TableChase Clubs

Washington Premier

ECNL Regional League Boys · Northwest BU14 · 12 teams · Washington Premier FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.
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9th
1-1-3 record · 5 played
0.80 points per game
-3 goal diff · 10–13
WDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.5
+0.33 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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Washington Premier
9th · 0.80 PPG
at

Chesterly Park, Field 5 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.8 against · 1.03 expected points)

Season so farWashington PremierCentral Washington Sounders
Position9th8th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-32-2-3
Points per game0.801.14
Goals for / game2.02.6
Goals against / game2.62.4
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L L L D WL L D D W
Biggest win6–0 at Spokane Shadow8–0 vs Spokane Shadow
Worst loss1–7 at Eastside FC1–6 vs Seattle United
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.28+0.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.33+0.34

Common opponents: Spokane Shadow — we 6–0; they 8–0. Northwest United FC ENCL RL — we 1–1; they 2–2. Seattle United — we 1–2; they 1–6. Eastside FC — we 1–7; they 2–4. Columbia Premier SC — we 1–3; they 4–1.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 29%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Chesterly Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Central Washington Sounders sit 8th on 1.14 PPG; we are on 0.80.

    A point moves us above Central Washington Sounders on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Washington Sounders game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Washington Premier – Central Washington Sounders) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.83 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Win
1.17 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1
Draw
0.83 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Loss
0.67 PPG
10th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 23%
  9. 9th 27%
  10. 10th 29%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 PacNW SC 3.00 (+2.20) 1st (2.35) 62 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 Eastside FC 2.71 (+1.91) 2nd (2.30) 56 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
3 Seattle United 2.57 (+1.77) 3rd (2.24) 53 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
4 Whatcom FC Rangers 1.67 (+0.87) 5th (1.61) 33 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 Northwest United FC ENCL RL 1.50 (+0.70) 4th (1.70) 29 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
6 XF 1.50 (+0.70) 6th (1.60) 29 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
7 Columbia Premier SC 1.17 (+0.37) 8th (1.23) 22 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 Central Washington Sounders 1.14 (+0.34) 7th (1.37) A point next game

How the results connect

18 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Washington Premier to Central Washington Sounders through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 even
11 favour them
-1.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 2–2 6–0 0–8 1–7 4–2 1–2 6–1 1–3 1–4 3–2 1–1 1–5 1–1 4–1 0–1 Washington Premier 9th Northwest United FC… 5th Spokane Shadow 11th Eastside FC 2nd Seattle United 3rd Columbia Premier SC 7th XF 6th Central Washington … 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 11

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.03 · 6th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Central Washington Sounders
8th · 2-2-3 · GD +1
Away far trip
Chesterly Park
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–2 1.03 0.84 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 PM
Valor Soccer
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -33
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–1 2.77 1.12 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
TBD
Whatcom FC Rangers
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.88 1.09 Upside
Sun Dec 6
11:00 AM
Columbia Premier SC
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.44 1.13 Upside
Sat Dec 12
01:00 PM
Northwest United FC ENCL RL
5th · 2-3-1 · GD +10
Away far trip
Sedro-Woolley High School
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.63 1.08 Upside
Sat Jan 16
01:00 PM
Central Washington Sounders
8th · 2-2-3 · GD +1
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.35 1.10 Upside
Sun Jan 17
TBD
XF
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.89 1.08 Upside
Sun Jan 31
TBD
Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -8
Away
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.40 1.11 Upside
Sat Feb 6
01:00 PM
Spokane Shadow
11th · 1-0-6 · GD -32
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.69 1.22 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
TBD
Whatcom FC Rangers
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +4
Home
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.14 1.22 Upside
Sun Feb 21
TBD
Seattle United
3rd · 6-0-1 · GD +18
Home
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.62 1.18 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD
PacNW SC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +20
Home
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.49 1.14 Upside
Sun Mar 14
11:00 AM
Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -8
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.70 1.17 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
PacNW SC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +20
Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.31 1.12 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Valor Soccer
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -33
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–1 2.64 1.20 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Eastside FC
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +20
Home
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.54 1.17 Upside
Sat May 1
09:00 AM
XF
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +3
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.14 1.17 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 PacNW SC 5500 244+20 153.00 WWWWW -1.08 +0.11 100% 1.8
2 Eastside FC 7610 288+20 192.71 WWWWD -0.32 -0.08 99% 2.1
3 Seattle United 7601 2911+18 182.57 LWWWW -0.26 -0.12 99% 2.3
4 Whatcom FC Rangers 6312 128+4 101.67 WLWWD +0.07 -0.06 27% 5.5
5 Northwest United FC ENCL RL 6231 177+10 91.50 DDWDL -0.28 +0.03 47% 4.9
6 XF 6231 107+3 91.50 DWDWD +0.14 -0.11 23% 5.6
7 Columbia Premier SC 6213 1010+0 71.17 LWLDW -0.38 +0.18 1% 8.1
8 Central Washington Sounders 7223 1817+1 81.14 WDDLL +0.34 -0.18 4% 7.1
9 Washington Premier 5113 1013-3 40.80 WDLLL +0.33 -0.03 0% 8.5
10 Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black 8206 1220-8 60.75 LLLLL +0.73 -0.29 0% 9.1
11 Spokane Shadow 7106 638-32 30.43 LLLWL +0.06 +0.40 0% 11.2
12 Valor Soccer 6006 235-33 00.00 LLLLL +0.25 +0.35 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.25 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.