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Space Coast United Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU12 · 9 teams · Space Coast United (all teams)

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6th
2-1-2 record · 5 played
1.40 points per game
-6 goal diff · 9–15
LDWLWlast 5
38% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.9
+0.81 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 02:00 PM

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Space Coast United Pre
6th · 1.40 PPG
at
Sporting SA GNV Pre
9th · 0.00 PPG

Jonesville Soccer Park - GSA, Field 3 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.0 against · 1.47 expected points)

Season so farSpace Coast United PreSporting SA GNV Pre
Position6th9th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-20-0-2
Points per game1.400.00
Goals for / game1.80.5
Goals against / game3.02.5
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)W L W D LL L
Biggest win4–1 vs FC America Pre—
Worst loss0–6 at Sporting SA JAX Pre0–3 at Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.52-0.84
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.81-0.88

Common opponents: Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White — we 5–3; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Sporting SA GNV Pre average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 2.6); blanked in 1 of 2.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–6 at Sporting SA JAX Pre, 0–0 at Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2, 0–5 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 42% / draw 20% / loss 38%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:00 PM at Jonesville Soccer Park - GSA.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Brevard SA Pre- Elite sit 5th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.40.

    A point moves us above Brevard SA Pre- Elite on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting SA GNV Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Space Coast United Pre – Sporting SA GNV Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.67 PPG
4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2
Win
1.67 PPG
4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2
Draw
1.33 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Loss
1.17 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
38% top 4
62% below the top 4
4.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 14%
  4. 4th 24%
  5. 5th 32%
  6. 6th 19%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sporting SA JAX Pre 3.00 (+1.60) 1st (2.86) 41 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black 2.25 (+0.85) 2nd (2.31) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
3 Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White 1.80 (+0.40) 3rd (1.56) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
4 FC America Pre 1.50 (+0.10) 4th (1.56) A point next game
5 Brevard SA Pre- Elite 1.50 (+0.10) 6th (1.18) A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Space Coast United Pre to Sporting SA GNV Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+3.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–3 2–1 0–0 0–1 0–6 3–0 0–5 10–0 3–0 5–0 Space Coast United … 6th Florida Kraze Krush… 3rd Sporting SA JAX Pre… 8th Sporting SA JAX Pre 1st Florida Kraze Krush… 2nd Ormond Beach Soccer… 7th Sporting SA GNV Pre 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.30 · 8th hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
02:00 PM
Sporting SA GNV Pre
9th · 0-0-2 · GD -4
Away far trip
Jonesville Soccer Park - GSA
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
2–1 1.47 1.41 Swing game
Sat Dec 5
01:00 PM
Brevard SA Pre- Elite
5th · 2-0-2 · GD -8
Away
Fred Poppe Regional Park
●●●●○ Tough
41%
3–3 1.40 1.41 Upside
Sun Dec 6
10:30 AM
Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE
7th · 1-0-3 · GD -14
Away far trip
Ormond Beach Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
3–2 1.78 1.46 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
11:00 AM
Sporting SA GNV Pre
9th · 0-0-2 · GD -4
Home
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.77 1.49 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
09:00 AM
Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE
7th · 1-0-3 · GD -14
Home
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–2 2.12 1.55 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
11:00 AM
Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2
8th · 0-1-4 · GD -17
Home
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.32 1.62 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
02:00 PM
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +2
Away far trip
Central Winds
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.94 1.57 Upside
Sat Mar 6
10:30 AM
FC America Pre
4th · 1-0-1 · GD +2
Away far trip
Malia's Park at XL Lake Nona
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–3 0.87 1.51 Upside
Sat Apr 10
04:00 PM
Brevard SA Pre- Elite
5th · 2-0-2 · GD -8
Home
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
3–2 1.77 1.53 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 PM
Sporting SA JAX Pre
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +30
Home
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–4 0.15 1.44 Upside
Sat Apr 17
03:00 PM
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +15
Away far trip
Central Winds
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.31 1.37 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sporting SA JAX Pre 5500 311+30 153.00 WWWWW -0.27 -0.56 100% 1.0
2 Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black 4301 205+15 92.25 WLWW -0.20 -0.30 100% 2.0
3 Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White 5302 119+2 91.80 WWLLW -0.32 +0.09 72% 4.0
4 FC America Pre 2101 64+2 31.50 WL -0.77 +0.06 72% 4.0
5 Brevard SA Pre- Elite 4202 1119-8 61.50 WLWL +0.02 +0.14 14% 5.8
6 Space Coast United Pre 5212 915-6 71.40 LDWLW +0.81 -0.30 38% 4.9
7 Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE 4103 822-14 30.75 LLLW +0.04 +0.26 1% 7.6
8 Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 5014 017-17 10.20 LDLLL +0.90 -0.07 0% 8.7
9 Sporting SA GNV Pre 2002 15-4 00.00 LL -0.88 +0.22 3% 7.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.58 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.