TableChase Clubs

Davie United SC - Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU11 · 13 teams · Davie United SC (all teams)

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11th
1-0-2 record · 3 played
1.00 points per game
-3 goal diff · 8–11
LWLlast 3
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.1
+0.41 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 14, 09:00 AM

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Davie United SC - Pre
11th · 1.00 PPG
vs
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL
10th · 1.14 PPG

Bamford Sports Complex, United 2A ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.5 for, 2.7 against · 1.28 expected points)

Season so farDavie United SC - PreFort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL
Position11th10th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-22-2-3
Points per game1.001.14
Goals for / game2.72.1
Goals against / game3.72.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)L W LL W L L D
Biggest win4–0 vs Doral Soccer Club Pre6–1 vs Davie United SC - Pre
Worst loss1–6 at Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL0–3 at Doral Soccer Club Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.36+0.24
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.41+0.50

Already played this season: Sun Aug 23 1–6 at Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL (L)

Common opponents: Doral Soccer Club Pre — we 4–0; they 0–3. South Miami United FC Pre- Black — we 3–5; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 37%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL sit 10th on 1.14 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Davie United SC - Pre – Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG		 11th— holds 10th▲ up 1 11th— holds
Win
1.50 PPG		 7th▲ up 4 7th▲ up 4 9th▲ up 2
Draw
1.00 PPG		 11th— holds 10th▲ up 1 11th— holds
Loss
0.75 PPG		 11th— holds 11th— holds 11th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
9.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 7%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 16%
  10. 10th 22%
  11. 11th 19%
  12. 12th 9%
  13. 13th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Wellington SC Pre 2.50 (+1.50) 1st (2.32) 40 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
2 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 2.50 (+1.50) 4th (1.89) 40 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
3 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN 2.25 (+1.25) 5th (1.50) 36 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 2.00 (+1.00) 2nd (2.22) 31 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
5 Strikers Miami FC PRE 2.00 (+1.00) 3rd (2.11) 31 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
6 Doral Soccer Club Pre 1.50 (+0.50) 7th (1.39) Win next game
7 Miami FC Academy Pre 1.50 (+0.50) 11th (1.01) Win next game
8 Palm Beach United FC Pre 1.33 (+0.33) 8th (1.38) A point next game
9 Athletic Club Florida Pre 1.20 (+0.20) 9th (1.29) A point next game
10 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL 1.14 (+0.14) 6th (1.43) A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Davie United SC - Pre to Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
2 favour them
+1.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–6 3–5 1–0 4–0 3–0 0–1 2–2 1–0 2–2 Davie United SC - P… 11th South Miami United … 2nd Doral Soccer Club P… 6th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 4th Palm Beach United F… 8th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM		 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL
10th · 2-2-3 · GD +1		 Home
Bamford Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
37%		 2–2 1.28 1.07 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:15 AM		 Palm Beach United FC Pre
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +0		 Home
Bamford Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
41%		 2–2 1.43 1.14 Upside
Sat Dec 5
01:00 PM		 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD -3		 Away far trip
McChesney Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 3–3 1.21 1.15 Upside
Sat Jan 23
09:00 AM		 Doral Soccer Club Pre
6th · 2-0-2 · GD -1		 Away far trip
Morgan Levy Park Doral		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–2 1.13 1.15 Upside
Sat Jan 30
09:00 AM		 Miami FC Academy Pre
7th · 1-0-1 · GD -2		 Away far trip
Tamiami Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
42%		 3–3 1.41 1.18 Upside
Sat Feb 6
04:00 PM		 Miami FC Academy Pre
7th · 1-0-1 · GD -2		 Home
Bamford Sports Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 3–2 1.78 1.25 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
04:00 PM		 Strikers Miami FC PRE
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +12		 Home
Bamford Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–3 0.68 1.19 Upside
Sat Feb 27
12:00 PM		 PSL Hurricanes FC Pre
13th · 0-0-4 · GD -30		 Away far trip
Swan Park 11v11		 ●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 6–2 2.62 1.32 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 PM		 Strikers Miami FC PRE
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +12		 Away far trip
Bridge Prep Academy		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.45 1.25 Upside
Sat Mar 13
09:00 AM		 South Miami United FC Pre- Black
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +9		 Away far trip
South Miami Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 2–4 0.63 1.20 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 PM		 Parkland Soccer Club Pre
12th · 0-1-6 · GD -13		 Home
Bamford Sports Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 3–2 1.95 1.26 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
03:30 PM		 Athletic Club Florida Pre
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -3		 Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–3 1.23 1.25 Upside
Sun Apr 11
04:00 PM		 Wellington SC Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +13		 Away far trip
Village Park 		●●●●● Very tough
9%		 2–5 0.36 1.20 Upside
Sat Apr 17
05:00 PM		 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +20		 Home
Bamford Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.50 1.16 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Wellington SC Pre 4310 218+13 102.50 WDWW +0.48 -0.59 99% 1.8
2 South Miami United FC Pre- Black 4310 167+9 102.50 WDWW -1.26 +0.34 70% 4.0
3 Mako Soccer Club PRE- GREEN 4301 1215-3 92.25 WLWW +0.19 -0.19 14% 6.6
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- NL 7421 277+20 142.00 WDWLW -0.22 -0.39 99% 2.2
5 Strikers Miami FC PRE 6402 186+12 122.00 WWLLW +0.47 -0.35 94% 2.7
6 Doral Soccer Club Pre 4202 45-1 61.50 WLWL +0.48 -0.05 7% 7.4
7 Miami FC Academy Pre 2101 57-2 31.50 LW -1.51 +0.35 0% 10.0
8 Palm Beach United FC Pre 3111 44+0 41.33 DLW -0.29 -0.11 6% 7.4
9 Athletic Club Florida Pre 5203 1114-3 61.20 LWLLW -0.60 +0.03 3% 8.2
10 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre- RL 7223 1514+1 81.14 DLLWL +0.50 -0.29 6% 7.1
11 Davie United SC - Pre 3102 811-3 31.00 LWL +0.41 +0.04 2% 9.1
12 Parkland Soccer Club Pre 7016 1225-13 10.14 DLLLL +0.79 -0.54 0% 11.4
13 PSL Hurricanes FC Pre 4004 535-30 00.00 LLLL +0.43 +0.29 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.68 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.