TableChase Clubs

Palm Beach United FC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU12 · 13 teams · Palm Beach United FC (all teams)

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5th
2-0-1 record · 3 played
2.00 points per game
+11 goal diff · 15–4
WWLlast 3
63% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.8
+0.83 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:00 PM

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Palm Beach United FC Pre
5th · 2.00 PPG
vs
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
3rd · 2.14 PPG

Mirasol Park, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.6 against · 1.31 expected points)

Season so farPalm Beach United FC PreFort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
Position5th3rd
Record (W-D-L)2-0-15-0-2
Points per game2.002.14
Goals for / game5.04.0
Goals against / game1.31.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L W WL W W L W
Biggest win10–1 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL12–1 at PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
Worst loss0–1 at Parkland Soccer Club Pre0–1 at Wellington SC PRE
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.95+2.17
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.83+0.32

Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL — we 10–1; they 4–0. Doral Soccer Club Pre — we 5–2; they 2–3. Parkland Soccer Club Pre — we 0–1; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL concede only 1.0/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at Parkland Soccer Club Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 38%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Strikers Miami FC PRE sit 4th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above Strikers Miami FC PRE on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Palm Beach United FC Pre – Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.75 PPG		 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1
Win
2.25 PPG		 2nd▲ up 3 2nd▲ up 3 2nd▲ up 3
Draw
1.75 PPG		 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1
Loss
1.50 PPG		 7th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we fall to at least 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

11% finish 1st
63% top 4
37% below the top 4
3.8 average finish
  1. 1st 11%
  2. 2nd 14%
  3. 3rd 16%
  4. 4th 22%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 12%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.83 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Wellington SC PRE 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.41) 48 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
2 Doral Soccer Club Pre 2.17 (+0.17) 3rd (2.19) A point next game
3 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 2.14 (+0.14) 2nd (2.24) A point next game
4 Strikers Miami FC PRE 2.00 (+0.00) 5th (2.07) A point next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Palm Beach United FC Pre to Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
1 even
4 favour them
+1.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 0–2 5–2 3–2 10–1 0–4 1–1 1–2 1–0 3–0 1–5 4–0 1–4 1–3 0–2 Palm Beach United F… 5th Parkland Soccer Clu… 7th Doral Soccer Club P… 2nd Fort Lauderdale Uni… 8th Wellington SC PRE 1st Athletic Club Flori… 9th Strikers Miami FC P… 4th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.40 · 8th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 20
02:00 PM
no score posted		 Athletic Club Florida Pre
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -6		 Away far trip
Tamarac Sports Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 3–1 2.28 2.07 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
03:00 PM		 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +21		 Home
Mirasol Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.31 1.92 Upside
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM		 Wellington SC PRE
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13		 Home
Gardens North County District Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
39%		 2–2 1.36 1.83 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM		 Strikers Miami FC PRE
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +11		 Home
Gardens North County District Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 2–2 1.71 1.81 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
11:30 AM		 Davie United SC - Pre
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -21		 Away far trip
Bamford Sports Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 6–1 2.89 1.95 Bank it
Sat Dec 5
11:00 AM		 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +21		 Away far trip
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 2–2 0.99 1.84 Upside
Sun Dec 6
11:00 AM		 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN
10th · 0-2-3 · GD -15		 Home
Gardens North County District Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 6–1 2.82 1.94 Bank it
Sat Jan 9
10:30 AM		 Miami FC Academy Pre
11th · 0-1-3 · GD -22		 Away far trip
Tamiami Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 6–1 2.90 2.02 Bank it
Sun Jan 10
11:00 AM		 Athletic Club Florida Pre
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -6		 Home
Gardens North County District Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 4–1 2.53 2.07 Bank it
Sat Jan 23
01:00 PM		 PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -24		 Away far trip
Swan Park 11v11		 ●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 7–1 2.90 2.13 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
11:00 AM		 Parkland Soccer Club Pre
7th · 4-1-3 · GD +8		 Home
Gardens North County District Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 2–1 1.73 2.10 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
11:00 AM		 South Miami United FC Pre- Black
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +14		 Home
Gardens North County District Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
61%		 3–2 1.98 2.09 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 PM		 Wellington SC PRE
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13		 Away
Village Park 		●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–2 1.07 2.03 Upside
Sat Apr 10
03:00 PM		 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN
10th · 0-2-3 · GD -15		 Away far trip
McChesney Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
87%		 5–1 2.67 2.07 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
03:00 PM		 PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -24		 Home
Gardens North County District Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
98%		 8–1 2.95 2.12 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Wellington SC PRE 5500 152+13 153.00 WWWWW +0.52 -0.42 94% 2.0
2 Doral Soccer Club Pre 6411 268+18 132.17 WLWWW -0.24 -0.51 78% 3.2
3 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 7502 287+21 152.14 WLWWL +0.32 -0.51 83% 3.0
4 Strikers Miami FC PRE 6402 187+11 122.00 WWWLL +0.22 -0.62 54% 4.2
5 Palm Beach United FC Pre 3201 154+11 62.00 WWL +0.83 -0.40 63% 3.8
6 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 5302 2511+14 91.80 WWLLW -1.54 +0.15 8% 6.5
7 Parkland Soccer Club Pre 8413 179+8 131.63 WWLLW +1.00 -0.99 20% 5.4
8 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL 8314 2129-8 101.25 DWLLW +0.05 -0.33 0% 8.1
9 Athletic Club Florida Pre 6114 1218-6 40.67 LLLDW +0.04 +0.00 0% 8.9
10 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN 5023 924-15 20.40 LDLDL +0.61 +0.05 0% 10.1
11 Miami FC Academy Pre 4013 224-22 10.25 LLDL -0.25 +0.27 0% 12.0
12 PSL Hurricanes FC Pre 4013 529-24 10.25 LLDL -0.09 +0.52 0% 12.0
13 Davie United SC - Pre 3003 122-21 00.00 LLL +0.97 +0.02 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.90 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.