TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Dallas (2)

Elite Academy League · Texas U16 · 9 teams · ALBION SC Dallas (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 20 hours ago.
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9th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
21% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.3
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 6, 12:00 AM

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ALBION SC Dallas (2)
9th · 0.00 PPG
at
BTX SC
1st · 2.50 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.9 for, 3.8 against · 0.58 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Dallas (2)BTX SC
Position9th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-0-03-1-0
Points per game0.002.50
Goals for / game0.03.8
Goals against / game0.01.5
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)—D W W W
Biggest win—7–3 at ALBION SC Dallas (1)
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+1.51
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.84

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 15%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 AM at .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Steel United TX sit 8th on 0.14 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Steel United TX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the BTX SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Dallas (2) – BTX SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Mar 1 – Sun Mar 7); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 8 1st▲ up 8 1st▲ up 8
Draw
1.00 PPG
6th▲ up 3 6th▲ up 3 6th▲ up 3
Loss
0.00 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
21% top 4
79% below the top 4
5.3 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 6%
  4. 4th 14%
  5. 5th 27%
  6. 6th 39%
  7. 7th 11%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 BTX SC 2.50 (+2.50) 1st (2.29) A point next game
2 BVBIA DFW 2.33 (+2.33) 2nd (2.28) A point next game
3 ALBION SC Dallas 2.17 (+2.17) 3rd (1.85) A point next game
4 PSG Academy DFW 2.00 (+2.00) 4th (1.79) A point next game
5 Atletico Dallas 2.00 (+2.00) 5th (1.52) A point next game
6 ALBION SC Dallas (1) 0.63 (+0.63) 8th (0.63) Already ahead
7 CF10 Houston FC 0.25 (+0.25) 7th (0.90) Already ahead
8 Steel United TX 0.14 (+0.14) 9th (0.20) Already ahead

Position over the season

10 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.04 · 6th hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
BTX SC
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +9
Away
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.58 0.58 Upside
Tue May 25
01:00 PM
BVBIA DFW
2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +19
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
18%
2–3 0.67 0.63 Upside
Tue May 25
07:30 AM
Atletico Dallas
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–2 1.42 0.89 Upside
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
CF10 Houston FC
7th · 0-1-3 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.90 1.15 Swing game
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
CF10 Houston FC
7th · 0-1-3 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.90 1.30 Swing game
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
Atletico Dallas
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–2 1.11 1.27 Upside
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
Steel United TX
8th · 0-1-6 · GD -40
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
6–2 2.76 1.48 Bank it
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas (1)
6th · 1-2-5 · GD -10
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.10 1.56 Swing game
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.80 1.47 Upside
Tue May 25
09:00 AM
BVBIA DFW
2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +19
Away
Beacon Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–4 0.44 1.37 Upside
Tue May 25
10:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas (1)
6th · 1-2-5 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–2 1.79 1.41 Swing game
Tue May 25
10:00 AM
PSG Academy DFW
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–3 1.07 1.38 Upside
Tue May 25
10:00 AM
Steel United TX
8th · 0-1-6 · GD -40
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
5–2 2.58 1.47 Bank it
Tue May 25
10:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.13 1.45 Upside
Tue May 25
11:00 AM
PSG Academy DFW
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–3 0.75 1.40 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 BTX SC 4310 156+9 102.50 WWWD +0.84 -0.48 99% 1.7
2 BVBIA DFW 6420 278+19 142.33 WDWWD -0.11 -0.26 99% 1.7
3 ALBION SC Dallas 6411 2514+11 132.17 WWLDW -0.45 +0.19 80% 3.6
4 PSG Academy DFW 6402 2713+14 122.00 WWWLW -0.89 +0.43 72% 3.8
5 Atletico Dallas 3201 74+3 62.00 LWW -1.11 +0.25 28% 5.0
6 ALBION SC Dallas (1) 8125 1525-10 50.63 LDLLD -0.43 +0.78 0% 7.8
7 CF10 Houston FC 4013 511-6 10.25 LDLL +0.83 -0.08 0% 7.0
8 Steel United TX 7016 1252-40 10.14 LLLLD +0.47 +0.56 0% 9.0
9 ALBION SC Dallas (2) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.04 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.83 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.