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Doral Soccer Club

ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU13 · 10 teams · Doral SC (all teams)

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4th
3-1-1 record · 5 played
2.00 points per game
+5 goal diff · 12–7
WWWDLlast 5
81% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.5
+0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 02:00 PM

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Doral Soccer Club
4th · 2.00 PPG
at
Wellington SC
3rd · 2.00 PPG

Village Park , Field 13 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 for, 1.8 against · 1.16 expected points)

Season so farDoral Soccer ClubWellington SC
Position4th3rd
Record (W-D-L)3-1-14-0-2
Points per game2.002.00
Goals for / game2.42.0
Goals against / game1.40.8
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L D W W WL L W W W
Biggest win4–1 at Cape Coral SA4–0 vs Athletic Club Florida
Worst loss2–3 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC0–2 at Strikers Miami FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.73+0.73
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.21+0.06

Common opponents: Cape Coral SA — we 4–1; they 3–0. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 4–2; they 2–0. Parkland Soccer Club — we 0–0; they 1–2. Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 2–3; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Wellington SC concede only 0.8/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Parkland Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 31%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:00 PM at Village Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Wellington SC sit 3rd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above Wellington SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Wellington SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Doral Soccer Club – Wellington SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.83 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
2.17 PPG
2nd▲ up 2 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1
Draw
1.83 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Loss
1.67 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st
81% top 4
19% below the top 4
3.5 average finish
  1. 1st 3%
  2. 2nd 17%
  3. 3rd 31%
  4. 4th 30%
  5. 5th 16%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.72 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 2.57 (+0.57) 1st (2.44) 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
2 Parkland Soccer Club 2.13 (+0.13) 2nd (2.15) A point next game
3 Wellington SC 2.00 (+0.00) 4th (1.92) A point next game

How the results connect

23 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Doral Soccer Club to Wellington SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
7 even
8 favour them
-0.1 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–2 0–2 4–1 0–3 0–0 2–1 2–3 1–2 4–1 1–0 0–1 0–3 1–0 Doral Soccer Club 4th SWFL PREMIER FC 6th Cape Coral SA 8th Parkland Soccer Club 2nd Fort Lauderdale Uni… 1st Wellington SC 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.28 · 8th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 13
01:30 PM
no score posted
AC Florida Tropical
9th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Away far trip
Amelia Earhart
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.45 2.08 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
02:00 PM
Wellington SC
3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Away far trip
Village Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.16 1.95 Upside
Sun Nov 22
08:30 AM
Strikers Miami FC
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Away
Kendall Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.47 1.89 Upside
Sun Dec 6
12:00 PM
Parkland Soccer Club
2nd · 5-2-1 · GD +14
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.05 1.79 Upside
Sat Feb 6
11:00 AM
Davie United SC
7th · 1-1-4 · GD -6
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.32 1.85 Bank it
Sun Feb 7
09:00 AM
Wellington SC
3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.42 1.81 Upside
Sat Feb 20
09:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
10th · 0-0-4 · GD -15
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
3–0 2.75 1.89 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
01:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
1st · 6-0-1 · GD +18
Away far trip
Autonation Field at U School
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.67 1.79 Upside
Sat Apr 3
01:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
10th · 0-0-4 · GD -15
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–0 2.61 1.85 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
09:00 AM
AC Florida Tropical
9th · 0-1-2 · GD -10
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.64 1.90 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD
SWFL PREMIER FC
6th · 3-0-4 · GD -4
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.08 1.91 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 PM
Cape Coral SA
8th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.51 1.95 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
03:00 PM
Strikers Miami FC
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.76 1.94 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7601 224+18 182.57 WWLWW -0.19 -0.28 100% 1.3
2 Parkland Soccer Club 8521 184+14 172.13 WLWDD -0.10 -0.25 98% 2.4
3 Wellington SC 6402 125+7 122.00 WWWLL +0.06 -0.24 81% 3.5
4 Doral Soccer Club 5311 127+5 102.00 WWWDL +0.21 -0.28 81% 3.5
5 Strikers Miami FC 4211 86+2 71.75 LWWD +0.16 -0.19 37% 4.6
6 SWFL PREMIER FC 7304 711-4 91.29 LLLWL +0.45 -0.34 3% 5.9
7 Davie United SC 6114 612-6 40.67 LLDLW -0.45 +0.19 0% 7.9
8 Cape Coral SA 6105 617-11 30.50 WLLLL +0.37 -0.10 0% 8.0
9 AC Florida Tropical 3012 313-10 10.33 DLL +0.73 -0.04 0% 8.5
10 Athletic Club Florida 4004 116-15 00.00 LLLL +0.69 -0.04 0% 9.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.