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Miami FC Academy Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU11 · 13 teams · Miami FC Academy (all teams)

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7th
1-0-1 record · 2 played
1.50 points per game
-2 goal diff · 5–7
LWlast 2
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.1
-1.51 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM

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Miami FC Academy Pre
7th · 1.50 PPG
at
Wellington SC Pre
1st · 2.50 PPG

Village Park , Field 16 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.9 for, 5.2 against · 0.30 expected points)

Season so farMiami FC Academy PreWellington SC Pre
Position7th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-0-13-1-0
Points per game1.502.50
Goals for / game2.55.3
Goals against / game3.52.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W LW W D W
Biggest win5–3 vs PSL Hurricanes FC Pre9–2 vs Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN
Worst loss0–4 vs Strikers Miami FC PRE—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.66+1.96
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.51+0.48

Common opponents: Strikers Miami FC PRE — we 0–4; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Wellington SC Pre score 5.2/game — well above the league's 2.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs Strikers Miami FC PRE.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 7%; a draw (8%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Village Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Doral Soccer Club Pre sit 6th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above Doral Soccer Club Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Wellington SC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Miami FC Academy Pre – Wellington SC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG
11th▼ down 4 11th▼ down 4 11th▼ down 4
Win
2.00 PPG
6th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.33 PPG
8th▼ down 1 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Loss
1.00 PPG
11th▼ down 4 11th▼ down 4 11th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we fall to at least 11th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 19%
  11. 11th 29%
  12. 12th 22%
  13. 13th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.82 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Wellington SC Pre 2.50 (+1.00) 1st (2.32) 40 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
2 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 2.50 (+1.00) 4th (1.89) 40 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
3 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN 2.25 (+0.75) 5th (1.50) 36 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 2.00 (+0.50) 2nd (2.22) Win next game
5 Strikers Miami FC PRE 2.00 (+0.50) 3rd (2.11) Win next game
6 Doral Soccer Club Pre 1.50 (+0.00) 7th (1.39) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Miami FC Academy Pre to Wellington SC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
4 favour them
-6.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 1–3 5–0 3–7 1–0 2–2 5–3 0–14 Miami FC Academy Pre 7th Strikers Miami FC P… 5th PSL Hurricanes FC P… 13th Parkland Soccer Clu… 12th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 4th Wellington SC Pre 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.35 · 1st hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Sep 19
11:00 AM
no score posted
Doral Soccer Club Pre
6th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Home
HML Senior High
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.29 1.43 Upside
Sun Oct 25
12:00 PM
Wellington SC Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +13
Away far trip
Village Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–5 0.30 1.15 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida Pre
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–2 1.08 1.13 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
Doral Soccer Club Pre
6th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Away
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.01 1.11 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +20
Away far trip
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 0.99 Upside
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL
10th · 2-2-3 · GD +1
Home
Tamiami Park
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.13 1.01 Upside
Sat Dec 5
09:00 AM
Parkland Soccer Club Pre
12th · 0-1-6 · GD -13
Home
Tamiami Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
3–2 1.77 1.09 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
09:00 AM
South Miami United FC Pre- Black
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +9
Away
South Miami Park
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.54 1.04 Upside
Sat Jan 9
09:00 AM
Palm Beach United FC Pre
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +0
Home
Tamiami Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.28 1.06 Upside
Sat Jan 23
09:00 AM
South Miami United FC Pre- Black
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +9
Home
Tamiami Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.80 1.04 Upside
Sun Jan 24
11:30 AM
Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD -3
Away far trip
McChesney Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–3 1.05 1.04 Upside
Sat Jan 30
09:00 AM
Davie United SC - Pre
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Home
Tamiami Park
●●●●○ Tough
42%
3–3 1.42 1.07 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 PM
Strikers Miami FC PRE
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +12
Away
Bridge Prep Academy
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.40 1.02 Upside
Sat Feb 6
04:00 PM
Davie United SC - Pre
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Away far trip
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–3 1.06 1.03 Upside
Sat Mar 13
09:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL
10th · 2-2-3 · GD +1
Away far trip
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.84 1.01 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Wellington SC Pre 4310 218+13 102.50 WDWW +0.48 -0.59 99% 1.8
2 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 4310 167+9 102.50 WDWW -1.26 +0.34 71% 4.0
3 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN 4301 1215-3 92.25 WLWW +0.19 -0.19 13% 6.6
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 7421 277+20 142.00 WDWLW -0.22 -0.39 98% 2.2
5 Strikers Miami FC PRE 6402 186+12 122.00 WWLLW +0.47 -0.35 93% 2.8
6 Doral Soccer Club Pre 4202 45-1 61.50 WLWL +0.48 -0.05 7% 7.4
7 Miami FC Academy Pre 2101 57-2 31.50 LW -1.51 +0.35 0% 10.1
8 Palm Beach United FC Pre 3111 44+0 41.33 DLW -0.29 -0.11 6% 7.5
9 Athletic Club Florida Pre 5203 1114-3 61.20 LWLLW -0.60 +0.03 4% 8.1
10 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL 7223 1514+1 81.14 DLLWL +0.50 -0.29 7% 7.0
11 Davie United SC - Pre 3102 811-3 31.00 LWL +0.41 +0.04 1% 9.1
12 Parkland Soccer Club Pre 7016 1225-13 10.14 DLLLL +0.79 -0.54 0% 11.4
13 PSL Hurricanes FC Pre 4004 535-30 00.00 LLLL +0.43 +0.29 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.68 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.