TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Boulder County

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U19 · 19 teams · ALBION SC Boulder County (all teams)

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8th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
11% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.7
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 21, 12:00 AM

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ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 0.00 PPG
at
Colorado Rush
14th · 0.00 PPG

TBD, TBD ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.6 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Boulder CountyColorado Rush
Position8th14th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Colorado Rush average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 AM at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    El Paso Surf sit 7th on 0.25 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above El Paso Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado Rush game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Boulder County – Colorado Rush) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 16 – Sun Nov 22); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
5th▲ up 3 5th▲ up 3 7th▲ up 1
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 6 2nd▲ up 6 2nd▲ up 6
Draw
1.00 PPG
5th▲ up 3 7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
19th▼ down 11 19th▼ down 11 19th▼ down 11

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
11% top 4
89% below the top 4
9.7 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th 7%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 8%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 7%
  13. 13th 7%
  14. 14th 6%
  15. 15th 5%
  16. 16th 6%
  17. 17th 4%
  18. 18th 1%
  19. 19th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Inter Utah SC 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.32) Win next game
2 AZ SandSharks 2.17 (+2.17) 2nd (2.27) A point next game
3 Utah Athletic (North) 2.00 (+2.00) 4th (1.52) A point next game
4 Utah Athletic 1.75 (+1.75) 3rd (1.97) A point next game
5 BVBIA Arizona 0.60 (+0.60) 18th (0.64) Already ahead
6 ALBION SC Utah 0.50 (+0.50) 19th (0.48) Already ahead
7 El Paso Surf 0.25 (+0.25) 17th (0.95) Already ahead

Position over the season

10 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.15 · 16th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 21
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 1.35 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 1.41 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.38 Upside
Sat Feb 20
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 1.41 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
Colorado Storm
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 1.43 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 1.45 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
5th · 1-0-4 · GD -16
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–1 2.12 1.52 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
El Paso Surf
7th · 0-1-3 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–2 1.70 1.54 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.52 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 1.52 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
Colorado United
17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 1.52 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 1.53 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.51 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.49 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Colorado Storm
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.48 Upside
Sat May 8
09:00 AM
Colorado United
17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.46 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Inter Utah SC 5500 185+13 153.00 WWWWW -1.21 +0.32 96% 2.0
2 AZ SandSharks 6411 276+21 132.17 WLWDW -1.04 -0.01 97% 2.0
3 Utah Athletic (North) 2110 73+4 42.00 WD -1.52 +0.45 15% 8.7
4 Utah Athletic 4211 134+9 71.75 LWDW -0.27 -0.07 71% 3.9
5 BVBIA Arizona 5104 723-16 30.60 LWLLL +0.76 +0.09 0% 17.8
6 ALBION SC Utah 6105 730-23 30.50 LLLWL +0.75 +0.14 0% 18.6
7 El Paso Surf 4013 513-8 10.25 LLDL +1.40 -0.32 0% 15.6
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.15 ——
9 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.06 ——
10 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.08 ——
11 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.15 ——
12 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
13 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
14 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.15 ——
15 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
16 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
17 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.06 ——
18 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.15 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.