Portland City United
ECNL Regional League Girls · Far West GU13 · 7 teams · Portland City United SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM
Eastside Timbers Sports Complex, Field 1 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.8 for, 1.5 against · 0.83 expected points)
| Season so far | Portland City United | Eastside Timbers |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-5 | 3-0-4 |
| Points per game | 0.57 | 1.29 |
| Goals for / game | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals against / game | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L W | L W L W L |
| Biggest win | 1–0 vs Eastside Timbers | 4–1 vs Portland City United |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Capital FC | 0–3 at Capital FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.05 | -0.31 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.11 | -0.09 |
Already played this season: Sat Sep 26 1–0 vs Eastside Timbers (W); Sat Oct 17 1–4 at Eastside Timbers (L)
Common opponents: United PDX — we 0–2; they 1–0. Eugene Metro FC — we 0–0; they 0–2. Capital FC — we 1–4; they 0–3. FC Portland — we 1–2; they 1–0. Oregon Premier FC — we 0–3; they 0–2.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 vs United PDX, 0–0 at Eugene Metro FC, 0–3 at Oregon Premier FC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 19%; a draw (26%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 01:00 PM at Eastside Timbers Sports Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
FC Portland sit 6th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.57.A point moves us above FC Portland on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Eastside Timbers game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Portland City United – Eastside Timbers) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.50 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Win 0.88 PPG |
5th▲ up 2 | 6th▲ up 1 | 7th— holds |
| Draw 0.63 PPG |
7th— holds | 6th▲ up 1 | 7th— holds |
| Loss 0.50 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 3%
- 5th 18%
- 6th 40%
- 7th 39%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.32 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon Premier FC | 3.00 (+2.43) | 1st (2.64) | 71 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 63 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Capital FC | 2.57 (+2.00) | 2nd (2.40) | 61 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | United PDX | 1.43 (+0.86) | 3rd (1.35) | 32 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 4 | Eastside Timbers | 1.29 (+0.72) | 4th (1.24) | 29 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 5 | Eugene Metro FC | 0.67 (+0.10) | 5th (0.91) | A point next game |
| 6 | FC Portland | 0.67 (+0.10) | 7th (0.69) | A point next game |
How the results connect
29 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Portland City United to Eastside Timbers through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.17 · 1st hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 01:00 PM |
Eastside Timbers 4th · 3-0-4 · GD -3 |
Away Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
0–1 | 0.83 | 0.60 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
Eugene Metro FC 5th · 1-1-4 · GD -7 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
0–1 | 1.28 | 0.68 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 06:00 PM |
Capital FC 2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +19 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–3 | 0.18 | 0.63 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
FC Portland 6th · 1-1-4 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
Liberty High School |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.41 | 0.70 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 09:00 AM |
Oregon Premier FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +18 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–3 | 0.14 | 0.65 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 03:00 PM |
United PDX 3rd · 3-1-3 · GD -1 |
Away University of Oregon Portland - NE Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
0–1 | 0.75 | 0.66 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 23 TBD |
United PDX 3rd · 3-1-3 · GD -1 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
0–1 | 0.75 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 09:00 AM |
Capital FC 2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +19 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–3 | 0.18 | 0.63 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 13 TBD |
Eugene Metro FC 5th · 1-1-4 · GD -7 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
0–1 | 1.08 | 0.66 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 14 09:00 AM |
Oregon Premier FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +18 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–3 | 0.14 | 0.63 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
Eastside Timbers 4th · 3-0-4 · GD -3 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
0–1 | 1.02 | 0.65 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 11:00 AM |
FC Portland 6th · 1-1-4 · GD -15 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.64 | 0.71 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 09:00 AM |
FC Portland 6th · 1-1-4 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
Liberty High School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.41 | 0.74 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Capital FC 2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +19 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–3 | 0.11 | 0.71 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
United PDX 3rd · 3-1-3 · GD -1 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
0–1 | 0.92 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Oregon Premier FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +18 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–3 | 0.09 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 04:00 PM |
Eastside Timbers 4th · 3-0-4 · GD -3 |
Away Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
0–1 | 0.83 | 0.70 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 04:00 PM |
Eugene Metro FC 5th · 1-1-4 · GD -7 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
0–1 | 1.28 | 0.72 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Oregon Premier FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | +18 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.34 | -0.31 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Portland · Sat Nov 7 vs Eastside Timbers · Sat Nov 14 at United PDX See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Capital FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 5 | +19 | 18 | 2.57 | WWWWW | -0.45 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs United PDX · Sun Nov 1 at Eugene Metro FC · Sat Nov 7 at Portland City United See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | United PDX | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 | 1.43 | WLLWL | -0.03 | +0.06 | 94% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Capital FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Eastside Timbers · Sat Nov 14 vs Oregon Premier FC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Eastside Timbers | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 | 1.29 | LWLWL | -0.09 | +0.05 | 84% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Portland City United · Sat Nov 7 at Oregon Premier FC · Sun Nov 8 at United PDX See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Eugene Metro FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 | 0.67 | LLLWL | +0.33 | +0.04 | 16% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Portland · Sun Oct 25 at Portland City United · Sun Nov 1 vs Capital FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Portland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 4 | 0.67 | LDWLL | +0.67 | +0.10 | 3% | 6.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eugene Metro FC · Sun Nov 1 at Oregon Premier FC · Sat Nov 7 vs Eugene Metro FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Portland City United | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 | 0.57 | WLLLL | +0.11 | +0.17 | 4% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eastside Timbers · Sun Oct 25 vs Eugene Metro FC · Sat Nov 7 vs Capital FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.34 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.