GSA

ECNL Girls · Southeast GU13 · 16 teams · Gwinnett Soccer Academy (all teams)

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5th

5-2-1 record · 8 played

2.13 points per game

+11 goal diff · 20–9

WWWDLlast 5

34% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.1

-0.30 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 13, TBD

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GSA
5th · 2.13 PPG

Alabama FC
3rd · 2.38 PPG

Venue TBD

40% 22% 38%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.8 against · 1.43 expected points)

Season so far	GSA	Alabama FC
Position	5th	3rd
Record (W-D-L)	5-2-1	6-1-1
Points per game	2.13	2.38
Goals for / game	2.5	2.6
Goals against / game	1.1	1.0
Clean sheets	2	3
Held scoreless	1	0
Form (recent first)	L D W W W	D W W L W
Biggest win	6–0 vs Jacksonville FC	6–0 vs Team Boca
Worst loss	0–1 at Florida Kraze Krush	1–3 at Florida Premier FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.87	+1.03
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.30	-0.41

Common opponents: Tampa Bay United — we 2–0; they 3–1. Florida Premier FC — we 3–3; they 1–3. Jacksonville FC — we 6–0; they 2–0. Sporting SA JAX — we 2–1; they 2–2. Team Boca — we 3–1; they 6–0. Athletic Club Florida — we 3–2; they 3–1. Seminole United — we 1–1; they 2–1. Florida Kraze Krush — we 0–1; they 2–0.

Game plan

Respect their attack
Alabama FC score 2.6/game — well above the league's 1.6.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at Florida Kraze Krush.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 40%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Alabama FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (GSA – Alabama FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 14 other games that week (Mon Mar 8 – Sun Mar 14); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 2.00 PPG	5th— holds	5th— holds	5th— holds
Win 2.22 PPG	4th▲ up 1	4th▲ up 1	4th▲ up 1
Draw 2.00 PPG	5th— holds	5th— holds	6th▼ down 1
Loss 1.89 PPG	5th— holds	5th— holds	8th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st

34% top 4

66% below the top 4

5.1 average finish

1st 2%
2nd 5%
3rd 10%
4th 17%
5th 23%
6th 22%
7th 13%
8th 5%
9th 2%
10th <1%
11th <1%
12th
13th
14th
15th
16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	United Futbol Academy	3.00 (+0.87)	1st (2.49)	28 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
2	Concorde Fire Platinum	2.38 (+0.25)	3rd (2.23)	19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
3	Alabama FC	2.38 (+0.25)	4th (2.09)	19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
4	Florida Premier FC	2.38 (+0.25)	2nd (2.24)	19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection

How the results connect

14 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link GSA to Alabama FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us

5 even

4 favour them

+0.1 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.30 · 5th hardest of 16

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Mar 13 TBD	Alabama FC 3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +13	Home	●●●●○ Tough	40%	1–1	1.43	2.05	Upside
Sun Mar 14 TBD	Concorde Fire Premier 11th · 3-1-4 · GD -4	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	72%	2–1	2.30	2.07	Bank it
Sat Mar 20 12:00 PM	Concorde Fire Platinum 2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +16	Away far trip Georgia Sports Park	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–2	0.88	1.96	Upside
Sat Mar 27 09:00 AM	United Futbol Academy 1st · 7-0-0 · GD +16	Home Rabbit Hill Park	●●●●○ Tough	27%	1–1	1.05	1.89	Upside
Sun Apr 18 09:00 AM	Atlanta Fire United 10th · 4-0-4 · GD +3	Home Rabbit Hill Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	1–1	1.86	1.89	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 01:00 PM	CESA Liberty 8th · 4-1-3 · GD -1	Away far trip Mesa Soccer Complex	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	2–1	1.90	1.89	Swing game
Sun Apr 25 09:00 AM	South Carolina United 12th · 1-2-5 · GD -13	Away far trip Southeastern Freight Lines Complex	●○○○○ Favorable	79%	3–1	2.49	1.93	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

United Futbol Academy

+16

3.00

WWWWW

-0.43

+0.26

98%

1.6

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Team Boca (14th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Seminole United (7th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Florida Premier FC (4th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Tampa Bay United (15th)	2–0
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	Jacksonville FC (16th)	7–0
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 17 at Athletic Club Florida · Sat Mar 13 vs South Carolina United · Sun Mar 14 vs CESA Liberty See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	at	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	1–1	57%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	South Carolina United (12th)	3–0	92%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	CESA Liberty (8th)	2–0	76%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	1–0	58%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	GSA (5th)	1–1	50%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Alabama FC (3rd)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	2–0	74%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Concorde Fire Platinum

+16

2.38

WDWWW

-0.30

+0.23

88%

2.8

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Seminole United (7th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Team Boca (14th)	3–0
D	Sat Sep 26	at	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Jacksonville FC (16th)	7–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	2–0
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	Tampa Bay United (15th)	3–1
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Florida Premier FC (4th)	1–2

Next: Sat Mar 13 vs Concorde Fire Premier · Sun Mar 14 vs Alabama FC · Sat Mar 20 vs GSA See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	2–0	80%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Alabama FC (3rd)	1–1	53%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	GSA (5th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	1–0	64%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	United Futbol Academy (1st)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	South Carolina United (12th)	3–0	86%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	CESA Liberty (8th)	2–0	67%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Alabama FC

+13

2.38

WLWWD

-0.41

+0.28

67%

3.9

D	Sun Oct 18	at	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	2–2
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Jacksonville FC (16th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Tampa Bay United (15th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Florida Premier FC (4th)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Team Boca (14th)	6–0
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	2–0
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Seminole United (7th)	2–1

Next: Sat Mar 13 at GSA · Sun Mar 14 at Concorde Fire Platinum · Sat Mar 20 vs Concorde Fire Premier See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	at	GSA (5th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	2–1	75%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	South Carolina United (12th)	3–1	82%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	CESA Liberty (8th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	United Futbol Academy (1st)	1–1	30%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	1–1	57%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Florida Premier FC

2.38

LWWWW

+0.30

-0.51

85%

3.0

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	South Carolina United (12th)	4–1
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	CESA Liberty (8th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Alabama FC (3rd)	3–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	United Futbol Academy (1st)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	1–0
D	Sun Aug 30	at	GSA (5th)	3–3
W	Sat Aug 29	at	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	2–1

Next: Sat Mar 13 at Jacksonville FC · Sun Mar 14 at Sporting SA JAX · Sat Mar 20 at Team Boca See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Jacksonville FC (16th)	3–0	95%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Team Boca (14th)	2–0	78%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Seminole United (7th)	1–1	48%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Tampa Bay United (15th)	2–0	74%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

GSA

+11

2.13

WWWDL

-0.30

+0.30

34%

5.1

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	0–1
D	Sat Oct 17	at	Seminole United (7th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	3–2
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Team Boca (14th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Jacksonville FC (16th)	6–0
D	Sun Aug 30	vs	Florida Premier FC (4th)	3–3
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Tampa Bay United (15th)	2–0

Next: Sat Mar 13 vs Alabama FC · Sun Mar 14 vs Concorde Fire Premier · Sat Mar 20 at Concorde Fire Platinum See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Alabama FC (3rd)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	2–1	72%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	United Futbol Academy (1st)	1–1	27%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	1–1	54%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	CESA Liberty (8th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	South Carolina United (12th)	3–1	79%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Florida Kraze Krush

1.78

WLWLW

+0.09

-0.12

17%

6.0

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	GSA (5th)	1–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	United Futbol Academy (1st)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	South Carolina United (12th)	3–0
D	Sat Sep 19	at	CESA Liberty (8th)	2–2
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Jacksonville FC (16th)	4–0
L	Sun Aug 30	at	Alabama FC (3rd)	0–2
W	Sat Aug 29	at	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	5–1

Next: Sat Mar 13 vs Team Boca · Sun Mar 14 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Apr 4 at Tampa Bay United See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Team Boca (14th)	2–0	82%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	1–1	48%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Tampa Bay United (15th)	2–0	70%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Florida Premier FC (4th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Seminole United (7th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	2–0	66%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Seminole United

1.70

WLWDL

+0.01

-0.02

7.0

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	0–2
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	GSA (5th)	1–1
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Jacksonville FC (16th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	United Futbol Academy (1st)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	CESA Liberty (8th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	South Carolina United (12th)	4–1
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	1–1
W	Sun Aug 30	at	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	2–0
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Alabama FC (3rd)	1–2

Next: Sat Mar 13 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Mar 14 vs Team Boca · Sat Apr 3 at Tampa Bay United See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Team Boca (14th)	2–0	77%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Tampa Bay United (15th)	1–0	65%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Florida Premier FC (4th)	1–1	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

CESA Liberty

-1

1.63

LWWLW

-0.33

+0.45

9.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Tampa Bay United (15th)	2–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Florida Premier FC (4th)	0–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Jacksonville FC (16th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Seminole United (7th)	0–3
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	2–2
L	Sun Aug 30	vs	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	1–3
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Team Boca (14th)	2–0

Next: Sat Mar 13 at Atlanta Fire United · Sun Mar 14 at United Futbol Academy · Sat Mar 20 vs South Carolina United See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	1–1	26%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	United Futbol Academy (1st)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	South Carolina United (12th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	1–1	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Alabama FC (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	GSA (5th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	0–2	14%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Athletic Club Florida

1.57

DLDLW

+0.26

-0.22

7.2

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	GSA (5th)	2–3
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Alabama FC (3rd)	1–3
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	1–1
W	Sun Aug 30	at	CESA Liberty (8th)	3–1
W	Sat Aug 29	at	South Carolina United (12th)	5–1

Next: Sat Oct 17 vs United Futbol Academy · Sat Mar 13 at Seminole United · Sun Mar 14 at Florida Kraze Krush See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	vs	United Futbol Academy (1st)	1–1	22%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Seminole United (7th)	1–1	33%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Tampa Bay United (15th)	2–0	76%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Florida Premier FC (4th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	1–1	54%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Jacksonville FC (16th)	3–0	93%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Team Boca (14th)	2–0	80%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Atlanta Fire United

1.50

WLLWL

-0.29

+0.40

9.2

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Team Boca (14th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Seminole United (7th)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Tampa Bay United (15th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Florida Premier FC (4th)	0–1
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	1–0
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Jacksonville FC (16th)	4–0

Next: Sat Mar 13 vs CESA Liberty · Sun Mar 14 vs South Carolina United · Sat Mar 20 vs United Futbol Academy See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	CESA Liberty (8th)	1–1	48%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	South Carolina United (12th)	2–0	70%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	United Futbol Academy (1st)	0–1	18%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	0–1	14%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	GSA (5th)	1–1	22%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	1–1	45%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Alabama FC (3rd)	1–1	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Concorde Fire Premier

-4

1.25

LWLWW

-0.41

+0.49

11.2

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Jacksonville FC (16th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Florida Premier FC (4th)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Tampa Bay United (15th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Team Boca (14th)	1–2
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	1–1
L	Sun Aug 30	vs	Seminole United (7th)	0–2
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	1–5

Next: Sat Mar 13 at Concorde Fire Platinum · Sun Mar 14 at GSA · Sat Mar 20 at Alabama FC See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	0–2	7%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	GSA (5th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Alabama FC (3rd)	1–2	11%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	CESA Liberty (8th)	1–1	29%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	South Carolina United (12th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	1–1	29%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	United Futbol Academy (1st)	0–2	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

South Carolina United

-13

0.63

LWLDL

-0.33

+0.61

14.0

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Florida Premier FC (4th)	1–4
D	Sat Oct 17	at	Tampa Bay United (15th)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	2–4
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Jacksonville FC (16th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Seminole United (7th)	1–4
D	Sun Aug 30	vs	Team Boca (14th)	2–2
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	1–5

Next: Sat Mar 13 at United Futbol Academy · Sun Mar 14 at Atlanta Fire United · Sat Mar 20 at CESA Liberty See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	at	United Futbol Academy (1st)	0–3	2%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	0–2	13%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	CESA Liberty (8th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Alabama FC (3rd)	1–3	7%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	GSA (5th)	1–3	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sporting SA JAX

-6

0.56

LLWLD

+0.36

-0.46

11.8

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	Alabama FC (3rd)	2–2
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	South Carolina United (12th)	4–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	CESA Liberty (8th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	GSA (5th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	0–2
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Seminole United (7th)	1–1
L	Sun Aug 30	at	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	0–1
L	Sat Aug 29	at	United Futbol Academy (1st)	0–2

Next: Sat Mar 13 vs Tampa Bay United · Sun Mar 14 vs Florida Premier FC · Sat Apr 10 vs Athletic Club Florida See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Tampa Bay United (15th)	1–0	55%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Florida Premier FC (4th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	1–1	24%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Team Boca (14th)	1–0	60%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Jacksonville FC (16th)	2–0	79%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	0–2	15%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Team Boca

-15

0.50

WLLLL

+0.43

-0.21

13.5

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	United Futbol Academy (1st)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	GSA (5th)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Alabama FC (3rd)	0–6
D	Sun Aug 30	at	South Carolina United (12th)	2–2
L	Sat Aug 29	at	CESA Liberty (8th)	0–2

Next: Sat Mar 13 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sun Mar 14 at Seminole United · Sat Mar 20 vs Florida Premier FC See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	0–2	6%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Seminole United (7th)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Florida Premier FC (4th)	0–2	8%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Tampa Bay United (15th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Jacksonville FC (16th)	1–0	62%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	0–1	18%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	0–2	7%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tampa Bay United

-12

0.13

LLLDL

+0.31

-0.24

14.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	CESA Liberty (8th)	1–2
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	South Carolina United (12th)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Alabama FC (3rd)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	United Futbol Academy (1st)	0–2
L	Sun Aug 30	at	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	1–3
L	Sat Aug 29	at	GSA (5th)	0–2

Next: Sat Mar 13 at Sporting SA JAX · Sun Mar 14 at Jacksonville FC · Sat Mar 20 at Athletic Club Florida See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	0–1	21%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Jacksonville FC (16th)	1–0	64%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	0–2	9%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Team Boca (14th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Seminole United (7th)	0–1	14%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	0–2	11%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Florida Premier FC (4th)	0–2	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Jacksonville FC

-38

0.00

LLLLL

+0.39

-0.24

15.9

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Concorde Fire Premier (11th)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Alabama FC (3rd)	0–2
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Seminole United (7th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	CESA Liberty (8th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	South Carolina United (12th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Concorde Fire Platinum (2nd)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 19	at	GSA (5th)	0–6
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Florida Kraze Krush (6th)	0–4
L	Sun Aug 30	at	United Futbol Academy (1st)	0–7
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Atlanta Fire United (10th)	0–4

Next: Sat Mar 13 vs Florida Premier FC · Sun Mar 14 vs Tampa Bay United · Sat Apr 10 vs Team Boca See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Florida Premier FC (4th)	0–3	1%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Tampa Bay United (15th)	0–1	13%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Team Boca (14th)	0–1	15%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Athletic Club Florida (9th)	0–3	2%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Sporting SA JAX (13th)	0–2	6%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.