TableChase Clubs

Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU11 · 13 teams · Mako Soccer Club (all teams)

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3rd
3-0-1 record · 4 played
2.25 points per game
-3 goal diff · 12–15
WLWWlast 4
13% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.6
+0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:00 PM

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Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN
3rd · 2.25 PPG
vs
PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
13th · 0.00 PPG

McChesney Park, Field 3 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 7–2 (expected goals 7.1 for, 2.2 against · 2.80 expected points)

Season so farMako Soccer Club PRE- GREENPSL Hurricanes FC Pre
Position3rd13th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-10-0-4
Points per game2.250.00
Goals for / game3.01.3
Goals against / game3.88.8
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)W W L WL L L L
Biggest win3–1 vs Athletic Club Florida Pre—
Worst loss2–9 at Wellington SC Pre0–14 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.34-4.17
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.19+0.43

Common opponents: Athletic Club Florida Pre — we 3–1; they 0–8.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    PSL Hurricanes FC Pre average 1.2 goals/game (league avg 2.7); blanked in 2 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    PSL Hurricanes FC Pre concede 8.8/game; worst result 0–14 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 92% chance; likely score 7–2.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    PSL Hurricanes FC Pre have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the PSL Hurricanes FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN – PSL Hurricanes FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.40 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.40 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 3
Loss
1.80 PPG
5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 7–2 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
13% top 4
87% below the top 4
6.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th 10%
  5. 5th 21%
  6. 6th 19%
  7. 7th 14%
  8. 8th 14%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.83 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Wellington SC Pre 2.50 (+0.25) 1st (2.32) 36 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
2 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 2.50 (+0.25) 4th (1.89) 36 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection

How the results connect

8 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN to PSL Hurricanes FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
0 favour them
+9.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 8–0 3–2 0–1 8–2 4–3 2–2 2–9 2–2 14–0 1–2 0–5 2–3 2–2 Mako Soccer Club PR… 3rd Athletic Club Flori… 9th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 10th Parkland Soccer Clu… 12th Wellington SC Pre 1st South Miami United … 2nd Fort Lauderdale Uni… 4th PSL Hurricanes FC P… 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.19 · 8th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 17
03:00 PM
no score posted
Doral Soccer Club Pre
6th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.14 2.03 Upside
Sun Oct 25
05:00 PM
PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
13th · 0-0-4 · GD -30
Home
McChesney Park
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
7–2 2.80 2.16 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
Strikers Miami FC PRE
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +12
Away far trip
Bridge Prep Academy
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.46 1.91 Upside
Sat Dec 5
01:00 PM
Davie United SC - Pre
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Home
McChesney Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
3–3 1.63 1.88 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
01:30 PM
Palm Beach United FC Pre
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +0
Away far trip
Gardens North County District Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–2 1.12 1.79 Upside
Sun Jan 24
11:30 AM
Miami FC Academy Pre
7th · 1-0-1 · GD -2
Home
McChesney Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.80 1.79 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
01:00 PM
Wellington SC Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +13
Home
McChesney Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.60 1.69 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 PM
South Miami United FC Pre- Black
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +9
Away far trip
South Miami Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
2–4 0.64 1.60 Upside
Sat Feb 6
11:00 AM
Parkland Soccer Club Pre
12th · 0-1-6 · GD -13
Away far trip
Terramar Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
3–2 1.62 1.60 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
03:30 PM
Athletic Club Florida Pre
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–3 1.24 1.57 Upside
Sun Feb 28
11:30 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +20
Home
McChesney Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.51 1.50 Upside
Sun Mar 7
10:00 AM
PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
13th · 0-0-4 · GD -30
Away
Swan Park 11v11
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
6–2 2.63 1.57 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
11:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +20
Away far trip
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–4 0.32 1.50 Upside
Sat Apr 10
01:00 PM
Palm Beach United FC Pre
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +0
Home
McChesney Park
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–2 1.44 1.50 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Wellington SC Pre 4310 218+13 102.50 WDWW +0.48 -0.59 99% 1.7
2 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 4310 167+9 102.50 WDWW -1.26 +0.34 71% 4.1
3 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN 4301 1215-3 92.25 WLWW +0.19 -0.19 13% 6.6
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 7421 277+20 142.00 WDWLW -0.22 -0.39 98% 2.2
5 Strikers Miami FC PRE 6402 186+12 122.00 WWLLW +0.47 -0.35 94% 2.8
6 Doral Soccer Club Pre 4202 45-1 61.50 WLWL +0.48 -0.05 7% 7.3
7 Miami FC Academy Pre 2101 57-2 31.50 LW -1.51 +0.35 0% 10.1
8 Palm Beach United FC Pre 3111 44+0 41.33 DLW -0.29 -0.11 6% 7.5
9 Athletic Club Florida Pre 5203 1114-3 61.20 LWLLW -0.60 +0.03 2% 8.2
10 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL 7223 1514+1 81.14 DLLWL +0.50 -0.29 7% 6.9
11 Davie United SC - Pre 3102 811-3 31.00 LWL +0.41 +0.04 2% 9.1
12 Parkland Soccer Club Pre 7016 1225-13 10.14 DLLLL +0.79 -0.54 0% 11.4
13 PSL Hurricanes FC Pre 4004 535-30 00.00 LLLL +0.43 +0.29 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.68 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.