Arizona Soccer Club
ECNL Regional League Boys · Mountain BU14 · 10 teams · Arizona Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Mar 13, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.2 against · 0.71 expected points)
| Season so far | Arizona Soccer Club | CCV STARS |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-11 | 1-1-8 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 11 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | L L D L L |
| Biggest win | — | 3–0 vs Arizona Soccer Club |
| Worst loss | 0–11 vs Utah Athletic | 1–12 at Playmaker Futbol Academy -RL |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.80 | -2.37 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.59 | +0.81 |
Already played this season: Sat Sep 26 0–3 at CCV STARS (L)
Common opponents: Utah Athletic — we 0–4, 0–11; they 0–10, 2–5. NUU Avalanche — we 0–6, 0–3; they 2–4, 0–6. Playmaker Futbol Academy -RL — we 0–7; they 1–12. Utah Avalanche — we 0–3, 0–1; they 0–1, 1–1. La Roca FC — we 0–2, 0–1; they 2–6, 2–3.
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
CCV STARS concede 4.8/game; worst result 1–12 at Playmaker Futbol Academy -RL.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 11 time(s): 0–4 at Utah Athletic, 0–6 at NUU Avalanche, 0–7 at Playmaker Futbol Academy -RL, 0–2 at Arizona Arsenal, 0–3 at Utah Avalanche, 0–2 at La Roca FC, 0–3 at CCV STARS, 0–11 vs Utah Athletic, 0–3 vs NUU Avalanche, 0–1 vs Utah Avalanche, 0–1 vs La Roca FC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 17%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
El Paso Locomotive B12/13 sit 9th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above El Paso Locomotive B12/13 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the CCV STARS game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Arizona Soccer Club – CCV STARS) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Mar 8 – Sun Mar 14); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 10th— holds |
| Win 0.25 PPG |
8th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 0.08 PPG |
8th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 10th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th <1%
- 9th 3%
- 10th 97%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 1.17 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utah Athletic | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.93) | 54 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Playmaker Futbol Academy -RL | 2.45 (+2.45) | 2nd (2.61) | 45 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | NUU Avalanche | 2.00 (+2.00) | 3rd (2.08) | 36 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | La Roca FC | 1.64 (+1.64) | 6th (1.48) | 30 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Arizona Arsenal | 1.30 (+1.30) | 5th (1.53) | 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | Utah Avalanche | 1.00 (+1.00) | 7th (0.89) | 18 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 7 | CCV STARS | 0.40 (+0.40) | 9th (0.60) | 8 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection |
| 8 | NM Rapids SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.62) | Already ahead |
| 9 | El Paso Locomotive B12/13 | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (0.82) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
107 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Arizona Soccer Club to CCV STARS through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
13 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.64 · 7th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
CCV STARS 7th · 1-1-8 · GD -35 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.71 | 0.06 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Arizona Arsenal 5th · 4-1-5 · GD -9 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.26 | 0.08 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 09:00 AM |
NM Rapids SC 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–3 | 0.14 | 0.08 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 09:30 AM |
El Paso Locomotive B12/13 9th · 0-0-2 · GD -16 |
Away far trip
Andress High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
0–2 | 0.46 | 0.11 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
NM Rapids SC 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.23 | 0.11 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
El Paso Locomotive B12/13 9th · 0-0-2 · GD -16 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.64 | 0.14 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 11:00 AM |
Playmaker Futbol Academy -RL 2nd · 9-0-2 · GD +43 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–5 | 0.02 | 0.14 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Utah Athletic | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 9 | +67 | 36 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.70 | -0.50 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs La Roca FC · Sat Dec 12 at El Paso Locomotive B12/13 · Sun Dec 13 at NM Rapids SC See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Playmaker Futbol Academy -RL | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 52 | 9 | +43 | 27 | 2.45 | WWLWW | +0.09 | -1.47 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at CCV STARS · Thu Mar 11 at Arizona Arsenal · Sat Mar 20 at El Paso Locomotive B12/13 See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | NUU Avalanche | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 14 | +21 | 22 | 2.00 | WLWWD | -0.40 | -0.25 | 99% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Dec 12 at NM Rapids SC · Sun Dec 13 at El Paso Locomotive B12/13 · Sat Feb 20 vs NM Rapids SC See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | La Roca FC | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 | 1.64 | WWLLW | -0.13 | -0.09 | 15% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Utah Athletic · Sat Dec 5 vs NM Rapids SC · Sun Dec 6 vs El Paso Locomotive B12/13 See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Arizona Arsenal | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 13 | 1.30 | LWWLD | +0.83 | -1.15 | 31% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at CCV STARS · Thu Mar 11 vs Playmaker Futbol Academy -RL · Sun Mar 14 at Arizona Soccer Club See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Utah Avalanche | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 10 | 1.00 | LLDWL | -0.14 | -0.07 | 0% | 7.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Dec 5 vs El Paso Locomotive B12/13 · Sun Dec 6 vs NM Rapids SC · Sat Feb 6 at El Paso Locomotive B12/13 See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | CCV STARS | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 48 | -35 | 4 | 0.40 | LLDLL | +0.81 | -0.66 | 0% | 8.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Arizona Arsenal · Sun Oct 25 vs Playmaker Futbol Academy -RL · Sat Mar 13 at Arizona Soccer Club See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | NM Rapids SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.22 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 at La Roca FC · Sun Dec 6 at Utah Avalanche · Sat Dec 12 vs NUU Avalanche See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | El Paso Locomotive B12/13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +2.79 | -0.29 | 0% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Dec 5 at Utah Avalanche · Sun Dec 6 at La Roca FC · Sat Dec 12 vs Utah Athletic See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Arizona Soccer Club | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 43 | -43 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.59 | -0.64 | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Mar 13 vs CCV STARS · Sun Mar 14 vs Arizona Arsenal · Sat Mar 20 at NM Rapids SC See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.57 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.