TableChase Clubs

Colorado Storm

ECNL Girls · Texas GU17 · 16 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 35 minutes ago.
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2nd
8-3-0 record · 11 played
2.45 points per game
+18 goal diff · 27–9
WWDWWlast 5
98% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.4
-0.03 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 11:15 AM

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Colorado Storm
2nd · 2.45 PPG
at
Real Colorado National
3rd · 2.25 PPG

Real Colorado Soccer Complex, RCSC Grass ↗ · grass far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.6 against · 1.18 expected points)

Season so farColorado StormReal Colorado National
Position2nd3rd
Record (W-D-L)8-3-09-0-3
Points per game2.452.25
Goals for / game2.52.8
Goals against / game0.80.8
Clean sheets38
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)W W D W WW L W L L
Biggest win6–0 vs DKSC7–0 vs Real Colorado Athletico
Worst loss—0–2 at SOLAR SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.24+1.46
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.03-0.13

Common opponents: Real Colorado Athletico — we 2–0; they 7–0. Lonestar ATX Red — we 3–0; they 2–0. FC Westlake — we 4–1; they 1–0. FC Dallas Youth — we 1–1; they 4–3. Sting Royal — we 2–1; they 3–0. AHFC — we 1–1; they 3–0. Challenge SC — we 3–2; they 2–0. Dallas Texans — we 2–1; they 0–2. SOLAR SC — we 1–1; they 0–2. Sting Black — we 2–1; they 2–3. DKSC — we 6–0; they 6–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Real Colorado National score 2.8/game — well above the league's 1.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Real Colorado National concede only 0.8/game with 8 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 31%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Grass field
    Venue listed as "RCSC Grass" at Real Colorado Soccer Complex.

    If the team trains on turf: the ball will be slower and bounce less true. Weight passes harder, favour early crosses in the final third, and bring FG/SG cleats. Warm up on the field, not the track.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:15 AM at Real Colorado Soccer Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Real Colorado National game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm – Real Colorado National) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.33 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.50 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.33 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
2.25 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

21% finish 1st
98% top 4
2% below the top 4
2.4 average finish
  1. 1st 21%
  2. 2nd 38%
  3. 3rd 29%
  4. 4th 11%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 SOLAR SC 2.67 (+0.22) 1st (2.48) 14 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection

How the results connect

52 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado Storm to Real Colorado National through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

21 favour us
6 even
25 favour them
+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–0 0–6 3–2 0–2 1–1 3–4 3–0 0–2 2–1 3–2 1–1 2–0 2–1 0–3 4–1 0–1 2–1 2–0 1–1 0–3 2–0 0–7 2–5 Colorado Storm 2nd DKSC 16th Challenge SC 8th FC Dallas Youth 7th Lonestar ATX Red 9th Sting Black 4th SOLAR SC 1st Sting Royal 10th FC Westlake 6th Dallas Texans 11th AHFC 5th Real Colorado Athle… 14th Real Colorado Natio… 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 30 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.40 · 15th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
11:15 AM
Real Colorado National
3rd · 9-0-3 · GD +23
Away far trip
Real Colorado Soccer Complex · grass
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.18 2.35 Upside
Sat Jan 30
01:00 PM
West Side Alliance
15th · 0-1-5 · GD -16
Away far trip
RiverCity Parks
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
3–0 2.70 2.37 Bank it
Sun Jan 31
01:00 PM
OK Energy FC
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -6
Away far trip
North Oklahoma City FC
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–0 2.30 2.37 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
01:30 PM
Colorado Rush
13th · 1-0-5 · GD -9
Home
Regis University · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
2–0 2.59 2.38 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 SOLAR SC 6510 192+17 162.67 WDWWW -0.13 -0.19 97% 1.7
2 Colorado Storm 11830 279+18 272.45 WWDWW -0.03 -0.40 98% 2.4
3 Real Colorado National 12903 3310+23 272.25 LLWLW -0.13 -0.31 95% 2.9
4 Sting Black 6411 157+8 132.17 WWDLW +0.53 -0.53 77% 3.6
5 AHFC 8521 156+9 172.13 LWDWW -0.38 +0.22 25% 5.1
6 FC Westlake 8413 911-2 131.63 WWWLW -0.17 +0.07 1% 8.3
7 FC Dallas Youth 5221 128+4 81.60 DLDWW +0.13 -0.20 5% 6.8
8 Challenge SC 8404 2216+6 121.50 LLWWL -0.38 +0.27 0% 8.0
9 Lonestar ATX Red 8404 1213-1 121.50 WWLWL -0.17 +0.06 1% 8.3
10 Sting Royal 6204 109+1 61.00 LLWWL +0.32 -0.34 0% 8.8
11 Dallas Texans 7205 921-12 60.86 LWLLL +0.45 -0.35 0% 11.9
12 OK Energy FC 6114 713-6 40.67 LDLLW +0.27 -0.20 0% 11.3
13 Colorado Rush 6105 413-9 30.50 LLLLW +0.04 -0.08 0% 12.8
14 Real Colorado Athletico 7106 421-17 30.43 LLWLL +0.35 -0.24 0% 13.9
15 West Side Alliance 6015 319-16 10.17 LLLLL +0.27 -0.08 0% 14.8
16 DKSC 6006 326-23 00.00 LLLLL +0.78 -0.34 0% 15.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.72 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.