TableChase Clubs

Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU12 · 13 teams · Mako Soccer Club (all teams)

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10th
0-2-3 record · 5 played
0.40 points per game
-15 goal diff · 9–24
LDLDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.1
+0.61 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:00 PM

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Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN
10th · 0.40 PPG
vs
PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
12th · 0.25 PPG

McChesney Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 4–2 (expected goals 4.7 for, 2.6 against · 2.27 expected points)

Season so farMako Soccer Club PRE- GREENPSL Hurricanes FC Pre
Position10th12th
Record (W-D-L)0-2-30-1-3
Points per game0.400.25
Goals for / game1.81.3
Goals against / game4.87.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L D L D LL D L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss1–7 at Wellington SC PRE1–12 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.67-3.40
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.61-0.09

Common opponents: South Miami United FC Pre- Black — we 1–5; they 1–8. Athletic Club Florida Pre — we 2–2; they 1–7.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    PSL Hurricanes FC Pre average 1.2 goals/game (league avg 2.9); blanked in 0 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    PSL Hurricanes FC Pre concede 7.2/game; worst result 1–12 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 72% chance; likely score 4–2.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • What a win does
    Athletic Club Florida Pre sit 9th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.40.

    A point moves us above Athletic Club Florida Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the PSL Hurricanes FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN – PSL Hurricanes FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 0.83 PPG
9th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 1
Win
0.83 PPG
9th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 1
Draw
0.50 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Loss
0.33 PPG
11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–2 win we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 11%
  10. 10th 73%
  11. 11th 11%
  12. 12th 3%
  13. 13th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.28 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Wellington SC PRE 3.00 (+2.60) 1st (2.41) 52 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Doral Soccer Club Pre 2.17 (+1.77) 3rd (2.19) 38 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
3 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 2.14 (+1.74) 2nd (2.24) 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
4 Strikers Miami FC PRE 2.00 (+1.60) 5th (2.07) 34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
5 Palm Beach United FC Pre 2.00 (+1.60) 4th (2.12) 34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
6 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 1.80 (+1.40) 7th (1.71) 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
7 Parkland Soccer Club Pre 1.63 (+1.23) 6th (1.91) 28 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
8 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL 1.25 (+0.85) 8th (1.30) 21 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
9 Athletic Club Florida Pre 0.67 (+0.27) 9th (1.08) A point next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN to PSL Hurricanes FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
0 favour them
+5.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–5 8–1 2–2 7–1 1–6 3–0 0–2 12–1 1–7 4–0 5–1 1–0 4–4 6–0 2–2 1–5 0–4 4–2 Mako Soccer Club PR… 10th South Miami United … 6th Athletic Club Flori… 9th Parkland Soccer Clu… 7th Wellington SC PRE 1st Fort Lauderdale Uni… 8th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 3rd Miami FC Academy Pre 11th PSL Hurricanes FC P… 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.05 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 17
04:30 PM
no score posted
Doral Soccer Club Pre
2nd · 4-1-1 · GD +18
Away far trip
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.14 0.36 Upside
Sun Oct 25
03:00 PM
PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -24
Home
McChesney Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
4–2 2.27 0.63 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
10:00 AM
Strikers Miami FC PRE
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +11
Away far trip
Bridge Prep Academy
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.24 0.58 Upside
Sat Dec 5
03:00 PM
Davie United SC - Pre
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -21
Home
McChesney Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
4–2 2.29 0.77 Bank it
Sun Dec 6
11:00 AM
Palm Beach United FC Pre
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +11
Away far trip
Gardens North County District Park
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–6 0.14 0.71 Upside
Sun Jan 24
01:00 PM
Miami FC Academy Pre
11th · 0-1-3 · GD -22
Home
McChesney Park
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
4–1 2.34 0.86 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
03:00 PM
Wellington SC PRE
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +13
Home
McChesney Park
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 0.81 Upside
Sat Feb 27
05:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida Pre
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -6
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–3 0.76 0.80 Upside
Sun Feb 28
11:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +21
Home
McChesney Park
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.20 0.76 Upside
Sat Mar 6
10:00 AM
Parkland Soccer Club Pre
7th · 4-1-3 · GD +8
Away far trip
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.31 0.73 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 PM
PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -24
Away
Swan Park 11v11
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
4–2 1.94 0.81 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
11:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +21
Away far trip
Autonation Field at U School
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.11 0.77 Upside
Sat Apr 10
03:00 PM
Palm Beach United FC Pre
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +11
Home
McChesney Park
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–5 0.26 0.74 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Wellington SC PRE 5500 152+13 153.00 WWWWW +0.52 -0.42 94% 2.0
2 Doral Soccer Club Pre 6411 268+18 132.17 WLWWW -0.24 -0.51 78% 3.2
3 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 7502 287+21 152.14 WLWWL +0.32 -0.51 83% 3.0
4 Strikers Miami FC PRE 6402 187+11 122.00 WWWLL +0.22 -0.62 54% 4.2
5 Palm Beach United FC Pre 3201 154+11 62.00 WWL +0.83 -0.40 63% 3.8
6 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 5302 2511+14 91.80 WWLLW -1.54 +0.15 8% 6.5
7 Parkland Soccer Club Pre 8413 179+8 131.63 WWLLW +1.00 -0.99 20% 5.4
8 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL 8314 2129-8 101.25 DWLLW +0.05 -0.33 0% 8.1
9 Athletic Club Florida Pre 6114 1218-6 40.67 LLLDW +0.04 +0.00 0% 8.9
10 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN 5023 924-15 20.40 LDLDL +0.61 +0.05 0% 10.1
11 Miami FC Academy Pre 4013 224-22 10.25 LLDL -0.25 +0.27 0% 12.0
12 PSL Hurricanes FC Pre 4013 529-24 10.25 LLDL -0.09 +0.52 0% 12.0
13 Davie United SC - Pre 3003 122-21 00.00 LLL +0.97 +0.02 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.90 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.