FC America Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU12 · 9 teams · FC America (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 02:00 PM
SoFive Soccer Center - Winter Park, Field 5 - 11v11 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.5 for, 2.0 against · 2.46 expected points)
| Season so far | FC America Pre | Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-1 | 1-0-3 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 5.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W | W L L L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs Brevard SA Pre- Elite | 3–0 vs Sporting SA GNV Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Space Coast United Pre | 0–10 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.25 | -1.84 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.77 | +0.04 |
Common opponents: Brevard SA Pre- Elite — we 5–0; they 5–7.
Game plan
-
They leak goals — be greedy
Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE concede 5.5/game; worst result 0–10 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 79% chance; likely score 4–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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What a win does
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White sit 3rd on 1.80 PPG; we are on 1.50.A point moves us above Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC America Pre – Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 4th— holds |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
7th▼ down 3 | 7th▼ down 3 | 7th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 2%
- 3rd 43%
- 4th 28%
- 5th 16%
- 6th 8%
- 7th 2%
- 8th 1%
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.86) | 45 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black | 2.25 (+0.75) | 2nd (2.31) | 33 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection |
| 3 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White | 1.80 (+0.30) | 3rd (1.56) | A point next game |
How the results connect
3 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link FC America Pre to Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.06 · 5th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 04:00 PM no score posted |
Sporting SA GNV Pre 9th · 0-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Jonesville Soccer Park - GSA |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.83 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 02:00 PM |
Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -14 |
Home SoFive Soccer Center - Winter Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
4–1 | 2.46 | 1.82 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 21 01:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
Central Winds |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.53 | 1.56 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 12:30 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Central Winds |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.30 | 1.52 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 10:00 AM |
Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -14 |
Away far trip
Ormond Beach Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–2 | 2.18 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 9 11:30 AM |
Sporting SA GNV Pre 9th · 0-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home SoFive Soccer Center - Winter Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 30 02:00 PM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +30 |
Away far trip
Losco Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–4 | 0.16 | 1.51 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 01:00 PM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 8th · 0-1-4 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
Losco Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–1 | 2.37 | 1.59 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 10:30 AM |
Space Coast United Pre 6th · 2-1-2 · GD -6 |
Home Malia's Park at XL Lake Nona |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
3–1 | 1.96 | 1.63 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 11:30 AM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 8th · 0-1-4 · GD -17 |
Home Malia's Park at XL Lake Nona |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–0 | 2.55 | 1.71 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 13 01:00 PM |
Brevard SA Pre- Elite 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
Max Rhodes Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
3–2 | 1.85 | 1.72 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 02:30 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +2 |
Home SoFive Soccer Center - Winter Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–1 | 1.61 | 1.71 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 12:30 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +15 |
Home SoFive Soccer Center - Winter Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
2–3 | 0.79 | 1.65 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 01:30 PM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +30 |
Home SoFive Soccer Center - Winter Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.28 | 1.56 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | +30 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.27 | -0.56 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting SA GNV Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | -0.20 | -0.30 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Sporting SA GNV Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White · Sat Nov 14 at Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLLW | -0.32 | +0.09 | 70% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black · Sun Nov 22 vs FC America Pre · Sat Dec 12 at Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC America Pre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | -0.77 | +0.06 | 73% | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Sporting SA GNV Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE · Sat Nov 21 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Brevard SA Pre- Elite | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 | 1.50 | WLWL | +0.02 | +0.14 | 16% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Dec 5 vs Space Coast United Pre · Sat Jan 30 at Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE · Sun Jan 31 vs Sporting SA GNV Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Space Coast United Pre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | 1.40 | LDWLW | +0.81 | -0.30 | 36% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at Sporting SA GNV Pre · Sat Dec 5 at Brevard SA Pre- Elite · Sun Dec 6 at Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +0.04 | +0.26 | 1% | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC America Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black · Sat Dec 5 vs FC America Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 17 | -17 | 1 | 0.20 | LDLLL | +0.90 | -0.07 | 0% | 8.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Dec 5 at Sporting SA GNV Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Sporting SA GNV Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | -0.88 | +0.22 | 4% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black · Sat Oct 17 vs FC America Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Space Coast United Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.58 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.