TableChase Clubs

St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green

ECNL Girls · Midwest GU18/19 · 16 teams · St. Louis Scott Gallagher (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 36 minutes ago.
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12th
2-2-7 record · 11 played
0.73 points per game
-20 goal diff · 11–31
LWLWDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.3
-0.10 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 08:00 AM

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St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green
12th · 0.73 PPG
vs
Michigan Hawks Magic
10th · 0.91 PPG

SLSG Creve Coeur Facility, Field 5 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.6 against · 1.19 expected points)

Season so farSt. Louis Scott Gallagher GreenMichigan Hawks Magic
Position12th10th
Record (W-D-L)2-2-72-4-5
Points per game0.730.91
Goals for / game1.01.2
Goals against / game2.82.1
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless53
Form (recent first)D W L W LL L D L D
Biggest win3–0 at FC Wisconsin3–1 at Liverpool FC MI
Worst loss0–5 vs Kansas City Athletics1–7 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.38-0.72
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.10-0.00

Common opponents: Liverpool FC MI — we 3–3; they 3–1. Missouri Rush — we 0–4; they 1–2. Kansas City Athletics — we 0–5; they 1–1. Eclipse Select Soccer Club — we 2–5; they 1–7. Rockford Raptors FC — we 0–3; they 0–4. FC Wisconsin — we 3–0; they 2–0. Sporting Blue Valley — we 0–2; they 2–2. Sporting Iowa — we 1–0; they 1–2. Gretna Elite Academy — we 1–1; they 0–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–4 vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy, 0–4 vs Missouri Rush, 0–5 vs Kansas City Athletics, 0–3 at Rockford Raptors FC, 0–2 at Sporting Blue Valley.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 32%; a draw (24%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Sporting Iowa sit 11th on 0.91 PPG; we are on 0.73.

    A point moves us above Sporting Iowa on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Michigan Hawks Magic game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green – Michigan Hawks Magic) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.75 PPG		 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 2
Win
0.92 PPG		 10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 12th— holds
Draw
0.75 PPG		 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 2
Loss
0.67 PPG		 13th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 23%
  14. 14th 58%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 1.33 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Michigan Hawks 3.00 (+2.27) 1st (2.83) 37 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Nationals SC 2.67 (+1.94) 2nd (2.46) 33 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Chicago Inter 2.22 (+1.49) 3rd (2.08) 26 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Gretna Elite Academy 1.91 (+1.18) 4th (1.93) 21 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Rockford Raptors FC 1.80 (+1.07) 6th (1.84) 19 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Kansas City Athletics 1.75 (+1.02) 7th (1.82) 19 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 1.73 (+1.00) 8th (1.72) 18 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 1.70 (+0.97) 5th (1.87) 18 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 Missouri Rush 1.33 (+0.60) 10th (1.26) 12 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
10 Michigan Hawks Magic 0.91 (+0.18) 11th (0.90) A point next game
11 Sporting Iowa 0.91 (+0.18) 12th (0.81) A point next game

How the results connect

89 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green to Michigan Hawks Magic through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

30 favour us
9 even
50 favour them
-1.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 0–0 3–0 0–2 0–3 4–0 1–0 2–1 0–2 2–2 3–3 1–3 2–5 7–1 0–4 2–1 0–5 1–1 2–4 2–0 0–5 2–3 St. Louis Scott Gal… 12th Gretna Elite Academy 4th FC Wisconsin 16th Rockford Raptors FC 5th Sporting Iowa 11th Sporting Blue Valley 13th Liverpool FC MI 14th Eclipse Select Socc… 8th Missouri Rush 9th Kansas City Athleti… 6th Michigan Hawks 1st Michigan Hawks Magic 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

18 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 28 Sep 2 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.63 · 4th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
08:00 AM		 Michigan Hawks Magic
10th · 2-4-5 · GD -10		 Home
SLSG Creve Coeur Facility		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 1–1 1.19 0.77 Upside
Sun Nov 1
08:00 AM		 Michigan Hawks
1st · 10-0-0 · GD +33		 Home
SLSG Creve Coeur Facility		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–4 0.11 0.72 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:30 AM		 Chicago Inter
3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +9		 Home
WWT Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 0.70 Upside
Sun Dec 13
08:00 AM		 MN Thunder Academy
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0		 Away far trip
Academy of Holy Angels · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–2 0.55 0.69 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Michigan Hawks 101000 407+33 303.00 WWWWW -0.04 -0.28 100% 1.1
2 Nationals SC 9801 3410+24 242.67 WWWLW -0.22 +0.09 100% 2.0
3 Chicago Inter 9621 2516+9 202.22 DWWDW +0.20 -0.42 71% 4.0
4 Gretna Elite Academy 11632 2911+18 211.91 WLDWD -0.15 +0.32 47% 4.9
5 Rockford Raptors FC 10532 2916+13 181.80 WDDWL +0.05 -0.15 22% 6.0
6 Kansas City Athletics 12633 3315+18 211.75 WDWWW +0.05 -0.65 20% 6.0
7 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 11614 2614+12 191.73 WLDLW -0.16 +0.35 5% 7.2
8 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 10523 3518+17 171.70 DWLLW +0.24 -0.67 34% 5.4
9 Missouri Rush 12516 2328-5 161.33 DLWLW -0.19 +0.73 0% 9.7
10 Michigan Hawks Magic 11245 1323-10 100.91 DLDLL -0.00 +0.32 0% 11.6
11 Sporting Iowa 11317 1031-21 100.91 LWLLL +0.07 +0.32 0% 12.6
12 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 11227 1131-20 80.73 LWLWD -0.10 +0.63 0% 13.3
13 Sporting Blue Valley 10217 720-13 70.70 LWLWL +0.30 -0.46 0% 12.2
14 Liverpool FC MI 11119 945-36 40.36 LLWLL -0.17 +1.15 0% 15.0
15 MN Thunder Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
16 FC Wisconsin 100010 443-39 00.00 LLLLL -0.02 +0.63 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.06 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.