LA Krewe Rush
ECNL Regional League Girls · Gulf Coast GU13 · 9 teams · LA Krewe Rush (all teams)
Next game — Sat Mar 6, 11:00 AM
Jackson County Soccer Complex- 4420 Audubon Lane G, Field 9 ↗ far trip
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.8 for, 0.9 against · 2.46 expected points)
| Season so far | LA Krewe Rush | Gulf Coast United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-4 | 1-0-7 |
| Points per game | 1.55 | 0.38 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 5 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L L W | L L L W L |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Louisiana Fire SC | 1–0 vs Union 10 |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Louisiana Fire SC | 0–4 vs Alabama FC Huntsville |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.52 | -1.38 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.20 | +0.56 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 20 2–1 vs Gulf Coast United FC (W)
Common opponents: Alabama FC Huntsville — we 2–2, 1–2; they 0–4. Louisiana Fire SC — we 0–2, 5–1; they 0–3. Coastal Rush ENCL RL — we 0–2, 3–3; they 0–3, 0–4. Union 10 — we 4–3, 5–2; they 1–0, 0–2. Mandeville Soccer Club Lakers — we 1–2; they 1–3.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Gulf Coast United FC average 0.4 goals/game (league avg 1.6); blanked in 5 of 8.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Gulf Coast United FC concede 2.6/game; worst result 0–4 vs Alabama FC Huntsville.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs Louisiana Fire SC, 0–2 at Coastal Rush ENCL RL.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 78% chance; likely score 2–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
Gulf Coast United FC have lost 3 straight (form: LWLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Jackson County Soccer Complex- 4420 Audubon Lane G.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Gulf Coast United FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LA Krewe Rush – Gulf Coast United FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Mar 1 – Sun Mar 7); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.67 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Win 1.67 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.50 PPG |
5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.42 PPG |
5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–0 win we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 4%
- 3rd 15%
- 4th 51%
- 5th 29%
- 6th 1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mandeville Soccer Club Lakers | 2.38 (+0.83) | 2nd (2.11) | 22 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Coastal Rush ENCL RL | 2.22 (+0.67) | 1st (2.17) | 19 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Alabama FC Huntsville | 2.00 (+0.45) | 3rd (1.98) | 15 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
| 4 | Louisiana Fire SC | 1.86 (+0.31) | 5th (1.63) | 13 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
How the results connect
67 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link LA Krewe Rush to Gulf Coast United FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
18 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.66 · 9th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Mar 6 11:00 AM |
Gulf Coast United FC 8th · 1-0-7 · GD -18 |
Away far trip
Jackson County Soccer Complex- 4420 Audubon Lane G |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.46 | 1.62 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 02:00 PM |
Hattiesburg Futbol Club 9th · 1-0-7 · GD -22 |
Away far trip
Tatum Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–0 | 2.59 | 1.70 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 01:00 PM |
LA Elite SP 7th · 1-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Burbank Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.83 | 1.71 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 11:00 AM |
Mandeville Soccer Club Lakers 1st · 6-1-1 · GD +7 |
Home Moore Park- Back Fields |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.38 | 1.68 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 01:00 PM |
LA Elite SP 7th · 1-1-2 · GD -2 |
Home Moore Park- Back Fields |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
2–1 | 2.08 | 1.71 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Mandeville Soccer Club Lakers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 19 | 2.38 | WWDLW | +0.08 | -0.19 | 97% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs Coastal Rush ENCL RL · Sat Mar 13 vs LA Elite SP · Sun Mar 14 vs Louisiana Fire SC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Coastal Rush ENCL RL | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 7 | +22 | 20 | 2.22 | WWDWD | -0.52 | +0.20 | 99% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs LA Elite SP · Sat Oct 10 at Louisiana Fire SC · Sun Oct 11 at Mandeville Soccer Club Lakers See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Alabama FC Huntsville | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 14 | 2.00 | WLDWW | -0.13 | -0.07 | 93% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Gulf Coast United FC · Sun Oct 11 vs Hattiesburg Futbol Club · Sat Oct 24 vs Coastal Rush ENCL RL See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Louisiana Fire SC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 13 | 1.86 | WWLLW | -0.15 | +0.07 | 41% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Coastal Rush ENCL RL · Sun Oct 25 vs LA Elite SP · Sun Nov 8 at Alabama FC Huntsville See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | LA Krewe Rush | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 17 | 1.55 | WLLWD | +0.20 | -0.66 | 70% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Mar 6 at Gulf Coast United FC · Sun Mar 7 at Hattiesburg Futbol Club · Sat Mar 20 at LA Elite SP See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Union 10 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 13 | 1.08 | LWWLW | -0.14 | +0.39 | 0% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Hattiesburg Futbol Club · Sun Oct 25 at Alabama FC Huntsville · Sun Nov 8 at Coastal Rush ENCL RL See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | LA Elite SP | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | 1.00 | WDLL | -0.35 | +0.17 | 1% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Coastal Rush ENCL RL · Sun Oct 25 at Louisiana Fire SC · Sat Nov 7 at Alabama FC Huntsville See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Gulf Coast United FC | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 21 | -18 | 3 | 0.38 | LWLLL | +0.56 | -0.27 | 0% | 8.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Alabama FC Huntsville · Sat Feb 27 vs Hattiesburg Futbol Club · Sat Mar 6 vs LA Krewe Rush See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Hattiesburg Futbol Club | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 26 | -22 | 3 | 0.38 | LLLLL | +0.58 | -0.16 | 0% | 8.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Union 10 · Sun Oct 11 at Alabama FC Huntsville · Sat Feb 27 at Gulf Coast United FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.61 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.