TableChase Clubs

Davie United SC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU13 · 10 teams · Davie United SC (all teams)

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8th
1-1-4 record · 6 played
0.67 points per game
-6 goal diff · 6–12
LLDLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.1
-0.37 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:15 PM

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Davie United SC
8th · 0.67 PPG
vs
Parkland Soccer Club
2nd · 2.13 PPG

Bamford Sports Complex, Bronco 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.6 for, 2.1 against · 0.50 expected points)

Season so farDavie United SCParkland Soccer Club
Position8th2nd
Record (W-D-L)1-1-45-2-1
Points per game0.672.13
Goals for / game1.02.3
Goals against / game2.00.5
Clean sheets04
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)W L D L LD D W L W
Biggest win3–1 vs Athletic Club Florida6–0 vs Athletic Club Florida
Worst loss0–5 at Fort Lauderdale United FC0–1 at Fort Lauderdale United FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.66+1.16
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.37-0.09

Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 0–5; they 0–1. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 0–1; they 3–0. Cape Coral SA — we 0–1; they 4–1. AC Florida Tropical — we 2–2; they 3–1. Doral Soccer Club — we 1–2; they 0–0. Athletic Club Florida — we 3–1; they 6–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Parkland Soccer Club concede only 0.5/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–5 at Fort Lauderdale United FC, 0–1 vs SWFL PREMIER FC, 0–1 vs Cape Coral SA.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 10%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    AC Florida Tropical sit 7th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.67.

    A win moves us above AC Florida Tropical on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Parkland Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Davie United SC – Parkland Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.57 PPG
8th— holds 9th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG
7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Draw
0.71 PPG
8th— holds 9th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 1
Loss
0.57 PPG
8th— holds 9th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 4%
  7. 7th 21%
  8. 8th 37%
  9. 9th 31%
  10. 10th 6%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.22 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 2.57 (+1.90) 1st (2.45) 43 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Parkland Soccer Club 2.13 (+1.46) 2nd (2.15) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3 Doral Soccer Club 2.00 (+1.33) 3rd (1.94) 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
4 Strikers Miami FC 1.75 (+1.08) 5th (1.66) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 Wellington SC 1.71 (+1.04) 4th (1.67) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 SWFL PREMIER FC 1.29 (+0.62) 6th (1.32) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
7 AC Florida Tropical 1.00 (+0.33) 7th (1.01) Win next game

How the results connect

27 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Davie United SC to Parkland Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
1 even
23 favour them
-3.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 0–0 2–2 1–3 3–1 0–6 0–1 1–4 0–1 0–3 0–5 1–0 0–3 4–1 2–3 2–0 1–2 0–1 3–1 0–0 Davie United SC 8th Doral Soccer Club 3rd AC Florida Tropical 7th Athletic Club Flori… 10th Cape Coral SA 9th SWFL PREMIER FC 6th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 1st Wellington SC 5th Strikers Miami FC 4th Parkland Soccer Club 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 23 Sep 13 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 1st hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
03:15 PM
Parkland Soccer Club
2nd · 5-2-1 · GD +14
Home
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.50 0.64 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:15 PM
AC Florida Tropical
7th · 1-1-2 · GD -8
Home
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.57 0.76 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
11:00 AM
Doral Soccer Club
3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +5
Away far trip
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–2 0.53 0.73 Upside
Sun Feb 7
12:00 PM
Strikers Miami FC
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–1 0.91 0.75 Upside
Sat Feb 20
02:30 PM
Wellington SC
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +5
Home
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
21%
0–1 0.87 0.76 Upside
Sat Mar 6
11:30 AM
Parkland Soccer Club
2nd · 5-2-1 · GD +14
Away far trip
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.37 0.73 Upside
Sun Mar 7
TBD
Strikers Miami FC
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Away
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.70 0.73 Upside
Sat Mar 13
11:00 AM
Cape Coral SA
9th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Away far trip
Pelican Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.42 0.78 Upside
Sun Mar 14
11:00 AM
SWFL PREMIER FC
6th · 3-0-4 · GD -4
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.05 0.79 Upside
Sat Apr 10
01:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
10th · 0-0-4 · GD -15
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
1–1 1.86 0.86 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
10:00 AM
Wellington SC
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +5
Away far trip
Village Park
●●●●● Very tough
15%
0–1 0.68 0.85 Upside
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
1st · 6-0-1 · GD +18
Home
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.36 0.82 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7601 224+18 182.57 WWLWW -0.17 -0.28 100% 1.2
2 Parkland Soccer Club 8521 184+14 172.13 WLWDD -0.09 -0.24 99% 2.2
3 Doral Soccer Club 5311 127+5 102.00 WWWDL +0.21 -0.26 90% 3.1
4 Strikers Miami FC 4211 86+2 71.75 LWWD +0.07 -0.14 50% 4.4
5 Wellington SC 7403 127+5 121.71 WWLLL -0.12 -0.08 53% 4.4
6 SWFL PREMIER FC 7304 711-4 91.29 LLLWL +0.39 -0.28 6% 6.0
7 AC Florida Tropical 4112 513-8 41.00 DLLW +0.65 -0.13 1% 7.3
8 Davie United SC 6114 612-6 40.67 LLDLW -0.37 +0.16 0% 8.1
9 Cape Coral SA 6105 617-11 30.50 WLLLL +0.31 -0.05 0% 8.4
10 Athletic Club Florida 4004 116-15 00.00 LLLL +0.62 -0.00 0% 9.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.72 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.