TableChase Clubs

Inter Utah SC

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U19 · 19 teams · Inter Utah SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 12 minutes ago.
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1st
5-0-0 record · 5 played
3.00 points per game
+13 goal diff · 18–5
WWWWWlast 5
95% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.0
-1.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Inter Utah SC
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs
AZ SandSharks
2nd · 2.17 PPG

Lone Peak High School, Soccer Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.2 against · 1.31 expected points)

Season so farInter Utah SCAZ SandSharks
Position1st2nd
Record (W-D-L)5-0-04-1-1
Points per game3.002.17
Goals for / game3.64.5
Goals against / game1.01.0
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)W W W W WW D W L W
Biggest win4–0 at BVBIA Arizona12–1 at BVBIA Arizona
Worst loss—0–3 vs BVBIA Arizona
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.32+1.93
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.21-1.04

Common opponents: ALBION SC Utah — we 3–0, 5–2; they 7–1. Utah Athletic — we 3–1; they 0–0. BVBIA Arizona — we 4–0; they 12–1, 0–3. El Paso Surf — we 3–2; they 3–0, 5–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    AZ SandSharks score 4.5/game — well above the league's 2.4.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    AZ SandSharks concede only 1.0/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 37%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AZ SandSharks game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Inter Utah SC – AZ SandSharks) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.67 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.67 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.50 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

47% finish 1st
95% top 4
5% below the top 4
2.0 average finish
  1. 1st 47%
  2. 2nd 29%
  3. 3rd 14%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

18 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Inter Utah SC to AZ SandSharks through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
11 favour them
-0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 0–3 3–1 0–0 1–5 5–2 1–7 3–0 4–0 1–12 3–0 1–4 2–3 8–0 Inter Utah SC 1st El Paso Surf 7th Utah Athletic 4th ALBION SC Utah 6th BVBIA Arizona 5th AZ SandSharks 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 10th 19th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.32 · 2nd hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
2nd · 4-1-1 · GD +21
Home
Lone Peak High School
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.31 2.72 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
5th · 1-0-4 · GD -16
Home
Lone Peak High School
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–1 2.77 2.73 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
08:30 PM
Utah Athletic
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +9
Away
Lakeside Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.27 2.54 Upside
Sat Nov 21
06:00 PM
Utah Athletic (North)
3rd · 1-1-0 · GD +4
Away
Murray Park Turf Fields · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.68 2.45 Swing game
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.96 2.40 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
04:30 PM
BVBIA Las Vegas
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.96 2.36 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
09:00 AM
Utah Athletic (North)
3rd · 1-1-0 · GD +4
Home
Lone Peak High School
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 2.33 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.24 2.32 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Inter Utah SC 5500 185+13 153.00 WWWWW -1.21 +0.32 95% 2.0
2 AZ SandSharks 6411 276+21 132.17 WLWDW -1.04 -0.01 97% 2.0
3 Utah Athletic (North) 2110 73+4 42.00 WD -1.52 +0.45 16% 8.7
4 Utah Athletic 4211 134+9 71.75 LWDW -0.27 -0.07 71% 4.0
5 BVBIA Arizona 5104 723-16 30.60 LWLLL +0.76 +0.09 0% 17.7
6 ALBION SC Utah 6105 730-23 30.50 LLLWL +0.75 +0.14 0% 18.5
7 El Paso Surf 4013 513-8 10.25 LLDL +1.40 -0.32 0% 15.6
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.15 ——
9 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.06 ——
10 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.08 ——
11 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.15 ——
12 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
13 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
14 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.15 ——
15 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
16 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
17 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.06 ——
18 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.15 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.