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Valor Soccer

ECNL Regional League Boys · Northwest BU14 · 12 teams · Valor Soccer (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.
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12th
0-0-6 record · 6 played
0.00 points per game
-33 goal diff · 2–35
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.8
+0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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Valor Soccer
12th · 0.00 PPG
vs
Eastside FC
2nd · 2.71 PPG

Petrovitsky Park, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–6 (expected goals 0.7 for, 6.3 against · 0.03 expected points)

Season so farValor SoccerEastside FC
Position12th2nd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-66-1-0
Points per game0.002.71
Goals for / game0.34.0
Goals against / game5.81.1
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless50
Form (recent first)L L L L LD W W W W
Biggest win—7–1 vs Washington Premier
Worst loss0–8 vs Northwest United FC ENCL RL—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.43+1.87
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.25-0.32

Common opponents: Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black — we 0–4; they 3–1, 3–1. Spokane Shadow — we 2–3; they 5–0. Seattle United — we 0–7; they 4–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Eastside FC score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–8 vs Northwest United FC ENCL RL, 0–5 at Whatcom FC Rangers, 0–4 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black, 0–8 at PacNW SC, 0–7 at Seattle United.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 1%; a draw (1%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eastside FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Valor Soccer – Eastside FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Win
0.43 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Draw
0.14 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–6 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th 18%
  12. 12th 82%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.18 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 PacNW SC 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.35) 66 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Eastside FC 2.71 (+2.71) 2nd (2.30) 60 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Seattle United 2.57 (+2.57) 3rd (2.24) 57 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Whatcom FC Rangers 1.67 (+1.67) 5th (1.61) 37 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
5 Northwest United FC ENCL RL 1.50 (+1.50) 4th (1.70) 33 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
6 XF 1.50 (+1.50) 6th (1.60) 33 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
7 Columbia Premier SC 1.17 (+1.17) 8th (1.23) 26 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
8 Central Washington Sounders 1.14 (+1.14) 7th (1.37) 26 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
9 Washington Premier 0.80 (+0.80) 9th (1.17) 18 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
10 Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black 0.75 (+0.75) 10th (1.07) 17 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
11 Spokane Shadow 0.43 (+0.43) 11th (0.32) 10 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection

How the results connect

25 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Valor Soccer to Eastside FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
25 favour them
-7.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 0–5 0–4 1–3 1–3 0–7 1–4 6–1 2–4 1–4 2–2 0–5 3–0 3–1 0–0 3–2 6–3 Valor Soccer 12th Spokane Shadow 11th Wenatchee FA -RL B1… 10th Seattle United 3rd Whatcom FC Rangers 4th Central Washington … 8th XF 6th Eastside FC 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 11

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.35 · 2nd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Eastside FC
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +20
Home
Petrovitsky Park
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–6 0.03 0.00 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 PM
Washington Premier
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.17 0.02 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM
Columbia Premier SC
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0
Away far trip
Harmony Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.18 0.04 Upside
Sun Dec 6
01:00 PM
Northwest United FC ENCL RL
5th · 2-3-1 · GD +10
Away far trip
Sedro-Woolley High School
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.05 0.04 Upside
Sat Jan 9
04:00 PM
Spokane Shadow
11th · 1-0-6 · GD -32
Home
Petrovitsky Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.26 0.15 Upside
Sun Jan 17
TBD
Central Washington Sounders
8th · 2-2-3 · GD +1
Home
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.18 0.16 Upside
Sun Jan 31
TBD
XF
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +3
Home
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 0.16 Upside
Sun Feb 7
TBD
Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -8
Away
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.24 0.16 Upside
Sat Feb 20
TBD
Columbia Premier SC
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0
Home
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.29 0.17 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD
XF
6th · 2-3-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.12 0.17 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD
Whatcom FC Rangers
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +4
Home
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.18 0.17 Upside
Sat Mar 20
01:00 PM
Eastside FC
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +20
Away
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–7 0.01 0.16 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Seattle United
3rd · 6-0-1 · GD +18
Home
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–6 0.03 0.15 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Washington Premier
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Home
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–3 0.28 0.16 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
PacNW SC
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +20
Home
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.03 0.15 Upside
Sat May 1
01:00 PM
Central Washington Sounders
8th · 2-2-3 · GD +1
Away far trip
Chesterly Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.10 0.15 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 PacNW SC 5500 244+20 153.00 WWWWW -1.08 +0.11 100% 1.8
2 Eastside FC 7610 288+20 192.71 WWWWD -0.32 -0.08 99% 2.1
3 Seattle United 7601 2911+18 182.57 LWWWW -0.26 -0.12 99% 2.3
4 Whatcom FC Rangers 6312 128+4 101.67 WLWWD +0.07 -0.06 27% 5.5
5 Northwest United FC ENCL RL 6231 177+10 91.50 DDWDL -0.28 +0.03 47% 4.9
6 XF 6231 107+3 91.50 DWDWD +0.14 -0.11 23% 5.6
7 Columbia Premier SC 6213 1010+0 71.17 LWLDW -0.38 +0.18 1% 8.1
8 Central Washington Sounders 7223 1817+1 81.14 WDDLL +0.34 -0.18 4% 7.1
9 Washington Premier 5113 1013-3 40.80 WDLLL +0.33 -0.03 0% 8.5
10 Wenatchee FA -RL B12/13 Black 8206 1220-8 60.75 LLLLL +0.73 -0.29 0% 9.1
11 Spokane Shadow 7106 638-32 30.43 LLLWL +0.06 +0.40 0% 11.2
12 Valor Soccer 6006 235-33 00.00 LLLLL +0.25 +0.35 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.25 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.