Nationals SC Capital Area Grey

ECNL Regional League Boys · GLA BU17 · 9 teams · Nationals (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 7 hours ago.

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7th

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

45% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.9

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 22, 02:00 PM

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Nationals SC Capital Area Grey
7th · 0.00 PPG

Canton Force
1st · 0.00 PPG

Capital Sportsplex Lansing, 11 v 11 ↗

47% 18% 35%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)

Season so far	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey	Canton Force
Position	7th	1st
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
Canton Force average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
What a win does
Nationals SC sit 6th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above Nationals SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Canton Force game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Nationals SC Capital Area Grey – Canton Force) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 16 – Sun Nov 22); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 5	2nd▲ up 5	2nd▲ up 5
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 6	1st▲ up 6	1st▲ up 6
Draw 1.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 5	2nd▲ up 5	2nd▲ up 5
Loss 0.00 PPG	9th▼ down 2	9th▼ down 2	9th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

12% finish 1st

45% top 4

55% below the top 4

4.9 average finish

1st 12%
2nd 13%
3rd 11%
4th 10%
5th 11%
6th 12%
7th 11%
8th 11%
9th 10%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Canton Force	0.00 (+0.00)	9th (1.40)	Already ahead
2	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy	0.00 (+0.00)	3rd (1.41)	Already ahead
3	GTFC Impact	0.00 (+0.00)	7th (1.41)	Already ahead
4	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central	0.00 (+0.00)	4th (1.41)	Already ahead
5	Manta	0.00 (+0.00)	8th (1.41)	Already ahead
6	Nationals SC	0.00 (+0.00)	1st (1.42)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 7th hardest of 9

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Nov 22 02:00 PM	Canton Force 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Capital Sportsplex Lansing	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.58	Swing game
Sun Dec 6 TBD	Pacesetter Soccer Club 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.35	Upside
Sun Mar 7 02:00 PM	Manta 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip SMS	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.33	Upside
Sat Mar 13 04:00 PM	Manta 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Capital Sportsplex Lansing	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.38	Swing game
Sun Mar 14 12:00 PM	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Capital Sportsplex Lansing	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sat Mar 20 TBD	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside
Sun Mar 21 TBD	GTFC Impact 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.37	Upside
Sat Apr 17 02:00 PM	Pacesetter Soccer Club 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Capital Sportsplex Lansing	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.39	Swing game
Sun Apr 18 08:00 AM	GTFC Impact 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Capital Sportsplex Lansing	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sun Apr 25 TBD	Nationals SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside
Sat May 1 02:00 PM	T3FC West 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Capital Sportsplex Lansing	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sat May 8 TBD	T3FC West 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.40	Upside
Sun May 9 TBD	Canton Force 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside
Sat May 15 10:00 AM	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Capital Sportsplex Lansing	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.40	Swing game
Sun May 16 10:00 AM	Nationals SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home Capital Sportsplex Lansing	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Canton Force

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 14 at Manta · Sun Nov 22 at Nationals SC Capital Area Grey · Tue Dec 1 at Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Manta (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Tue Dec 1	at	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Manta (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Tue Dec 1 vs Canton Force · Sat Dec 5 at Manta · Sat Dec 12 vs Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Tue Dec 1	vs	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Manta (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Thu May 6	vs	Manta (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

GTFC Impact

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 5 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sun Dec 6 at T3FC West · Sun Dec 13 at Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Manta (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Manta (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Nov 15 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Dec 5 vs T3FC West · Sun Dec 6 vs Canton Force See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Manta (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Manta (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Manta

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Canton Force · Sun Nov 15 vs T3FC West · Sat Dec 5 vs Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Thu May 6	at	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Nationals SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Dec 12 vs Canton Force · Sat Mar 6 at Manta See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Manta (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Manta (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Nationals SC Capital Area Grey

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Nov 22 vs Canton Force · Sun Dec 6 at Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 at Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Manta (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Manta (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pacesetter Soccer Club

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 14 at Nationals SC · Sun Nov 15 at Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central · Sat Dec 5 at GTFC Impact See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Manta (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	T3FC West (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Manta (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

T3FC West

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Nov 15 at Manta · Sat Dec 5 at Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central · Sun Dec 6 vs GTFC Impact See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Manta (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	GTFC Impact (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Pacesetter Soccer Club (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Canton Force (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	Nationals SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Nationals SC Capital Area Grey (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Manta (5th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.