TableChase Clubs

Palm Beach United FC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU11 · 13 teams · Palm Beach United FC (all teams)

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8th
1-1-1 record · 3 played
1.33 points per game
+0 goal diff · 4–4
DLWlast 3
7% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.4
-0.29 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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Palm Beach United FC Pre
8th · 1.33 PPG
vs

Gardens North County District Park, Field 10 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.5 against · 0.70 expected points)

Season so farPalm Beach United FC PreFort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
Position8th4th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-14-2-1
Points per game1.332.00
Goals for / game1.33.9
Goals against / game1.31.0
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W L DW L W D W
Biggest win2–1 at Parkland Soccer Club Pre14–0 at PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
Worst loss0–1 vs Doral Soccer Club Pre0–1 vs Strikers Miami FC PRE
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.03+1.89
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.29-0.22

Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL — we 2–2; they 2–2. Doral Soccer Club Pre — we 0–1; they 1–0. Parkland Soccer Club Pre — we 2–1; they 3–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL score 3.9/game — well above the league's 2.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL concede only 1.0/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Doral Soccer Club Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Miami FC Academy Pre sit 7th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.33.

    A point moves us above Miami FC Academy Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Palm Beach United FC Pre – Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG
10th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 2
Win
1.75 PPG
6th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 1
Draw
1.25 PPG
8th— holds 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Loss
1.00 PPG
10th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
7% top 4
93% below the top 4
7.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 6%
  5. 5th 16%
  6. 6th 15%
  7. 7th 15%
  8. 8th 14%
  9. 9th 14%
  10. 10th 12%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.72 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Wellington SC Pre 2.50 (+1.17) 1st (2.32) 41 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
2 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 2.50 (+1.17) 4th (1.89) 41 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
3 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN 2.25 (+0.92) 5th (1.50) 37 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 2.00 (+0.67) 2nd (2.22) 32 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
5 Strikers Miami FC PRE 2.00 (+0.67) 3rd (2.11) 32 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
6 Doral Soccer Club Pre 1.50 (+0.17) 7th (1.39) A point next game
7 Miami FC Academy Pre 1.50 (+0.17) 11th (1.01) A point next game

How the results connect

9 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Palm Beach United FC Pre to Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
2 even
5 favour them
-1.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 2–3 2–2 2–2 0–1 0–1 3–0 3–2 1–0 0–5 3–7 2–2 1–2 0–5 Palm Beach United F… 8th Parkland Soccer Clu… 12th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 10th Doral Soccer Club P… 6th Strikers Miami FC P… 5th Wellington SC Pre 1st Athletic Club Flori… 9th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.11 · 7th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 20
01:30 PM
no score posted
Athletic Club Florida Pre
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
Tamarac Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–2 1.37 1.34 Upside
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +20
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.70 1.21 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Wellington SC Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +13
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–3 0.80 1.14 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
Strikers Miami FC PRE
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +12
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.87 1.10 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:15 AM
Davie United SC - Pre
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Away far trip
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.38 1.14 Upside
Sat Dec 5
09:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +20
Away far trip
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–2 0.50 1.07 Upside
Sun Dec 6
01:30 PM
Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD -3
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–2 1.70 1.13 Swing game
Sat Jan 9
09:00 AM
Miami FC Academy Pre
7th · 1-0-1 · GD -2
Away far trip
Tamiami Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.52 1.17 Swing game
Sun Jan 10
01:30 PM
Athletic Club Florida Pre
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -3
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.66 1.21 Swing game
Sat Jan 23
11:00 AM
PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
13th · 0-0-4 · GD -30
Away far trip
Swan Park 11v11
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
4–1 2.58 1.31 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
01:30 PM
Parkland Soccer Club Pre
12th · 0-1-6 · GD -13
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.97 1.36 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
01:30 PM
South Miami United FC Pre- Black
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +9
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.11 1.34 Upside
Sat Mar 13
02:00 PM
Wellington SC Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +13
Away
Village Park
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.55 1.29 Upside
Sat Apr 10
01:00 PM
Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD -3
Away far trip
McChesney Park
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.37 1.30 Upside
Sat Apr 17
04:30 PM
PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
13th · 0-0-4 · GD -30
Home
Gardens North County District Park
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
5–1 2.75 1.38 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Wellington SC Pre 4310 218+13 102.50 WDWW +0.48 -0.59 99% 1.8
2 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 4310 167+9 102.50 WDWW -1.26 +0.34 69% 4.0
3 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN 4301 1215-3 92.25 WLWW +0.19 -0.19 12% 6.7
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 7421 277+20 142.00 WDWLW -0.22 -0.39 99% 2.2
5 Strikers Miami FC PRE 6402 186+12 122.00 WWLLW +0.47 -0.35 93% 2.8
6 Doral Soccer Club Pre 4202 45-1 61.50 WLWL +0.48 -0.05 8% 7.4
7 Miami FC Academy Pre 2101 57-2 31.50 LW -1.51 +0.35 1% 10.0
8 Palm Beach United FC Pre 3111 44+0 41.33 DLW -0.29 -0.11 7% 7.4
9 Athletic Club Florida Pre 5203 1114-3 61.20 LWLLW -0.60 +0.03 3% 8.3
10 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL 7223 1514+1 81.14 DLLWL +0.50 -0.29 8% 6.9
11 Davie United SC - Pre 3102 811-3 31.00 LWL +0.41 +0.04 2% 9.1
12 Parkland Soccer Club Pre 7016 1225-13 10.14 DLLLL +0.79 -0.54 0% 11.5
13 PSL Hurricanes FC Pre 4004 535-30 00.00 LLLL +0.43 +0.29 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.68 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.