Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 10:30 AM

Match Fit Surf 1–1 Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals

Final

Match Fit Surf
9th · 0.83 PPG · home

1–1

By today's ratings the model gave this result a 25% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 17% home, 25% draw, 59% away, most likely 0–1.

Season so far	Match Fit Surf	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
Position	9th	4th
Record (W-D-L)	1-2-3	2-3-0
Points per game	0.83	1.80
Goals for / game	0.8	1.8
Goals against / game	1.8	0.4
Clean sheets	0	3
Held scoreless	2	2
Form (recent first)	D D L L W	D D D W W
Biggest win	2–1 at HEX FC Bucks	5–0 vs Pipeline SC
Worst loss	0–4 at FC DELCO	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.48	+0.63
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.63	-0.73

Already met this season: Oct 4 1–1 (home for Match Fit Surf)

Common opponents: Maryland United FC — Match Fit Surf 1–1; Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 0–0.

	Match Fit Surf	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
Position now	9th	4th
Games left	12	13
Chance of top 4	2%	68%
Chance of 1st	0%	1%
Average finish	7.9	3.8

14 chains

2 favour Match Fit Surf, 7 favour Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals, 5 even; average margin -1.3 goals toward Match Fit Surf.

0Match Fit Surf drew with Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 1–1
0Match Fit Surf drew with Maryland United FC 1–1 → Maryland United FC drew with Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 0–0
0Match Fit Surf lost to PDA Blue 1–2 → PDA Blue beat Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 1–0 → Penn Fusion Soccer Academy drew with Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 0–0
0Match Fit Surf beat HEX FC Bucks 2–1 → HEX FC Bucks beat Bethesda SC 1–0 → Bethesda SC lost to Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 1–3
0Match Fit Surf lost to PDA White 0–2 → PDA White beat Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 2–0 → Penn Fusion Soccer Academy drew with Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 0–0
+1Match Fit Surf lost to PDA Blue 1–2 → PDA Blue beat Pipeline SC 7–0 → Pipeline SC lost to Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 0–5