TableChase Clubs

Team Boca

ECNL Girls · Southeast GU13 · 16 teams · Team Boca (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.
Add schedule to calendar
14th
1-1-6 record · 8 played
0.50 points per game
-15 goal diff · 5–20
WLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.5
+0.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 13, 11:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Team Boca
14th · 0.50 PPG
at
Florida Kraze Krush
6th · 1.78 PPG

Central Winds, Field B ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.7 for, 2.8 against · 0.31 expected points)

Season so farTeam BocaFlorida Kraze Krush
Position14th6th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-65-1-3
Points per game0.501.78
Goals for / game0.62.1
Goals against / game2.51.1
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless51
Form (recent first)L L L L WW L W L W
Biggest win2–1 at Concorde Fire Premier5–1 at Concorde Fire Premier
Worst loss0–6 at Alabama FC0–2 at Alabama FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.23+0.70
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.43+0.09

Common opponents: CESA Liberty — we 0–2; they 2–2. South Carolina United — we 2–2; they 3–0. Alabama FC — we 0–6; they 0–2. Concorde Fire Premier — we 2–1; they 5–1. GSA — we 1–3; they 1–0. Concorde Fire Platinum — we 0–3; they 1–2. Atlanta Fire United — we 0–1; they 2–1. United Futbol Academy — we 0–2; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–2 at CESA Liberty, 0–6 at Alabama FC, 0–3 vs Concorde Fire Platinum, 0–1 vs Atlanta Fire United, 0–2 vs United Futbol Academy.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 6%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Central Winds.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Sporting SA JAX sit 13th on 0.56 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above Sporting SA JAX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Florida Kraze Krush game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Team Boca – Florida Kraze Krush) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 14 other games that week (Mon Mar 8 – Sun Mar 14); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.44 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 16th▼ down 2
Win
0.78 PPG
12th▲ up 2 12th▲ up 2 14th— holds
Draw
0.56 PPG
14th— holds 13th▲ up 1 15th▼ down 1
Loss
0.44 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 16th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 37%
  14. 14th 29%
  15. 15th 18%
  16. 16th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 1.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 United Futbol Academy 3.00 (+2.50) 1st (2.49) 41 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Concorde Fire Platinum 2.38 (+1.88) 3rd (2.23) 32 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Alabama FC 2.38 (+1.88) 4th (2.09) 32 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Florida Premier FC 2.38 (+1.88) 2nd (2.24) 32 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 GSA 2.13 (+1.63) 5th (1.93) 28 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Florida Kraze Krush 1.78 (+1.28) 6th (1.81) 23 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 Seminole United 1.70 (+1.20) 7th (1.71) 22 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 CESA Liberty 1.63 (+1.13) 10th (1.37) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
9 Athletic Club Florida 1.57 (+1.07) 8th (1.67) 20 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
10 Atlanta Fire United 1.50 (+1.00) 9th (1.38) 19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
11 Concorde Fire Premier 1.25 (+0.75) 11th (1.05) 15 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
12 South Carolina United 0.63 (+0.13) 14th (0.56) A point next game
13 Sporting SA JAX 0.56 (+0.06) 12th (0.92) A point next game

How the results connect

16 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Team Boca to Florida Kraze Krush through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
2 even
13 favour them
-2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 2–1 0–1 1–2 0–3 2–1 0–2 2–2 1–3 0–1 2–1 1–5 2–2 0–3 0–6 2–0 7–0 0–4 6–0 7–0 4–0 Team Boca 14th United Futbol Acade… 1st Atlanta Fire United 10th Concorde Fire Plati… 2nd CESA Liberty 8th GSA 5th Concorde Fire Premi… 11th South Carolina Unit… 12th Alabama FC 3rd Jacksonville FC 16th Florida Kraze Krush 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.21 · 11th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Mar 13
11:00 AM
Florida Kraze Krush
6th · 5-1-3 · GD +9
Away far trip
Central Winds
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.31 0.48 Upside
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
Seminole United
7th · 5-2-3 · GD +7
Away far trip
Seminole
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.39 0.47 Upside
Sat Mar 20
09:00 AM
Florida Premier FC
4th · 6-1-1 · GD +9
Home
Fau Glades
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.38 0.46 Upside
Sun Mar 21
09:00 AM
Tampa Bay United
15th · 0-1-7 · GD -12
Home
Fau Glades
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.37 0.54 Upside
Sat Apr 10
10:30 AM
Jacksonville FC
16th · 0-0-10 · GD -38
Away far trip
Patton Park
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
1–0 2.10 0.66 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM
Sporting SA JAX
13th · 1-2-6 · GD -6
Away far trip
Veterans Park
●●●●● Very tough
18%
0–1 0.76 0.66 Upside
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
9th · 3-2-2 · GD +5
Away far trip
Nob Hill Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.34 0.64 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 United Futbol Academy 7700 193+16 213.00 WWWWW -0.43 +0.26 98% 1.6
2 Concorde Fire Platinum 8611 215+16 192.38 WDWWW -0.30 +0.23 88% 2.8
3 Alabama FC 8611 218+13 192.38 WLWWD -0.41 +0.28 66% 4.0
4 Florida Premier FC 8611 189+9 192.38 LWWWW +0.30 -0.51 86% 3.0
5 GSA 8521 209+11 172.13 WWWDL -0.30 +0.30 36% 5.2
6 Florida Kraze Krush 9513 1910+9 161.78 WLWLW +0.09 -0.12 15% 6.1
7 Seminole United 10523 1710+7 171.70 WLWDL +0.01 -0.02 4% 7.0
8 CESA Liberty 8413 1112-1 131.63 LWWLW -0.33 +0.45 0% 9.5
9 Athletic Club Florida 7322 1510+5 111.57 DLDLW +0.26 -0.22 6% 7.1
10 Atlanta Fire United 8404 118+3 121.50 WLLWL -0.29 +0.40 0% 9.2
11 Concorde Fire Premier 8314 1115-4 101.25 LWLWW -0.41 +0.49 0% 11.2
12 South Carolina United 8125 922-13 50.63 LWLDL -0.33 +0.61 0% 14.0
13 Sporting SA JAX 9126 1016-6 50.56 LLWLD +0.36 -0.46 0% 11.8
14 Team Boca 8116 520-15 40.50 WLLLL +0.43 -0.21 0% 13.5
15 Tampa Bay United 8017 517-12 10.13 LLLDL +0.31 -0.24 0% 14.2
16 Jacksonville FC 100010 139-38 00.00 LLLLL +0.39 -0.24 0% 15.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.