Eclipse Select Soccer Club
ECNL Regional League Boys · Midwest BU13 · 8 teams · Eclipse Select Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 10:45 AM
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two, Field TBA (11v11) ↗ far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.9 for, 2.7 against · 1.49 expected points)
| Season so far | Eclipse Select Soccer Club | Rockford Raptors FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-1 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Goals for / game | 4.8 | 5.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L | W W L W |
| Biggest win | 9–0 vs Indiana Elite FC | 9–0 vs Indiana Elite FC |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club | 1–5 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.92 | +1.73 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.37 | -1.40 |
Common opponents: Chicago Magic Soccer Club — we 0–3; they 1–5. FC Wisconsin — we 3–0; they 3–1. Chicago Inter — we 7–0; they 9–1. Indiana Elite FC — we 9–0; they 9–0.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Rockford Raptors FC score 5.5/game — well above the league's 2.8.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 44% / draw 17% / loss 39%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 10:45 AM at Mercyhealth Sportscore Two.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Rockford Raptors FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eclipse Select Soccer Club – Rockford Raptors FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 2.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 3 |
| Win 2.40 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 1.80 PPG |
5th▼ down 3 | 5th▼ down 3 | 5th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we fall to at least 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 3%
- 2nd 45%
- 3rd 27%
- 4th 16%
- 5th 9%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club | 3.00 (+0.75) | 1st (2.75) | 33 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
How the results connect
16 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Eclipse Select Soccer Club to Rockford Raptors FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.35 · 6th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 7 10:45 AM |
Rockford Raptors FC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–2 | 1.49 | 2.10 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 TBD |
St Croix 5th · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–2 | 1.73 | 2.04 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 12:30 PM |
MN Thunder Academy 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +13 |
Away far trip
Winter Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
2–2 | 1.44 | 1.95 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
St Croix 5th · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
3–2 | 2.05 | 1.96 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
MN Thunder Academy 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +13 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–2 | 1.76 | 1.94 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Chicago Magic Soccer Club 1st · 7-0-0 · GD +31 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 0.97 | 1.84 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
FC Wisconsin 7th · 0-2-5 · GD -14 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
3–0 | 2.72 | 1.92 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Chicago Inter 8th · 0-1-6 · GD -41 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 97% |
6–1 | 2.93 | 2.01 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC 6th · 1-1-5 · GD -30 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
5–1 | 2.87 | 2.08 | Bank it |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Rockford Raptors FC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +15 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
3–2 | 1.84 | 2.06 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | +31 | 21 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.23 | -0.26 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 3 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sun Apr 4 at Rockford Raptors FC · Sat Apr 24 vs St Croix See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | +16 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | -1.37 | +0.35 | 91% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Rockford Raptors FC · Sun Nov 8 at St Croix · Sat Mar 13 at MN Thunder Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | -1.40 | +0.39 | 80% | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at St Croix · Sun Mar 14 at MN Thunder Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | MN Thunder Academy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -1.14 | +0.44 | 78% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Mar 13 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sun Mar 14 vs Rockford Raptors FC · Sat Mar 20 at Rockford Raptors FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | St Croix | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | -1.15 | +0.52 | 51% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Rockford Raptors FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sat Mar 20 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Indiana Elite FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 38 | -30 | 4 | 0.57 | LLDLL | +0.65 | +0.58 | 0% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 3 at St Croix · Sun Apr 4 at MN Thunder Academy · Sat Apr 24 vs Rockford Raptors FC See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Wisconsin | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 | 0.29 | LDDLL | +0.33 | +0.35 | 0% | 6.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 3 at Rockford Raptors FC · Sun Apr 4 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sat Apr 24 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Chicago Inter | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 49 | -41 | 1 | 0.14 | LDLLL | +0.77 | +0.72 | 0% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 3 at MN Thunder Academy · Sun Apr 4 at St Croix · Sat Apr 24 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.84 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.