Walnut Creek Surf

ECNL Regional League Boys · NorCal BU15 · 23 teams · Walnut Creek Surf Soccer Club (all teams)

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2nd

6-0-0 record · 6 played

3.00 points per game

+15 goal diff · 19–4

WWWWWlast 5

85% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.9

-0.61 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM

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Walnut Creek Surf
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Stockton TLJ FC
7th · 2.14 PPG

Stockton Soccer Complex, Field 4 ↗ far trip

42% 22% 36%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.7 against · 1.47 expected points)

Season so far	Walnut Creek Surf	Stockton TLJ FC
Position	2nd	7th
Record (W-D-L)	6-0-0	5-0-2
Points per game	3.00	2.14
Goals for / game	3.2	2.9
Goals against / game	0.7	1.3
Clean sheets	3	3
Held scoreless	0	1
Form (recent first)	W W W W W	W W W W W
Biggest win	5–1 at East Bay United	6–1 vs Central Valley Premier FC -RL
Worst loss	—	0–2 vs Palo Alto SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.43	+1.11
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.61	-0.03

Common opponents: Central Valley Premier FC -RL — we 3–0; they 6–1. SF United FC — we 5–2; they 4–1.

Game plan

Respect their attack
Stockton TLJ FC score 2.9/game — well above the league's 2.0.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 42%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
They arrive in form
Stockton TLJ FC have won 5 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
Away game
Kickoff 10:00 AM at Stockton Soccer Complex.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
CVFA sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.
A win moves us above CVFA on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Stockton TLJ FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Walnut Creek Surf – Stockton TLJ FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 2.71 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Win 3.00 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Draw 2.71 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Loss 2.57 PPG	2nd— holds	3rd▼ down 1	3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

11% finish 1st

85% top 4

15% below the top 4

2.9 average finish

1st 11%
2nd 41%
3rd 21%
4th 12%
5th 7%
6th 4%
7th 2%
8th 1%
9th <1%
10th <1%
11th
12th
13th
14th
15th
16th
17th
18th
19th
20th
21st
22nd
23rd

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	CVFA	3.00 (+0.00)	1st (2.76)	Win next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link Walnut Creek Surf to Stockton TLJ FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us

3 even

4 favour them

+0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.13 · 14th hardest of 23

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 10:00 AM	Stockton TLJ FC 7th · 5-0-2 · GD +11	Away far trip Stockton Soccer Complex	●●●●○ Tough	42%	1–1	1.47	2.78	Upside
Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM	Livermore Fusion SC 19th · 1-0-5 · GD -17	Home Northgate High School	●○○○○ Favorable	92%	4–0	2.82	2.79	Bank it
Sat Oct 31 10:00 AM	Turlock Academica Jrs 12th · 3-1-3 · GD -1	Away far trip Academica Fields	●●○○○ Lean win	64%	2–1	2.11	2.71	Swing game
Sat Nov 7 01:00 PM	San Ramon FC 16th · 2-1-3 · GD -9	Home Arbolado Park	●○○○○ Favorable	86%	3–0	2.66	2.71	Bank it
Sat Apr 3 TBD	El Camino FC Salinas - Red 9th · 4-1-2 · GD +5	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	1–1	1.73	2.62	Swing game
Sat Apr 10 TBD	Sierra Nevada 8th · 5-0-2 · GD +8	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	53%	1–1	1.82	2.55	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Diablo Valley Futbol Club 4th · 5-1-1 · GD +17	Home	●●●●○ Tough	42%	1–1	1.49	2.47	Upside
Sun Apr 25 11:00 AM	JSC Soccer Club - JSC 17th · 2-0-4 · GD -2	Away far trip Red Morton	●●○○○ Lean win	64%	2–1	2.11	2.44	Swing game
Sat May 1 12:00 PM	East County Revolution FC 22nd · 0-0-7 · GD -22	Away Sunset Sports Complex (SSC)	●○○○○ Favorable	91%	4–0	2.80	2.47	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

CVFA

+27

3.00

WWWWW

-0.21

-0.39

100%

1.2

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Solano Surf (23rd)	7–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Sierra Nevada (8th)	3–1
W	Sat Aug 22	vs	San Ramon FC (16th)	10–0
W	Sun Aug 16	vs	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	5–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Clovis Crossfire · Sat Nov 7 vs San Carlos United SC · Sat Feb 27 vs East County Revolution FC See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	4–1	87%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	San Carlos United SC (13th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	7–0	99%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	East Bay United (21st)	6–0	99%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Palo Alto SC (6th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat May 1	at	South Valley Chivas (15th)	4–1	89%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Walnut Creek Surf

+15

3.00

WWWWW

-0.61

-0.13

85%

2.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Union FC (10th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	SF United FC (11th)	5–2
W	Sat Aug 22	at	East Bay United (21st)	5–1
W	Sun Aug 16	at	Solano Surf (23rd)	2–0
W	Sat Aug 15	vs	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Stockton TLJ FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Livermore Fusion SC · Sat Oct 31 at Turlock Academica Jrs See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	San Ramon FC (16th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Sierra Nevada (8th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat May 1	at	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	4–0	91%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sheriffs FC

+15

2.50

WWWWL

-0.86

-0.14

71%

3.9

L	Sat Oct 17	at	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	1–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	East Bay United (21st)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Legends FC (20th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Solano Surf (23rd)	6–0
W	Sat Aug 22	vs	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	1–0
W	Sat Aug 15	at	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	4–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Union FC · Sat Oct 31 vs San Ramon FC · Sat Nov 7 at Palo Alto SC See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Union FC (10th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	San Ramon FC (16th)	3–1	86%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	SF United FC (11th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	4–1	92%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	4–1	89%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	2–1	70%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Sierra Nevada (8th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat May 1	at	San Carlos United SC (13th)	2–1	48%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Diablo Valley Futbol Club

+17

2.29

LWWWD

-0.53

-0.38

58%

4.4

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	San Carlos United SC (13th)	1–1
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Legends FC (20th)	3–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	San Ramon FC (16th)	2–0
L	Sat Aug 22	at	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	0–1
W	Sun Aug 16	vs	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	9–1
W	Sat Aug 15	at	East Bay United (21st)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Central Valley Premier FC -RL · Sat Oct 31 at Stockton TLJ FC · Sat Nov 7 at El Camino FC Salinas - Red See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	3–0	89%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	4–0	95%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Solano Surf (23rd)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	South Valley Chivas (15th)	3–0	81%
·	Sat May 1	vs	SF United FC (11th)	2–1	71%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

South Valley United Soccer Club

2.17

WWDLW

+0.43

-0.31

20%

6.3

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	1–2
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	San Carlos United SC (13th)	1–1
W	Sat Aug 22	vs	Palo Alto SC (6th)	3–1
W	Sun Aug 16	vs	East Bay United (21st)	3–0
W	Sat Aug 15	at	Legends FC (20th)	6–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at South Valley Chivas · Sat Oct 31 vs Central Valley Premier FC -RL · Sun Nov 1 vs Clovis Crossfire See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	South Valley Chivas (15th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	3–1	83%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	2–1	71%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Solano Surf (23rd)	3–0	88%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Union FC (10th)	1–1	51%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	CVFA (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	SF United FC (11th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat May 1	at	Sierra Nevada (8th)	1–1	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Palo Alto SC

+15

2.14

LWWLW

-0.41

+0.09

25%

6.0

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Legends FC (20th)	2–1
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Union FC (10th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	7–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	8–1
L	Sat Aug 22	at	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	1–3
W	Sun Aug 16	vs	Sierra Nevada (8th)	2–1
W	Sat Aug 15	at	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	2–0

Next: Sun Oct 11 vs San Carlos United SC · Sat Oct 24 at JSC Soccer Club - JSC · Sat Nov 7 vs Sheriffs FC See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 11 (no score yet)	vs	San Carlos United SC (13th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	2–1	62%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	South Valley Chivas (15th)	2–1	72%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	CVFA (1st)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	3–1	82%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Solano Surf (23rd)	4–0	92%
·	Sat May 1	at	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	1–1	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Stockton TLJ FC

+11

2.14

WWWWW

-0.03

-0.09

21%

6.5

W	Sat Oct 17	at	SF United FC (11th)	4–1
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	6–1
W	Sat Aug 22	vs	South Valley Chivas (15th)	3–0
L	Sun Aug 16	at	CVFA (1st)	3–5
L	Sat Aug 15	vs	Palo Alto SC (6th)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Walnut Creek Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Diablo Valley Futbol Club · Sat Nov 7 at Clovis Crossfire See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	San Carlos United SC (13th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Union FC (10th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Solano Surf (23rd)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	3–0	89%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	1–1	53%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sierra Nevada

2.14

WLWWW

+0.27

-0.23

17%

6.7

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	South Valley Chivas (15th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	San Carlos United SC (13th)	3–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	CVFA (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Aug 22	at	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	3–1
L	Sun Aug 16	at	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–2
W	Sat Aug 15	vs	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at San Ramon FC · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC · Sat Nov 7 vs Turlock Academica Jrs See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	San Ramon FC (16th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Legends FC (20th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	2–1	62%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	East Bay United (21st)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–2	26%
·	Sat May 1	vs	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	1–1	41%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

El Camino FC Salinas - Red

1.86

LWLDW

+0.08

+0.20

9.7

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Solano Surf (23rd)	4–0
D	Sat Oct 10	at	SF United FC (11th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	CVFA (1st)	1–5
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	1–0
L	Sat Aug 22	vs	Sierra Nevada (8th)	1–3
W	Sun Aug 16	vs	Legends FC (20th)	4–0
W	Sat Aug 15	at	San Carlos United SC (13th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 31 at South Valley Chivas · Sat Nov 7 vs Diablo Valley Futbol Club · Sat Mar 13 at Livermore Fusion SC See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	South Valley Chivas (15th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	1–1	27%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	1–1	27%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	San Ramon FC (16th)	2–1	71%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	1–1	26%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–1	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Union FC

1.86

LWWWL

+0.04

-0.24

9.7

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Solano Surf (23rd)	4–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	South Valley Chivas (15th)	3–1
L	Sat Aug 22	at	San Carlos United SC (13th)	0–4
W	Sun Aug 16	at	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	2–1
D	Sat Aug 15	vs	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sheriffs FC · Sat Oct 31 at SF United FC · Sat Nov 7 vs JSC Soccer Club - JSC See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SF United FC (11th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	1–1	27%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	3–0	80%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Legends FC (20th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat May 1	vs	East Bay United (21st)	2–0	78%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SF United FC

1.67

WWLDL

-0.06

+0.16

12.1

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	1–4
D	Sat Oct 10	vs	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	2–5
W	Sat Aug 22	at	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	2–1
W	Sun Aug 16	at	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	2–0
W	Sat Aug 15	vs	Solano Surf (23rd)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Turlock Academica Jrs · Sat Oct 31 vs Union FC · Sun Nov 8 at JSC Soccer Club - JSC See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Union FC (10th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	San Ramon FC (16th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	East Bay United (21st)	2–0	79%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	San Carlos United SC (13th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat May 1	at	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	1–2	13%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Turlock Academica Jrs

-1

1.43

WWWLL

+0.06

-0.20

12.7

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	CVFA (1st)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	2–0
W	Sat Aug 22	vs	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	4–2
L	Sun Aug 16	vs	Union FC (10th)	1–2
D	Sat Aug 15	at	San Ramon FC (16th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at SF United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Walnut Creek Surf · Sat Nov 7 at Sierra Nevada See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	SF United FC (11th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Sierra Nevada (8th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Legends FC (20th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	San Carlos United SC (13th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	South Valley Chivas (15th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat May 1	at	Solano Surf (23rd)	2–1	70%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

San Carlos United SC

1.33

WWDLD

+0.68

+0.14

10.8

D	Sat Oct 17	at	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Sierra Nevada (8th)	2–3
D	Sat Sep 19	at	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	1–1
W	Sat Aug 22	vs	Union FC (10th)	4–0
W	Sun Aug 16	at	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	5–1
L	Sat Aug 15	vs	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	1–3

Next: Sun Oct 11 at Palo Alto SC · Sat Oct 24 vs East Bay United · Sat Nov 7 at CVFA See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 11 (no score yet)	at	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	East Bay United (21st)	3–0	89%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	CVFA (1st)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Legends FC (20th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	SF United FC (11th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	3–1	85%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–2	31%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Clovis Crossfire

-3

1.33

LWDLW

-0.40

+0.69

15.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	South Valley Chivas (15th)	3–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	0–4
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Legends FC (20th)	1–1
W	Sun Aug 23	at	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	4–2
L	Sun Aug 16	vs	SF United FC (11th)	0–2
D	Sat Aug 15	at	Union FC (10th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Livermore Fusion SC · Sat Oct 31 vs CVFA · Sun Nov 1 at South Valley United Soccer Club See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	CVFA (1st)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Sierra Nevada (8th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–2	14%
·	Sat May 1	at	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	2–1	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

South Valley Chivas

-5

1.29

LLWLL

-0.55

+0.28

15.1

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	2–3
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Sierra Nevada (8th)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 26	at	East Bay United (21st)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Union FC (10th)	1–3
L	Sat Aug 22	at	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	0–3
W	Sun Aug 16	vs	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	2–1
W	Sat Aug 15	at	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	4–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs South Valley United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 vs El Camino FC Salinas - Red · Sat Nov 7 vs Central Valley Premier FC -RL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Solano Surf (23rd)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	San Ramon FC (16th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	0–3	7%
·	Sat May 1	vs	CVFA (1st)	1–4	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

San Ramon FC

-9

1.17

WLLWL

-0.28

+0.03

15.8

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	1–4
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	5–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	0–2
L	Sat Aug 22	at	CVFA (1st)	0–10
W	Sun Aug 16	at	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	2–0
D	Sat Aug 15	vs	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sierra Nevada · Sat Oct 31 at Sheriffs FC · Sat Nov 7 at Walnut Creek Surf See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sierra Nevada (8th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–3	6%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SF United FC (11th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	South Valley Chivas (15th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	1–2	13%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	East Bay United (21st)	2–1	58%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Legends FC (20th)	2–2	48%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

JSC Soccer Club - JSC

-2

1.00

LLLWW

-0.34

+0.25

14.6

W	Sat Oct 17	at	East Bay United (21st)	4–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	0–1
L	Sat Aug 22	at	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	2–4
L	Sun Aug 16	vs	San Carlos United SC (13th)	1–5
L	Sat Aug 15	at	Sierra Nevada (8th)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Palo Alto SC · Sat Nov 7 at Union FC · Sun Nov 8 vs SF United FC See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Union FC (10th)	1–1	31%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	SF United FC (11th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	San Ramon FC (16th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	CVFA (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Solano Surf (23rd)	3–1	80%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	1–2	17%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	3–1	70%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Central Valley Premier FC -RL

-11

0.50

LWLLL

+0.03

+0.64

19.5

L	Sat Oct 10	vs	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	1–6
W	Sat Aug 22	vs	Legends FC (20th)	7–4
L	Sun Aug 16	vs	San Ramon FC (16th)	0–2
L	Sat Aug 15	at	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Diablo Valley Futbol Club · Sat Oct 31 at South Valley United Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at South Valley Chivas See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	South Valley Chivas (15th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Sierra Nevada (8th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	East Bay United (21st)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–4	4%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	CVFA (1st)	1–5	2%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	1–2	33%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Livermore Fusion SC

-17

0.50

LLLLW

+0.35

-0.30

18.7

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	San Ramon FC (16th)	4–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–8
L	Sat Aug 22	vs	SF United FC (11th)	1–2
L	Sun Aug 16	at	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	1–9
L	Sat Aug 15	vs	South Valley Chivas (15th)	1–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Clovis Crossfire · Sun Oct 25 at Walnut Creek Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs East Bay United See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	1–2	19%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	East Bay United (21st)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–4	3%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Legends FC (20th)	2–3	27%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat May 1	at	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	1–3	15%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Legends FC

-15

0.14

LDLLL

+0.64

-0.67

18.2

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Palo Alto SC (6th)	1–2
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–3
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	1–1
L	Sat Aug 22	at	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	4–7
L	Sun Aug 16	at	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	0–4
L	Sat Aug 15	vs	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	2–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Solano Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Sierra Nevada · Sat Nov 7 vs East Bay United See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Solano Surf (23rd)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Sierra Nevada (8th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	East Bay United (21st)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	San Carlos United SC (13th)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	3–2	56%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Union FC (10th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat May 1	at	San Ramon FC (16th)	2–2	33%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

East Bay United

-19

0.00

LLLLL

+0.67

-0.05

21.5

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	0–4
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	South Valley Chivas (15th)	0–1
L	Sat Aug 22	vs	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	1–5
L	Sun Aug 16	at	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	0–3
L	Sat Aug 15	vs	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at San Carlos United SC · Sat Oct 31 at Livermore Fusion SC · Sat Nov 7 at Legends FC See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	San Carlos United SC (13th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Legends FC (20th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	CVFA (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Central Valley Premier FC -RL (18th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SF United FC (11th)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Sierra Nevada (8th)	0–3	6%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	San Ramon FC (16th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat May 1	at	Union FC (10th)	0–2	8%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

East County Revolution FC

-22

0.00

LLLLL

+0.20

+0.52

22.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Sierra Nevada (8th)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 10	at	San Ramon FC (16th)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Palo Alto SC (6th)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	0–2
L	Sun Aug 23	vs	Clovis Crossfire (14th)	2–4
L	Sun Aug 16	at	South Valley Chivas (15th)	1–2
L	Sat Aug 15	vs	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	1–4

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Solano Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Livermore Fusion SC · Sat Feb 27 at CVFA See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Solano Surf (23rd)	2–1	46%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Livermore Fusion SC (19th)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	CVFA (1st)	0–7	0%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Union FC (10th)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	San Carlos United SC (13th)	1–3	6%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	0–4	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Solano Surf

-24

0.00

LLLLL

+1.09

+0.06

21.8

L	Sat Oct 17	at	El Camino FC Salinas - Red (9th)	0–4
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	CVFA (1st)	1–7
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Union FC (10th)	2–4
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sheriffs FC (3rd)	0–6
L	Sun Aug 16	vs	Walnut Creek Surf (2nd)	0–2
L	Sat Aug 15	at	SF United FC (11th)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sat Oct 31 at East County Revolution FC · Sat Nov 7 vs South Valley United Soccer Club See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Legends FC (20th)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	East County Revolution FC (22nd)	1–2	33%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	South Valley United Soccer Club (5th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	South Valley Chivas (15th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Diablo Valley Futbol Club (4th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Stockton TLJ FC (7th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	JSC Soccer Club - JSC (17th)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Palo Alto SC (6th)	0–4	3%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Turlock Academica Jrs (12th)	1–2	13%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.01 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.