PDA White
ECNL Regional League Girls · North Atlantic GU14 · 10 teams · PDA White (Shore) (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM
Monmouth Regional - Turf Complex, North ↗ · turf
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.9 for, 0.9 against · 2.04 expected points)
| Season so far | PDA White | Bethesda SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-2 | 2-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L W W | L L W W L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 at Pipeline SC | 3–0 at Pipeline SC |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at HEX FC Bucks | 1–3 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.80 | -0.10 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.41 | +0.03 |
Common opponents: Penn Fusion Soccer Academy — we 2–0; they 0–1. HEX FC Bucks — we 1–3; they 0–1. PDA Blue — we 1–2; they 1–2. Pipeline SC — we 6–0; they 3–0.
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 61% / draw 22% / loss 17%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
HEX FC Bucks sit 2nd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.80.A win moves us above HEX FC Bucks on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Bethesda SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA White – Bethesda SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 3%
- 2nd 35%
- 3rd 25%
- 4th 18%
- 5th 13%
- 6th 5%
- 7th 2%
- 8th <1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PDA Blue | 3.00 (+1.20) | 1st (2.44) | 45 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 2 | HEX FC Bucks | 2.00 (+0.20) | 3rd (1.78) | Win next game |
How the results connect
20 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link PDA White to Bethesda SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.03 · 6th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26 11:30 AM no score posted |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 4th · 2-3-0 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.22 | 1.70 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 04:00 PM |
Bethesda SC 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -1 |
Home Monmouth Regional - Turf Complex · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
1–0 | 2.04 | 1.75 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 04:00 PM |
FC DELCO 5th · 3-1-3 · GD +8 |
Home Monmouth Regional - Turf Complex · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.57 | 1.73 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
Maryland United FC 6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
2–0 | 2.12 | 1.77 | Swing game |
| Thu Mar 11 05:00 PM |
PDA Blue 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +14 |
Away far trip
PDA Main Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.79 | 1.67 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Match Fit Surf 9th · 1-2-3 · GD -6 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
2–0 | 2.32 | 1.73 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 7th · 2-1-3 · GD -3 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
1–0 | 2.02 | 1.76 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
HEX FC Bucks 2nd · 3-1-1 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
1–1 | 1.53 | 1.74 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 4th · 2-3-0 · GD +7 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.45 | 1.72 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Maryland United FC 6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
1–1 | 1.89 | 1.73 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Pipeline SC 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -30 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
5–0 | 2.97 | 1.81 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Bethesda SC 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -1 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
1–1 | 1.82 | 1.81 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
FC DELCO 5th · 3-1-3 · GD +8 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.31 | 1.78 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PDA Blue | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | +14 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.41 | -0.03 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs HEX FC Bucks · Sat Nov 7 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 14 vs Maryland United FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | HEX FC Bucks | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 | 2.00 | LWWWD | +0.16 | -0.12 | 81% | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at Pipeline SC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | PDA White | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLLW | -0.41 | +0.03 | 81% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Oct 24 vs Bethesda SC · Sat Nov 7 vs FC DELCO See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 9 | 1.80 | WWDDD | -0.73 | +0.22 | 68% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs PDA White · Sat Oct 24 at FC DELCO · Sat Oct 31 at HEX FC Bucks See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC DELCO | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 10 | 1.43 | LWLDW | -0.28 | +0.07 | 54% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at PDA White · Sat Mar 20 at Bethesda SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Maryland United FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 5 | 1.25 | WDDL | -0.47 | +0.19 | 4% | 7.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Nov 7 at Bethesda SC · Sun Nov 8 vs HEX FC Bucks See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 7 | 1.17 | LWLWD | +0.65 | -0.28 | 6% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC · Sun Nov 8 at Match Fit Surf · Sat Nov 14 vs Pipeline SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Bethesda SC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 | 1.00 | LWWLL | +0.03 | +0.03 | 5% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA White · Sat Oct 31 vs Match Fit Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Maryland United FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Match Fit Surf | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | 0.83 | WLLDD | +0.63 | -0.23 | 2% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC · Sat Oct 31 at Bethesda SC · Sun Nov 8 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Pipeline SC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 30 | -30 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.57 | +0.25 | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Match Fit Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs HEX FC Bucks · Sat Nov 14 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.33 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.