TableChase Clubs

Fort Lauderdale United FC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU13 · 10 teams · Fort Lauderdale United FC (all teams)

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1st
6-0-1 record · 7 played
2.57 points per game
+18 goal diff · 22–4
WWLWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.3
-0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 05:00 PM

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Fort Lauderdale United FC
1st · 2.57 PPG
vs
Cape Coral SA
8th · 0.50 PPG

Wolf Field at U School, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 4.0 for, 0.7 against · 2.79 expected points)

Season so farFort Lauderdale United FCCape Coral SA
Position1st8th
Record (W-D-L)6-0-11-0-5
Points per game2.570.50
Goals for / game3.11.0
Goals against / game0.62.8
Clean sheets51
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)W W L W WL L L L W
Biggest win8–0 at AC Florida Tropical1–0 at Davie United SC
Worst loss1–2 at Wellington SC0–3 at Wellington SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.69-1.08
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.19+0.37

Common opponents: Davie United SC — we 5–0; they 1–0. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 1–0; they 0–1. Wellington SC — we 1–2; they 0–3. Parkland Soccer Club — we 1–0; they 1–4. Doral Soccer Club — we 3–2; they 1–4.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Cape Coral SA concede 2.8/game; worst result 0–3 at Wellington SC.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 91% chance; likely score 3–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Cape Coral SA have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Cape Coral SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fort Lauderdale United FC – Cape Coral SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.63 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
2.63 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.38 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.25 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

81% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.3 average finish
  1. 1st 81%
  2. 2nd 15%
  3. 3rd 4%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

27 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Fort Lauderdale United FC to Cape Coral SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

24 favour us
2 even
1 favour them
+3.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 3–0 1–0 1–0 3–2 4–1 1–0 4–1 5–0 0–1 3–0 0–6 1–3 2–1 0–2 5–3 1–2 1–0 0–3 Fort Lauderdale Uni… 1st Wellington SC 3rd SWFL PREMIER FC 6th Doral Soccer Club 4th Parkland Soccer Club 2nd Davie United SC 7th Athletic Club Flori… 10th Strikers Miami FC 5th Cape Coral SA 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.28 · 9th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
05:00 PM
Cape Coral SA
8th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Home
Wolf Field at U School
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
3–0 2.79 2.60 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
Strikers Miami FC
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.31 2.57 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
11:00 AM
Wellington SC
3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
1–0 1.98 2.51 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
TBD
Strikers Miami FC
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.08 2.47 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
01:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +5
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.16 2.44 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
11:00 AM
Parkland Soccer Club
2nd · 5-2-1 · GD +14
Away far trip
Terramar Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.37 2.36 Upside
Sat Mar 13
03:00 PM
SWFL PREMIER FC
6th · 3-0-4 · GD -4
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–0 2.31 2.36 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
03:00 PM
Cape Coral SA
8th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Away far trip
Cape Coral Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
3–0 2.68 2.38 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
01:00 PM
AC Florida Tropical
9th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
4–0 2.87 2.41 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
01:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
10th · 0-0-4 · GD -15
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
4–0 2.84 2.43 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
Davie United SC
7th · 1-1-4 · GD -6
Away
Bamford Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
2–0 2.51 2.44 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7601 224+18 182.57 WWLWW -0.19 -0.28 100% 1.3
2 Parkland Soccer Club 8521 184+14 172.13 WLWDD -0.10 -0.25 98% 2.4
3 Wellington SC 6402 125+7 122.00 WWWLL +0.06 -0.24 81% 3.5
4 Doral Soccer Club 5311 127+5 102.00 WWWDL +0.21 -0.28 81% 3.5
5 Strikers Miami FC 4211 86+2 71.75 LWWD +0.16 -0.19 37% 4.6
6 SWFL PREMIER FC 7304 711-4 91.29 LLLWL +0.45 -0.34 3% 5.9
7 Davie United SC 6114 612-6 40.67 LLDLW -0.45 +0.19 0% 7.9
8 Cape Coral SA 6105 617-11 30.50 WLLLL +0.37 -0.10 0% 8.0
9 AC Florida Tropical 3012 313-10 10.33 DLL +0.73 -0.04 0% 8.5
10 Athletic Club Florida 4004 116-15 00.00 LLLL +0.69 -0.04 0% 9.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.