Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:15 AM
Real Colorado National 2–3 Sting Black
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 25% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 54% home, 21% draw, 25% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Real Colorado National | Sting Black |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 9-0-3 | 4-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.25 | 2.17 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W L L | W L D W W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Real Colorado Athletico | 7–1 at Dallas Texans |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at SOLAR SC | 1–2 at Colorado Storm |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.46 | +1.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.13 | +0.53 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 2–3 (home for Real Colorado National)
Common opponents: Sting Royal — Real Colorado National 3–0; Sting Black 2–1. Challenge SC — Real Colorado National 2–0; Sting Black 2–1. AHFC — Real Colorado National 3–0; Sting Black 0–0. Dallas Texans — Real Colorado National 0–2; Sting Black 7–1.
What's at stake
| Real Colorado National | Sting Black | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 4th |
| Games left | 3 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 95% | 74% |
| Chance of 1st | 10% | 6% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 3.7 |
How the results connect
26 chains
15 favour Real Colorado National, 9 favour Sting Black, 2 even; average margin +0.5 goals toward Real Colorado National.
- -1Real Colorado National lost to Sting Black 2–3
- +1Real Colorado National beat Challenge SC 2–0 → Challenge SC lost to Sting Black 1–2
- +2Real Colorado National beat Sting Royal 3–0 → Sting Royal lost to Sting Black 1–2
- +3Real Colorado National beat AHFC 3–0 → AHFC drew with Sting Black 0–0
- -8Real Colorado National lost to Dallas Texans 0–2 → Dallas Texans lost to Sting Black 1–7
- 0Real Colorado National beat Lonestar ATX Red 2–0 → Lonestar ATX Red lost to Colorado Storm 0–3 → Colorado Storm beat Sting Black 2–1
Full picture: Real Colorado National · Sting Black · Texas GU17 standings