Central Washington Sounders
ECNL Regional League Boys · Northwest BU14 · 12 teams · Central Washington Sounders (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.8 for, 2.1 against · 1.79 expected points)
| Season so far | Central Washington Sounders | Washington Premier |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-3 | 1-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.14 | 0.80 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L D D W | L L L D W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Spokane Shadow | 6–0 at Spokane Shadow |
| Worst loss | 1–6 vs Seattle United | 1–7 at Eastside FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.12 | -0.28 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.34 | +0.33 |
Common opponents: Columbia Premier SC — we 4–1; they 1–3. Eastside FC — we 2–4; they 1–7. Spokane Shadow — we 8–0; they 6–0. Northwest United FC ENCL RL — we 2–2; they 1–1. Seattle United — we 1–6; they 1–2.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Whatcom FC Rangers.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 54% / draw 18% / loss 29%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
Washington Premier have lost 3 straight (form: WDLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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What a win does
Columbia Premier SC sit 7th on 1.17 PPG; we are on 1.14.A point moves us above Columbia Premier SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Washington Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Central Washington Sounders – Washington Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.13 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Win 1.38 PPG |
7th▲ up 1 | 6th▲ up 2 | 7th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.13 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
9th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 11%
- 6th 20%
- 7th 27%
- 8th 20%
- 9th 13%
- 10th 6%
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PacNW SC | 3.00 (+1.86) | 1st (2.35) | 55 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
| 2 | Eastside FC | 2.71 (+1.57) | 2nd (2.30) | 49 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 3 | Seattle United | 2.57 (+1.43) | 3rd (2.24) | 46 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 4 | Whatcom FC Rangers | 1.67 (+0.53) | 5th (1.61) | 28 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 5 | Northwest United FC ENCL RL | 1.50 (+0.36) | 4th (1.70) | 24 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 6 | XF | 1.50 (+0.36) | 6th (1.60) | 24 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 7 | Columbia Premier SC | 1.17 (+0.03) | 8th (1.23) | A point next game |
How the results connect
18 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Central Washington Sounders to Washington Premier through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.18 · 11th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 11:00 AM no score posted |
PacNW SC 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +20 |
Home Chesterly Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.61 | 1.08 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
Washington Premier 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -3 |
Home Chesterly Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–2 | 1.79 | 1.16 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 01:00 PM |
Whatcom FC Rangers 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +4 |
Home Chesterly Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–2 | 1.33 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 11:00 AM |
Eastside FC 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +20 |
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.45 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
PacNW SC 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +20 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.40 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 06:00 AM |
Seattle United 3rd · 6-0-1 · GD +18 |
Away far trip
TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–4 | 0.51 | 1.01 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 16 01:00 PM |
Washington Premier 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.46 | 1.04 | Swing game |
| Sun Jan 17 TBD |
Valor Soccer 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -33 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
4–1 | 2.76 | 1.15 | Bank it |
| Sun Jan 31 TBD |
Columbia Premier SC 7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
2–2 | 1.35 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black 10th · 2-0-6 · GD -8 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.61 | 1.19 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Spokane Shadow 11th · 1-0-6 · GD -32 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
4–1 | 2.67 | 1.28 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 11:00 AM |
Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black 10th · 2-0-6 · GD -8 |
Home Chesterly Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.92 | 1.31 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 11:00 AM |
Northwest United FC ENCL RL 5th · 2-3-1 · GD +10 |
Home Chesterly Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.04 | 1.30 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 01:00 PM |
Valor Soccer 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -33 |
Home Chesterly Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
5–1 | 2.87 | 1.37 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | PacNW SC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 4 | +20 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -1.08 | +0.11 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Central Washington Sounders · Sun Oct 25 at XF · Sat Nov 7 at Columbia Premier SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Eastside FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 8 | +20 | 19 | 2.71 | WWWWD | -0.32 | -0.08 | 99% | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Valor Soccer · Sat Nov 7 vs Northwest United FC ENCL RL · Sat Nov 14 vs Central Washington Sounders See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Seattle United | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 11 | +18 | 18 | 2.57 | LWWWW | -0.26 | -0.12 | 99% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Northwest United FC ENCL RL · Sat Nov 7 vs Spokane Shadow · Sun Dec 6 vs Eastside FC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Whatcom FC Rangers | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 10 | 1.67 | WLWWD | +0.07 | -0.06 | 27% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Spokane Shadow · Sun Nov 1 at Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black · Sat Nov 7 at Central Washington Sounders See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Northwest United FC ENCL RL | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 9 | 1.50 | DDWDL | -0.28 | +0.03 | 47% | 4.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs Spokane Shadow · Sun Oct 25 vs Seattle United · Sat Nov 7 at Eastside FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | XF | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 9 | 1.50 | DWDWD | +0.14 | -0.11 | 23% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PacNW SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black · Sun Nov 8 vs Spokane Shadow See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Columbia Premier SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 7 | 1.17 | LWLDW | -0.38 | +0.18 | 1% | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs PacNW SC · Sun Nov 8 vs Whatcom FC Rangers · Sat Nov 14 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Central Washington Sounders | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 8 | 1.14 | WDDLL | +0.34 | -0.18 | 4% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs PacNW SC · Sun Oct 25 vs Washington Premier · Sat Nov 7 vs Whatcom FC Rangers See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Washington Premier | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 4 | 0.80 | WDLLL | +0.33 | -0.03 | 0% | 8.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Central Washington Sounders · Sat Nov 7 vs Valor Soccer · Sun Nov 15 at Whatcom FC Rangers See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 6 | 0.75 | LLLLL | +0.73 | -0.29 | 0% | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Whatcom FC Rangers · Sat Nov 7 at XF · Sat Nov 14 at Columbia Premier SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Spokane Shadow | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 38 | -32 | 3 | 0.43 | LLLWL | +0.06 | +0.40 | 0% | 11.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Whatcom FC Rangers · Sun Oct 11 at Northwest United FC ENCL RL · Sat Nov 7 at Seattle United See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Valor Soccer | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 35 | -33 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.25 | +0.35 | 0% | 11.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Eastside FC · Sat Nov 7 at Washington Premier · Sun Nov 15 at Columbia Premier SC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.25 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.