TableChase Clubs

BRYC Academy

ECNL Regional League Boys · Virginia BU13 · 18 teams · Braddock Road Youth Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 26 minutes ago.
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15th
1-1-4 record · 6 played
0.67 points per game
-3 goal diff · 8–11
WDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.4
+0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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BRYC Academy
15th · 0.67 PPG
vs
Arlington Soccer Association
4th · 2.17 PPG

Woodson High School, Stadium Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.3 against · 0.63 expected points)

Season so farBRYC AcademyArlington Soccer Association
Position15th4th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-44-1-1
Points per game0.672.17
Goals for / game1.33.3
Goals against / game1.80.8
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless41
Form (recent first)L L L D WD W W L W
Biggest win7–0 vs Great Falls Reston Soccer Club8–0 at Great Falls Reston Soccer Club
Worst loss0–5 vs Virginia Reign0–1 at Virginia Reign
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.33+1.43
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.01-0.55

Common opponents: Great Falls Reston Soccer Club — we 7–0; they 8–0. Herndon — we 0–0; they 7–1. Virginia Reign — we 0–5; they 0–1. Richmond United Blue — we 0–2; they 2–1. Stafford Revolution — we 0–2; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Arlington Soccer Association score 3.3/game — well above the league's 2.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Arlington Soccer Association concede only 0.8/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–0 at Herndon, 0–5 vs Virginia Reign, 0–2 at Richmond United Blue, 0–2 at Stafford Revolution.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 15%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    SOCA Elite sit 14th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.67.

    A point moves us above SOCA Elite on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Arlington Soccer Association game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (BRYC Academy – Arlington Soccer Association) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.57 PPG		 16th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG		 12th▲ up 3 12th▲ up 3 15th— holds
Draw
0.71 PPG		 15th— holds 13th▲ up 2 17th▼ down 2
Loss
0.57 PPG		 16th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 0–2 loss we finish as high as 14th if every rival drops points, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 5%
  12. 12th 21%
  13. 13th 33%
  14. 14th 17%
  15. 15th 17%
  16. 16th 7%
  17. 17th
  18. 18th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.25 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Virginia Reign 3.00 (+2.33) 1st (2.87) 20 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Beach FC 2.67 (+2.00) 2nd (2.28) 18 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Prince William Courage 2.20 (+1.53) 5th (2.08) 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Arlington Soccer Association 2.17 (+1.50) 6th (2.07) 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Vienna Youth Soccer 2.17 (+1.50) 4th (2.09) 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 VSA 2.14 (+1.47) 3rd (2.16) 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 Richmond United Orange 1.67 (+1.00) 8th (1.77) 10 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 Stafford Revolution 1.50 (+0.83) 7th (1.79) 8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 Villarreal Virginia Academy 1.50 (+0.83) 10th (1.35) 8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
10 Richmond United Red 1.33 (+0.66) 11th (1.35) 7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
11 Richmond United Blue 1.17 (+0.50) 9th (1.47) 6 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
12 Virginia United 0.80 (+0.13) 14th (0.89) A point next game
13 Herndon 0.80 (+0.13) 16th (0.64) A point next game
14 SOCA Elite 0.75 (+0.08) 12th (0.90) A point next game

How the results connect

24 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link BRYC Academy to Arlington Soccer Association through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
2 even
19 favour them
-2.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
7–0 0–8 0–2 1–2 0–2 1–2 0–5 1–0 0–0 1–7 3–4 1–2 3–1 3–0 1–1 6–2 2–1 4–0 4–0 BRYC Academy 15th Great Falls Reston … 18th Stafford Revolution 8th Richmond United Blue 11th Virginia Reign 1st Herndon 13th Beach FC 2nd Virginia Valor FC 16th Arlington Soccer As… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 18th Aug 29 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 9th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM		 Arlington Soccer Association
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +15		 Home
Woodson High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 0–2 0.63 0.66 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:30 PM		 Virginia Valor FC
16th · 1-1-4 · GD -15		 Home
Woodson High School · turf		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 2–1 2.00 0.83 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Virginia Reign 6600 314+27 183.00 WWWWW -0.67 +0.18 100% 1.1
2 Beach FC 6510 265+21 162.67 DWWWW -1.13 +2.13 82% 3.0
3 Prince William Courage 5320 80+8 112.20 WDWWD -0.26 +0.18 45% 5.0
4 Arlington Soccer Association 6411 205+15 132.17 WLWWD -0.55 +0.79 53% 4.4
5 Vienna Youth Soccer 6411 157+8 132.17 WWWWD +0.11 -0.71 42% 4.8
6 VSA 7430 151+14 152.14 DWWDD -0.08 -0.40 75% 3.8
7 Richmond United Orange 6312 159+6 101.67 WLLDW -0.01 -0.32 1% 7.3
8 Stafford Revolution 6303 119+2 91.50 WLWLW +0.69 -2.66 0% 7.3
9 Villarreal Virginia Academy 6303 1110+1 91.50 WWLLW -0.31 +0.77 0% 10.3
10 Richmond United Red 6222 610-4 81.33 LWLDD +0.28 -0.54 0% 10.5
11 Richmond United Blue 6213 910-1 71.17 DWLWL +0.87 -2.66 0% 9.5
12 Virginia United 5113 713-6 40.80 LLLWD +0.12 -0.04 0% 13.3
13 Herndon 5113 517-12 40.80 LDLWL -0.42 +1.11 0% 15.4
14 SOCA Elite 4103 811-3 30.75 LLWL -0.18 +0.28 0% 13.3
15 BRYC Academy 6114 811-3 40.67 WDLLL +0.01 +0.04 0% 13.4
16 Virginia Valor FC 6114 621-15 40.67 LWLLD +0.86 -2.05 0% 13.8
17 LMVSC 7007 832-24 00.00 LLLLL +0.15 +0.89 0% 17.4
18 Great Falls Reston Soccer Club 5005 438-34 00.00 LLLLL +0.90 -0.28 0% 17.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.99 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.