Lonestar ATX STXCL White

ECNL Regional League Girls · STXCL GU13 · 14 teams · Lonestar ATX (all teams)

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4th

6-0-1 record · 7 played

2.57 points per game

+16 goal diff · 21–5

WLWWWlast 5

72% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.1

-0.88 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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Lonestar ATX STXCL White
4th · 2.57 PPG

FC Westlake Central STXCL
7th · 1.29 PPG

Westlake High School , Field 1&2 ↗

49% 23% 28%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.4 against · 1.70 expected points)

Season so far	Lonestar ATX STXCL White	FC Westlake Central STXCL
Position	4th	7th
Record (W-D-L)	6-0-1	3-0-4
Points per game	2.57	1.29
Goals for / game	3.0	2.1
Goals against / game	0.7	1.3
Clean sheets	3	3
Held scoreless	1	3
Form (recent first)	W W W L W	L W L L W
Biggest win	6–1 vs Pflugerville FC STXCL Green	7–0 vs Pflugerville FC STXCL Green
Worst loss	0–2 at LTFC STXCL	0–3 vs LTFC STXCL
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.33	+0.59
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.88	-0.04

Common opponents: Lonestar ATX STXCL Red — we 2–1; they 0–1. LTFC STXCL — we 0–2; they 0–3. Pflugerville FC STXCL Green — we 6–1; they 7–0. Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold — we 2–0; they 2–0.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at LTFC STXCL.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Swing game — small margins
Win 49% / draw 23% / loss 28%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Westlake High School .
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
LTFC STXCL sit 3rd on 2.57 PPG; we are on 2.57.
A point moves us above LTFC STXCL on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Westlake Central STXCL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Lonestar ATX STXCL White – FC Westlake Central STXCL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 2.38 PPG	5th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 1
Win 2.63 PPG	3rd▲ up 1	3rd▲ up 1	4th— holds
Draw 2.38 PPG	5th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 1
Loss 2.25 PPG	5th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st

72% top 4

28% below the top 4

4.1 average finish

1st 2%
2nd 6%
3rd 15%
4th 50%
5th 19%
6th 7%
7th 2%
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th
13th
14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Lonestar SAT STXCL II	3.00 (+0.43)	1st (2.62)	21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
2	FC Westlake North STXCL	3.00 (+0.43)	2nd (2.54)	21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
3	LTFC STXCL	2.57 (+0.00)	3rd (2.46)	A point next game

How the results connect

25 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Lonestar ATX STXCL White to FC Westlake Central STXCL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us

6 even

9 favour them

+0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.73 · 1st hardest of 14

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM	FC Westlake Central STXCL 7th · 3-0-4 · GD +6	Away Westlake High School	●●●○○ Toss-up	49%	1–1	1.70	2.46	Swing game
Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM	FC Westlake STXCL 9th · 2-1-5 · GD -16	Home Town & Country	●○○○○ Favorable	89%	3–0	2.75	2.49	Bank it
Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM	Lions FC STXCL RED 5th · 4-0-1 · GD +10	Home Town & Country	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	2–1	1.86	2.43	Swing game
Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM	Boerne SC STXCL Red 8th · 3-0-4 · GD +1	Home Town & Country	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	2–1	2.36	2.42	Bank it
Sat Nov 21 09:00 AM	FC Westlake North STXCL 2nd · 5-0-0 · GD +13	Away Onion Creek Soccer Complex	●●●●● Very tough	22%	0–1	0.90	2.30	Upside
Sun Nov 22 03:00 PM	Lonestar SAT STXCL II 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +27	Home Westcreek	●●●●● Very tough	21%	1–2	0.85	2.19	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Lonestar SAT STXCL II

+27

3.00

WWWWW

-0.62

+0.11

100%

1.7

W	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	4–0
W	Thu Sep 24	vs	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	5–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	8–0
W	Fri Sep 18	at	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	5–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Westlake Central STXCL · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Westlake North STXCL · Wed Nov 11 at Lonestar SAT STXCL I See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	2–0	73%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	1–0	48%
·	Wed Nov 11	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	4–0	93%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	3–0	94%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	7–0	100%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	2–1	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Westlake North STXCL

+13

3.00

WWWWW

-0.01

-0.22

97%

2.3

W	Mon Oct 19	vs	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	3–0
W	Sun Oct 18	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	1–0

Next: Fri Oct 23 vs Pflugerville FC STXCL Green · Sun Oct 25 at Lonestar SAT STXCL II · Sat Oct 31 vs Lions FC STXCL RED See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Oct 23	vs	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	5–0	99%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	0–1	26%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	2–0	66%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	1–0	52%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	4–0	98%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	2–0	80%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	1–0	53%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	3–0	88%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LTFC STXCL

+26

2.57

WLWWW

-0.30

-0.06

97%

2.5

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	5–1
W	Fri Oct 2	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	9–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	7–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Boerne SC STXCL Red · Sat Oct 31 vs Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 8 at Pflugerville FC STXCL Green See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	3–0	82%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	4–0	95%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	7–0	99%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	2–1	66%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX STXCL White

+16

2.57

WLWWW

-0.88

+0.73

72%

4.1

W	Fri Oct 23	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	2–0
W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	6–1
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	4–1
L	Fri Oct 2	at	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	0–2
W	Fri Sep 25	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	3–0
W	Fri Sep 18	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	2–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Westlake Central STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sun Nov 1 vs Lions FC STXCL RED See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	1–1	49%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	3–0	89%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	2–1	74%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–1	22%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	1–2	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lions FC STXCL RED

+10

2.40

WWLWW

-0.72

+0.30

22%

5.3

W	Thu Oct 8	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	5–0
L	Thu Sep 24	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	0–5
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	7–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sun Oct 25 vs Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sat Oct 31 at FC Westlake North STXCL See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	3–0	87%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	3–0	84%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–2	15%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	2–0	81%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	1–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX STXCL Red

+10

2.11

WWDWW

-0.39

+0.62

12%

5.4

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	3–0
W	Fri Oct 16	vs	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 27	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	0–0
W	Fri Sep 25	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	3–0
L	Fri Sep 18	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	6–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	1–5

Next: Fri Oct 30 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Westlake North STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs LTFC STXCL See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Oct 30	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	3–0	88%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–1	21%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	1–1	43%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Westlake Central STXCL

1.29

WLLWL

-0.04

-0.10

6.9

L	Mon Oct 19	at	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	7–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	5–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Lonestar SAT STXCL II · Sun Oct 25 vs Lonestar ATX STXCL White · Sat Oct 31 vs Boerne SC STXCL Red See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	0–2	12%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	2–0	74%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	2–1	73%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	3–0	88%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Boerne SC STXCL Red

1.29

WLWLL

-0.62

+0.73

8.6

L	Fri Oct 23	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	1–4
L	Sun Oct 18	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	2–1
L	Fri Oct 16	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	5–0
L	Fri Sep 18	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	4–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sun Oct 25 vs LTFC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 at FC Westlake Central STXCL See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	0–3	7%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	1–2	11%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–2	7%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Westlake STXCL

-16

0.88

WLWLL

+0.16

+0.03

10.4

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 17	at	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	1–5
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	1–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lions FC STXCL RED · Sat Oct 31 at Lonestar ATX STXCL White · Sun Nov 1 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	0–3	3%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–3	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold

-25

0.60

LLLLW

+1.21

-0.50

12.0

W	Sat Oct 17	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	0–5
L	Fri Sep 25	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	0–8
L	Sat Sep 19	at	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	0–9

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Boerne SC STXCL Red · Sun Oct 25 at Lonestar SAT STXCL I · Fri Oct 30 vs Lonestar ATX STXCL Red See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	1–3	9%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	1–3	10%
·	Fri Oct 30	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	1–2	25%
·	Fri Nov 6	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–1	28%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–4	0%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	1–1	47%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	0–3	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

TC Premier SC STXCL

-11

0.57

LLDLW

+0.19

-0.20

11.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	2–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	0–1
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	0–7

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sat Nov 7 vs Pflugerville FC STXCL Green · Sun Nov 8 at Lonestar SAT STXCL I See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	0–0	35%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	2–0	70%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	0–3	1%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	0–2	7%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar SAT STXCL I

-12

0.57

DLLLW

+0.78

-0.81

9.1

W	Fri Oct 23	at	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	4–1
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	1–4
L	Thu Oct 8	at	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	1–3
L	Sun Sep 27	at	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–5
D	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 13	at	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	1–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 1 vs Pflugerville FC STXCL Green · Sun Nov 8 vs TC Premier SC STXCL See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	3–1	76%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	3–0	85%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	1–1	51%
·	Wed Nov 11	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	1–2	12%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–0	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold

-13

0.00

LLLLL

+1.13

-0.82

11.9

L	Fri Oct 23	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	0–2
L	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	0–4
L	Fri Sep 25	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	0–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Lions FC STXCL RED · Sat Oct 31 at LTFC STXCL · Sun Nov 1 vs TC Premier SC STXCL See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	0–4	1%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	0–0	33%
·	Fri Nov 6	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	1–1	29%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Pflugerville FC STXCL Green (14th)	1–0	65%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	0–1	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pflugerville FC STXCL Green

-32

0.00

LLLLL

+0.36

+0.16

13.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (4th)	1–6
L	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Westlake Central STXCL (7th)	0–7
L	Sun Oct 4	at	FC Westlake STXCL (9th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Lions FC STXCL RED (5th)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Boerne SC STXCL Red (8th)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL Red (6th)	0–6

Next: Fri Oct 23 at FC Westlake North STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at Lonestar SAT STXCL I · Sat Nov 7 at TC Premier SC STXCL See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Oct 23	at	FC Westlake North STXCL (2nd)	0–5	0%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL I (12th)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (11th)	0–2	12%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	LTFC STXCL (3rd)	0–7	0%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	0–1	15%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL II (1st)	0–7	0%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–1	32%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.82 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.