28 | 1.75 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 10:00 AM |
Strikers Miami FC PRE 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +11 |
Away Bridge Prep Academy |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–3 | 1.03 | 1.70 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington SC PRE | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | +0.52 | -0.43 | 93% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Miami FC Academy Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Doral Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Palm Beach United FC Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Doral Soccer Club Pre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 13 | 2.17 | WLWWW | -0.26 | -0.52 | 79% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN · Sun Nov 1 at Wellington SC PRE · Sat Nov 7 vs Miami FC Academy Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 7 | +21 | 15 | 2.14 | WLWWL | +0.26 | -0.48 | 85% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Palm Beach United FC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at South Miami United FC Pre- Black · Sat Nov 14 vs Miami FC Academy Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Strikers Miami FC PRE | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 12 | 2.00 | WWWLL | +0.21 | -0.64 | 56% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at PSL Hurricanes FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN · Sat Nov 14 at Palm Beach United FC Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Palm Beach United FC Pre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | +0.66 | -0.37 | 62% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Athletic Club Florida Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL · Sun Nov 8 vs Wellington SC PRE See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | South Miami United FC Pre- Black | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLLW | -1.67 | +0.19 | 7% | 6.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL · Sat Dec 5 at Doral Soccer Club Pre · Sun Dec 6 vs Miami FC Academy Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Parkland Soccer Club Pre | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 13 | 1.63 | WWLLW | +0.99 | -1.00 | 18% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs PSL Hurricanes FC Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL · Sat Dec 5 at Miami FC Academy Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 7 | 1.00 | LDWLL | +0.59 | -0.51 | 0% | 8.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Miami FC Academy Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Parkland Soccer Club Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Davie United SC - Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Athletic Club Florida Pre | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 4 | 0.67 | LLLDW | +0.04 | -0.01 | 0% | 8.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Palm Beach United FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Miami FC Academy Pre · Sat Jan 9 vs South Miami United FC Pre- Black See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 2 | 0.40 | LDLDL | +0.50 | +0.09 | 0% | 10.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Doral Soccer Club Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs PSL Hurricanes FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Strikers Miami FC PRE See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Miami FC Academy Pre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | -0.11 | +0.12 | 0% | 11.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL · Sun Oct 25 at Wellington SC PRE · Sun Nov 1 at Athletic Club Florida Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | PSL Hurricanes FC Pre | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 29 | -24 | 1 | 0.25 | LLDL | +0.03 | +0.47 | 0% | 12.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Parkland Soccer Club Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN · Sat Oct 31 vs Strikers Miami FC PRE See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | Davie United SC - Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.81 | +0.06 | 0% | 12.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL · Sun Nov 15 vs Palm Beach United FC Pre · Sat Dec 5 at Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.90 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.