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Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU12 · 9 teams · Ormond Beach Soccer Club (all teams)

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7th
1-0-3 record · 4 played
0.75 points per game
-14 goal diff · 8–22
LLLWlast 4
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.5
+0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 02:00 PM

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Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE
7th · 0.75 PPG
at
FC America Pre
4th · 1.50 PPG

SoFive Soccer Center - Winter Park, Field 5 - 11v11 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 2.0 for, 4.5 against · 0.44 expected points)

Season so farOrmond Beach Soccer Club PREFC America Pre
Position7th4th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-31-0-1
Points per game0.751.50
Goals for / game2.03.0
Goals against / game5.52.0
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)W L L LL W
Biggest win3–0 vs Sporting SA GNV Pre5–0 vs Brevard SA Pre- Elite
Worst loss0–10 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black1–4 at Space Coast United Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.84+0.25
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.04-0.77

Common opponents: Brevard SA Pre- Elite — we 5–7; they 5–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–10 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black, 0–5 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 11%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:00 PM at SoFive Soccer Center - Winter Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC America Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE – FC America Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.60 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Win
1.20 PPG
6th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 1
Draw
0.80 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Loss
0.60 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
7.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 28%
  8. 8th 44%
  9. 9th 14%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.44 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sporting SA JAX Pre 3.00 (+2.25) 1st (2.86) 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black 2.25 (+1.50) 2nd (2.31) 33 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
3 Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White 1.80 (+1.05) 3rd (1.56) 26 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4 FC America Pre 1.50 (+0.75) 4th (1.56) 21 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
5 Brevard SA Pre- Elite 1.50 (+0.75) 6th (1.18) 21 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
6 Space Coast United Pre 1.40 (+0.65) 5th (1.37) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE to FC America Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
3 favour them
-4.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–7 0–5 0–10 5–0 4–1 0–5 3–5 Ormond Beach Soccer… 7th Brevard SA Pre- Eli… 5th Florida Kraze Krush… 2nd Florida Kraze Krush… 3rd Space Coast United … 6th FC America Pre 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.26 · 1st hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
02:00 PM
FC America Pre
4th · 1-0-1 · GD +2
Away far trip
SoFive Soccer Center - Winter Park
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–4 0.44 0.69 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +15
Home
Ormond Beach Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.19 0.60 Upside
Sat Dec 5
10:00 AM
FC America Pre
4th · 1-0-1 · GD +2
Home
Ormond Beach Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
18%
2–3 0.68 0.62 Upside
Sun Dec 6
10:30 AM
Space Coast United Pre
6th · 2-1-2 · GD -6
Home
Ormond Beach Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–3 1.06 0.67 Upside
Sat Jan 9
11:00 AM
Sporting SA JAX Pre
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +30
Home
Ormond Beach Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–7 0.04 0.60 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:30 PM
Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2
8th · 0-1-4 · GD -17
Home
Ormond Beach Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.05 0.75 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
03:30 PM
Brevard SA Pre- Elite
5th · 2-0-2 · GD -8
Home
Ormond Beach Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
36%
3–4 1.21 0.79 Upside
Sun Jan 31
09:00 AM
Space Coast United Pre
6th · 2-1-2 · GD -6
Away far trip
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–3 0.75 0.78 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 PM
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +2
Home
Ormond Beach Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–3 0.76 0.78 Upside
Sat Apr 3
05:30 PM
Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2
8th · 0-1-4 · GD -17
Away far trip
Veterans Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.76 0.85 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
10:30 AM
Sporting SA JAX Pre
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +30
Away far trip
Veterans Park
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–8 0.02 0.80 Upside
Sat Apr 10
02:00 PM
Sporting SA GNV Pre
9th · 0-0-2 · GD -4
Away far trip
Jonesville Soccer Park - GSA
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–2 1.00 0.81 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sporting SA JAX Pre 5500 311+30 153.00 WWWWW -0.27 -0.56 100% 1.0
2 Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black 4301 205+15 92.25 WLWW -0.20 -0.30 100% 2.0
3 Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White 5302 119+2 91.80 WWLLW -0.32 +0.09 72% 4.0
4 FC America Pre 2101 64+2 31.50 WL -0.77 +0.06 73% 4.0
5 Brevard SA Pre- Elite 4202 1119-8 61.50 WLWL +0.02 +0.14 14% 5.9
6 Space Coast United Pre 5212 915-6 71.40 LDWLW +0.81 -0.30 37% 4.9
7 Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE 4103 822-14 30.75 LLLW +0.04 +0.26 1% 7.5
8 Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 5014 017-17 10.20 LDLLL +0.90 -0.07 0% 8.7
9 Sporting SA GNV Pre 2002 15-4 00.00 LL -0.88 +0.22 3% 7.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.58 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.