Week 7 in STXCL GU13: what changed

Mon Oct 19

• FC Westlake North STXCL (5th) 3–0 (8th) FC Westlake Central STXCL

Fri Oct 23

• FC Westlake North STXCL (5th) not reported (14th) Pflugerville FC STXCL Green
• Lonestar ATX STXCL White (3rd) 2–0 (13th) Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold
• Boerne SC STXCL Red (7th) 1–4 (9th) Lonestar SAT STXCL I

Sat Oct 24

• Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (12th) 0–3 (7th) Boerne SC STXCL Red
• FC Westlake Central STXCL (8th) 2–4 (1st) Lonestar SAT STXCL II
• Lions FC STXCL RED (4th) 2–0 (10th) FC Westlake STXCL

Sun Oct 25

• Lonestar SAT STXCL I (9th) 5–0 (12th) Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold
• Boerne SC STXCL Red (7th) 2–4 (2nd) LTFC STXCL
• FC Westlake Central STXCL (8th) 1–4 (3rd) Lonestar ATX STXCL White
• Lions FC STXCL RED (4th) 1–0 (13th) Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold
• Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st) 2–0 (5th) FC Westlake North STXCL

Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.

• Boerne SC STXCL Red 1–4 Lonestar SAT STXCL I 27% likely
  Fri Oct 23 · model favoured Boerne SC STXCL Red

How likely each result was by today's ratings.

1. Lonestar ATX STXCL White (3rd) vs Lions FC STXCL RED (4th) Sun Nov 1
   55% · 21% · 24% — KEY GAME zone race on the line, neighbours in the table
2. FC Westlake North STXCL (5th) vs Lions FC STXCL RED (4th) Sat Oct 31
   55% · 24% · 21% — KEY GAME zone race on the line, neighbours in the table
3. Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th) vs FC Westlake North STXCL (5th) Sun Nov 1
   26% · 29% · 45% — KEY GAME toss-up, neighbours in the table
4. Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th) vs TC Premier SC STXCL (11th) Sun Nov 1
   29% · 35% · 35% — KEY GAME toss-up
5. FC Westlake Central STXCL (8th) vs Boerne SC STXCL Red (7th) Sat Oct 31
   48% · 20% · 32% — KEY GAME toss-up, neighbours in the table

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